Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqası03/08/2026, 11:00 AMData current as of September 12, 2026

İnter Bakı vs Mil Mugan FK: match statistics

İnter Bakı

0 : 0half-time 0:0

Mil Mugan FK

135%(0.00)

X40%(0.00)

225%(0.00)

BTTS Over/Under HT/FT

Pick: XWon

Pick score:30.84

Value:-

Statistical analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams, which favors a draw. İnter Bakı shows poor home form with only 27% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -5, and their last five matches have yielded only 0.6 points per game. Mil Mugan FK, despite a better away goal difference (+1), has a very high FTS% of 55%, which indicates frequent problems with scoring goals. Both teams have identical form in their last five matches (0.6 PPG) and similar xG statistics, suggesting a similar offensive potential. Considering the hosts' poor efficiency at home and the visitors' scoring problems away, the most likely result is a draw, although İnter Bakı has a slight advantage due to playing in front of their own crowd.

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İnter Bakı vs Mil Mugan FK: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

İnter Bakı played against Mil Mugan FK in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 0:0.

Recent form

İnter Bakı has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Mil Mugan FK has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

İnter Bakı scores 1.05 goals per game and allows 1.18. Mil Mugan FK scores 0.82 and allows 1.05. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of İnter Bakı's games and 27% of Mil Mugan FK's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 32%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

İnter Bakı has the higher season xG average, 1.06 to 0.91 per game. İnter Bakı takes 8.1 shots per game, while Mil Mugan FK takes 7.2.

First-half and second-half trends

İnter Bakı leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. Mil Mugan FK leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.55 after halftime.

When the teams score

İnter Bakı's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For Mil Mugan FK, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premyer Liqası games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0

First half

0 : 0

Second half

Game stats

49Possession (%)51

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

8Shots10

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

2Shots on target2

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

0.95xG1.1

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

3Corners6

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

41Dangerous attacks44

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

13Fouls12

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

1Cards2

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.18Points per game1.05

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

1.05Goals scored / game0.82

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

1.18Goals allowed / game1.05

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

1.06xG for0.91

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

40%Average possession42%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

3Shots on target / game2.59

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

41%Clean sheets41%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

50%Both teams scored27%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.14Shots per game7.23

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

3Shots on target2.59

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

12.8%Shot conversion11.3%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

40%Possession42%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

1.06xG for0.91

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

1.37xG against1.45

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

Shooting quality

İnter Bakı: Counter-attackingMil Mugan FK: Balanced

	İnter Bakı	Mil Mugan FK
Accuracy (shots on target)	37%	36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)	0.13	0.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)	0.35	0.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

İnter Bakı is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - İnter Bakı · 0.6 pts / game - Mil Mugan FK

İnter Bakı

WLDDD

Season result split

27% W36% D36% L

Season (W-D-L)

6-8-8

1.18 pts / game · goal difference -3

Last 5 (W-D-L)

1-3-1

1.20 pts / game

Record at home (W-D-L)

3-3-5

Last 5 at home

1-2-2

WLLDD

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Mil Mugan FK

LDLDD

No win in the last 5 games

Season result split

23% W36% D41% L

Season (W-D-L)

5-8-9

1.05 pts / game · goal difference -5

Last 5 (W-D-L)

0-3-2

0.60 pts / game

Record away (W-D-L)

4-2-5

Last 5 away

1-2-2

WLDLD

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.87Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

İnter Bakı is 28% better for: goals scored per game.

1.05 goals / game - İnter Bakı · 0.82 goals / game - Mil Mugan FK

Mil Mugan FK is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.18 goals / game - İnter Bakı · 1.05 goals / game - Mil Mugan FK

İnter Bakı scoring profile: strong

İnter Bakı scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 meczów).

Mil Mugan FK scoring profile: mixed

Mil Mugan FK scores in 45% of games (10 of 22 meczów), while İnter Bakı keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 meczów).

23Goals scored (season)18

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

26Goals conceded (season)23

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

2.23Average goals per game1.86

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

5Goals scored (last 5)2

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

4Goals conceded (last 5)4

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

İnter Bakı

41%

Clean sheets9 of 22 meczów

27%

No goal6 of 22 meczów

Mil Mugan FK

41%

Clean sheets9 of 22 meczów

55%

No goal12 of 22 meczów

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal45%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

23%2 goals23%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

9%3 goals14%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

0%4 goals0%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal59%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

41%2 goals32%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

9%3 goals14%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

9%4 goals0%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%

İnter Bakı - BTTS11 of 22 meczów

27%

Mil Mugan FK - BTTS6 of 22 meczów

43%

League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time14%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

0%BTTS in both halves9%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

5%Scored in both halves18%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS18%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

40%BTTS - last 520%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

82%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)77%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

73%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)50%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

50%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)32%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

14%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)18%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

5%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)9%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

Over / Under - İnter Bakı

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 82%Under 18%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 73%Under 27%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 50%Under 50%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 14%Under 86%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 5%Under 95%

Over / Under - Mil Mugan FK

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 77%Under 23%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 50%Under 50%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 32%Under 68%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 18%Under 82%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 9%Under 91%

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time41%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

27%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

5%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

45%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

18%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

İnter Bakı is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / game - İnter Bakı · 1.09 pts / game - Mil Mugan FK

İnter Bakı - half-time state

23% leading59% draw18% trailing

Mil Mugan FK - half-time state

14% leading68% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per game (1st half)1.09

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.27

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

0.36Goals conceded (1st half)0.32

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

0.86Average goals (1st half)0.59

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

68%Clean sheet before half-time73%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

59%No goal before half-time73%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1.14

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.55

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.73

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.27

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

50%Clean sheet after half-time45%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

64%No goal after half-time64%

İnter BakıMil Mugan FK

İnter Bakı - second-half results

18% W45% D36% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

-6

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.27

PPG before half-time

Lead holding117%

Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Mil Mugan FK - second-half results

27% W32% D41% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-1

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

-4

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.09

PPG before half-time

Lead holding164%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

İnter Bakı - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.40	0.80
Goals scored / game	0.6	0.4
Goals allowed / game	0.2	0.6
Average goals per game	0.8	1.0
1 goal	40%	40%
2 goals	40%	20%
3 goals	0%	20%
Clean sheet	80%	60%
No goal	60%	80%
Goal difference	+2	-1

Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing

2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

Mil Mugan FK - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	0.80	0.80
Goals scored / game	0.2	0.2
Goals allowed / game	0.4	0.4
Average goals per game	0.6	0.6
1 goal	20%	40%
2 goals	20%	20%
3 goals	20%	0%
Clean sheet	80%	60%
No goal	80%	80%
Goal difference	-1	-1

Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing

2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

İnter Bakı

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Mil Mugan FK

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.05

Estimated goals

attack vs. opponent defense

1.1 : 1.0

Estimated goal split

home : away

84%

Pace vs league

100% = league average

39%

Both teams scored (BTTS)

average from both teams' seasons

-76%

Derby effect

H2H goals vs typical matches

33%

BTTS estimate

from both teams' scoring frequency

15%

0:0 risk

about 1 in 7 matches

0-1

Most common goal range

attack vs. defense for both teams

İnter Bakı

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

-0.31

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.18

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-3.0 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

-0.01

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.19

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

88%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

94%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

+0.02

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.1

Late goals

17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.

17%

Mil Mugan FK

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

-0.54

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.31

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-2.1 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

-0.09

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.40

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

65%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

88%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

-0.45

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.3

Late goals

33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.

33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

	İnter Bakı	Liga	Mil Mugan FK
Average goals per game	▼ 2.23	2.45	▼ 1.86
Both teams scored	▲ 50%	43%	▼ 27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▲ 50%	45%	▼ 32%
Clean sheets	▲ 41%	34%	▲ 41%
Goal before half-time	▼ 55%	65%	▼ 41%
Goal after half-time	▼ 68%	70%	▲ 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.45

Average goals per game

43%

Both teams scored

45%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

34%

Clean sheets

1.19

Home goals / game

1.26

Away goals / game

+-6%

Home attack advantage

+-6%

Home defensive advantage

+-3%

Total home advantage

Goals in 1st half (whole league)

65%

1 goal

30%

2 goals

11%

3 goals

4 goals

Goals in 2nd half (whole league)

70%

1 goal

44%

2 goals

17%

3 goals

4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Starting lineup

1Ricardo José da Silva Fernandes 2Abdulla Rzayevoff 89'3Vladislav Veremeev 4Cézar Henrique Dias Santos 7Edqar Adilxanovoff 61'8Alphonce Mabula Msanga🟨 1 · off 46'9Karim Rossi 10Andrei Costin Tîrcoveanuoff 89'13Ricardo Filipe Verde Apolinário 44David Thomaz dos Santos Oliveira 82Rufat Abbasov

Substitutes

11Diogo Gonçalo Bandeira Balauon 61'17Rafael Məhərrəmlion 1'19Abdullahi Shuaibuon 1'21Bilal Ismayilovon 1'27Emil Süleymanovon 89'48Ramiz Muradovon 1'

62Abdulla Seyidəhmədovon 1'

77Nihat İlqar oğlu Mehralıyevon 1'

80Həbib İsmayılovon 89'

90Davud Mənsumovon 1'

97Oruc Məmmədovon 46'

Away team

Starting lineup

5Idris Ingilablioff 66'7Luiz Fernando Silvestre Junior 9Diogo Rafael dos Santos Almeida🟨 1 10Nikola Karaklajićoff 66'14Ronaldo Rodrigues de Souza🟨 1 17Ezekiel Morgan 19Azər Salahlı 23Diogo Vasques Rollo 29Edwin Correa 33Andrey Sinenko 94Rafael Ferreira Viegas

Substitutes

1Hüseynəli Quliyevon 1'3Tuncay Yusiflion 1'

20Nazim Hüseynovon 1'

21Abbas Ağazadəon 66'

30Khalil Mursallion 1'

44Həzrət İsayevon 1'79Diogo Miguel Aguilar Cardosoon 66'97Xəzər Mahmudovon 1'

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

36'
İnter BakıYellow cardAlphonce Mabula Msanga
46'
İnter BakıSubstitutionOn: Oruc MəmmədovOff: Alphonce Mabula Msanga
60'
Mil Mugan FKYellow cardDiogo Rafael dos Santos Almeida
61'
İnter BakıSubstitutionOn: Diogo Gonçalo Bandeira BalauOff: Edqar Adilxanov
78'
Mil Mugan FKYellow cardRonaldo Rodrigues de Souza

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeVüqar Həsənli

Head-to-head

Record from İnter Bakı's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Mil Mugan FK. Games average 0.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Mil Muğan FK

0 : 002/22/2026

FC İnter Bakı

1 : 011/07/2025

Mil Muğan FK

FAQ

What was the result of İnter Bakı vs Mil Mugan FK?

The Premyer Liqası match finished İnter Bakı 0:0 Mil Mugan FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between İnter Bakı and Mil Mugan FK?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches İnter Bakı won 1, Mil Mugan FK won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before İnter Bakı vs Mil Mugan FK?

İnter Bakı score 1.05 goals per game on average and Mil Mugan FK 0.82. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 50% of İnter Bakı's matches and 27% of Mil Mugan FK's.

What form are İnter Bakı and Mil Mugan FK in?

Over the last 5 games İnter Bakı have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Mil Mugan FK 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for İnter Bakı vs Mil Mugan FK?

The statistical background for İnter Bakı vs Mil Mugan FK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.