Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim: match statistics
Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ingolstadt play Waldhof Mannheim in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Ingolstadt: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Waldhof Mannheim: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ingolstadt scores 1.71 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Waldhof Mannheim scores 1.55 and concedes 1.89. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ingolstadt 74%, Waldhof Mannheim 68%. Over 2.5: Ingolstadt 71%, Waldhof Mannheim 68%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Waldhof Mannheim has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.57. Ingolstadt: 13.2 shots per match, Waldhof Mannheim: 13.2.
Match halves
Ingolstadt: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.97. Waldhof Mannheim: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Ingolstadt: 76-90+ (15 goals). Waldhof Mannheim: 46-60 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I forecast a home win (1). Ingolstadt have scored 60 goals this season and average 1.44 goals at home with an xG of 1.67, while Waldhof have 58 goals this season and average 1.39 away goals with an xG of 1.48. Defensively the hosts are superior: Ingolstadt have conceded 55 goals this season, 1.56 goals per home match and keep clean sheets in 17% of games, whereas Waldhof have conceded 67 goals, 2.06 goals per away match and only 6% clean sheets. Ingolstadt also generate more high-quality chances — 14.67 shots and 5.17 on target per home match versus Waldhof’s 12 shots and 4.33 on target away, although the visitors have a slightly higher shot conversion (12% vs 10%). In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 9 goals and average 1.2 points per game, while the visitors have 7 goals and 1.0 point; considering the higher xG and relatively better home defence, I assign Ingolstadt a 55% chance, 20% for a draw and 25% for a Waldhof win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ingolstadt | Waldhof Mannheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ingolstadt is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Ingolstadt · 1 pts / match - Waldhof Mannheim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ingolstadt is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 1.55 goals / match - Waldhof Mannheim
Ingolstadt is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 1.89 goals / match - Waldhof Mannheim
Ingolstadt scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Waldhof Mannheim keeps a clean sheet in 11% (4 of 38 matches).
Waldhof Mannheim scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Ingolstadt keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ingolstadt
Over / Under — Waldhof Mannheim
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ingolstadt is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Ingolstadt · 1.16 pts / match - Waldhof Mannheim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ingolstadt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Waldhof Mannheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ingolstadt
Waldhof Mannheim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ingolstadt | Liga | Waldhof Mannheim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.18 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 64% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 21% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 83% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ingolstadt 0 - 1 - 0 Waldhof Mannheim. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim?
The 3. Liga match finished Ingolstadt 5:1 Waldhof Mannheim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim?
Ingolstadt score 1.71 goals per game on average and Waldhof Mannheim 1.55. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Ingolstadt's matches and 68% of Waldhof Mannheim's.
What form are Ingolstadt and Waldhof Mannheim in?
Over the last 5 games Ingolstadt have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Waldhof Mannheim 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.