İnter Bakı vs Neftçi: match statistics
Neftçi displays significantly better form than İnter Bakı, confirmed by a streak of four wins in the last five matches and an impressive 2.6 points per match. The visiting team also stands out with much better away statistics—50% win rate, 50% clean sheets, and a positive goal difference (+7), while the hosts concede an average of 1.6 goals per home match and hold a negative balance (-5). Neftçi's advantage in possession (52% vs 43%), shots on target (5.7 vs 2.9), and expected goals (1.66 xG vs 1.02 xG) indicates clear qualitative dominance. İnter Bakı loses half of their home matches and sits only 8th in the table, further weakening their chances. All key indicators favor a victory for Neftçi, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out given the 30% draw rate in the visitors' away matches.
İnter Bakı vs Neftçi: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
İnter Bakı played against Neftçi in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
İnter Bakı has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Neftçi has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
İnter Bakı scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.14. Neftçi scores 1.40 and allows 0.90. Games in this league average 2.43 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of İnter Bakı's games and 40% of Neftçi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 40%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Neftçi has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.05 per game. İnter Bakı takes 8.1 shots per game, while Neftçi takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
İnter Bakı leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.48 goals per game after halftime. Neftçi leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
İnter Bakı's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For Neftçi, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.43 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftçi displays significantly better form than İnter Bakı, confirmed by a streak of four wins in the last five matches and an impressive 2.6 points per match. The visiting team also stands out with much better away statistics—50% win rate, 50% clean sheets, and a positive goal difference (+7), while the hosts concede an average of 1.6 goals per home match and hold a negative balance (-5). Neftçi's advantage in possession (52% vs 43%), shots on target (5.7 vs 2.9), and expected goals (1.66 xG vs 1.02 xG) indicates clear qualitative dominance. İnter Bakı loses half of their home matches and sits only 8th in the table, further weakening their chances. All key indicators favor a victory for Neftçi, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out given the 30% draw rate in the visitors' away matches.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| İnter Bakı | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Neftçi is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - İnter Bakı · 2.6 pts / game - Neftçi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - İnter Bakı · 1.4 goals / game - Neftçi
Neftçi is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.14 goals / game - İnter Bakı · 0.9 goals / game - Neftçi
İnter Bakı scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 meczów).
Neftçi scores in 60% of games (12 of 20 meczów), while İnter Bakı keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - İnter Bakı
Over / Under - Neftçi
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftçi is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / game - İnter Bakı · 1.35 pts / game - Neftçi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
İnter Bakı - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
İnter Bakı
Neftçi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| İnter Bakı | Liga | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.14 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 42% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 34% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 66% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from İnter Bakı's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Neftçi. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of İnter Bakı vs Neftçi?
The Premyer Liqası match finished İnter Bakı 2:2 Neftçi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before İnter Bakı vs Neftçi?
İnter Bakı score 1.00 goals per game on average and Neftçi 1.40. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 48% of İnter Bakı's matches and 40% of Neftçi's.
What form are İnter Bakı and Neftçi in?
Over the last 5 games İnter Bakı have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Neftçi 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for İnter Bakı vs Neftçi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for İnter Bakı vs Neftçi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.