Inter II vs Novara: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter favoring a draw. Inter II shows poor home form with only an 11% win rate and a disastrous run in the last five matches (0 wins, 0.4 PPG). Novara is characterized by a remarkable tendency to draw, achieving this result in 78% of away games, confirmed by the 'dddlddwdd' sequence in recent away matches. Both teams have similar averages for goals scored and conceded (around 1-1.1 per match), as well as close xG values, suggesting balanced offensive potential. Considering the hosts' poor form and the visitors' propensity for draws, a sharing of points is the most likely outcome, as neither side holds a clear winning advantage.
Inter II vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Inter II played against Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on January 4, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Inter II has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Novara has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Inter II scores 1.21 goals per game and allows 1.05. Novara scores 0.89 and allows 1.05. Games in this league average 2.22 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Inter II's games and 53% of Novara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 37% and 26%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Inter II has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.40 per game. Inter II takes 10.9 shots per game, while Novara takes 11.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Inter II leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 0.47 goals per game after halftime. Novara leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.32 after halftime.
When the teams score
Inter II's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Novara, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.22 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter favoring a draw. Inter II shows poor home form with only an 11% win rate and a disastrous run in the last five matches (0 wins, 0.4 PPG). Novara is characterized by a remarkable tendency to draw, achieving this result in 78% of away games, confirmed by the 'dddlddwdd' sequence in recent away matches. Both teams have similar averages for goals scored and conceded (around 1-1.1 per match), as well as close xG values, suggesting balanced offensive potential. Considering the hosts' poor form and the visitors' propensity for draws, a sharing of points is the most likely outcome, as neither side holds a clear winning advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Inter II | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Novara is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Inter II · 0.6 pts / game - Novara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter II is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
1.21 goals / game - Inter II · 0.89 goals / game - Novara
Inter II scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 meczów).
Novara scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Inter II keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter II
Over / Under - Novara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter II is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / game - Inter II · 1.37 pts / game - Novara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 37%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Novara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 16%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Inter II
Novara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Inter II | Liga | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.26 | 2.22 | ▼ 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 49% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 37% | 38% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 31% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 66% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Inter II's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Novara. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter II vs Novara?
The Serie C Group A match finished Inter II 0:0 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter II vs Novara?
Inter II score 1.21 goals per game on average and Novara 0.89. The Serie C Group A average is 2.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Inter II's matches and 53% of Novara's.
What form are Inter II and Novara in?
Over the last 5 games Inter II have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Novara 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter II vs Novara?
The statistical background for Inter II vs Novara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.