Inter Miami vs Austin: match statistics
Inter Miami vs Austin: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Inter Miami played against Austin in MLS (United States). The game was played on April 4, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Inter Miami has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Austin has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Inter Miami scores 1.80 goals per game and allows 1.60. Austin scores 1.00 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 3.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Inter Miami's games and 60% of Austin's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 60%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Inter Miami has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.25 per game. Inter Miami takes 13.2 shots per game, while Austin takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Inter Miami leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 1.20 goals per game after halftime. Austin leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
Inter Miami's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Austin, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.06 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an Inter Miami win. The hosts have a season record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss with 9 goals scored and 8 conceded, averaging 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded per match; in their last 5 games they scored 6, conceded 4 and averaged 1.8 points per game. Austin have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses this season with 5 scored and 7 conceded (1.0 goal per game), and in their last 5 matches they scored 5 and conceded 7, reflecting inconsistent form. Away, Austin concede an average of 2.5 goals per game with xG against 2.75 versus xG for only 0.76, and despite averaging 7.5 shots per game only 1.5 hit the target, indicating poor quality of chances created on the road. Considering this, I assign Inter Miami a 65% chance to win, 20% for a draw and 15% for Austin.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict Both Teams To Score: 70% for BTTS - Yes and 30% for No. The strongest signal is Austin, with a season BTTS of 100% and conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game versus xG against 2.75, which significantly increases likelihood of conceding. Inter Miami at home has a 67% clean sheet rate and a seasonal average conceded of 0.67 goals, but home xG is 1.58 and in the last 5 matches Miami had BTTS in 60% (6 scored and 4 conceded), showing they can still allow a goal. Austin, despite a season away xG of 0.76 and averaging 1.0 goals per away match, has an xG of 1.25 in the last 5 and scored 5 goals, so they have a realistic chance to score. Considering Austin's 100% BTTS versus Miami's 33% BTTS and the league average BTTS of 51%, the most consistent signal from the data is a BTTS - Yes selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG matchup model projects 2.17 expected goals for Inter Miami (home attacking xG 1.58 vs Austin’s away conceded xG 2.75) and 0.92 for Austin (away attacking xG 0.76 vs Inter Miami’s conceded xG 1.07), totaling 3.09 goals. With that mean, the distribution indicates a high probability of Over 1.5 goals (about 81%), a significant probability of Over 2.5 goals (about 60%), and a lower probability of Over 3.5 goals (about 37%). Additionally, Austin as the away team has 100% of matches this season exceeding both 1.5 and 2.5 goals and concedes an average of 2.5 goals per game, which increases the chances of Over markets, although Inter Miami has 67% of home games with a clean sheet and only 33% of matches where both teams scored. Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (about 81%), while Over 2.5 (about 60%) is a secondary option worth considering.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I am backing X/1 (draw at Half-Time, home win at Full-Time) as the most likely scenario. A draw at the break is justified: the home side were level at Half-Time in 60% of their last five matches and the visitors in 100%, so a deadlock in the first half is common. After the break the numbers favor Inter Miami – the home xG is 1.58 versus Austin’s 0.76, the hosts average 5.33 shots on target compared to the visitors’ 1.5, they score on average 0.67 goals after the break while the visitors have 0.0, and Austin concedes on average 1.5 goals in the second half. The hosts led at the break in 40% of their last five matches and have a better points average (1.8 points in the last five matches versus 1.0 for the visitors and a season average of 1.67 vs 0.0), which increases the chance of a turnaround to a home win after a draw. Therefore I assigned X/1 the highest probability at 33%, then 1/1 at 28% and X/X at 14%, while scenarios with the visitors leading at Half-Time I assess as unlikely (10% combined).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Miami | Austin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Inter Miami is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Inter Miami · 1 pts / game - Austin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Miami is 80% better for: goals scored per game.
1.8 goals / game - Inter Miami · 1 goals / game - Austin
Austin is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.6 goals / game - Inter Miami · 1.4 goals / game - Austin
Inter Miami scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 meczów), while Austin keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 meczów).
Austin scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter Miami
Over / Under - Austin
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Miami - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Austin - second-half results
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Inter Miami
Austin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Inter Miami | Liga | Austin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.40 | 3.06 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 52% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 61% | • 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 28% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 82% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Miami vs Austin?
The MLS match finished Inter Miami 2:2 Austin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Miami vs Austin?
Inter Miami score 1.80 goals per game on average and Austin 1.00. The MLS average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Inter Miami's matches and 60% of Austin's.
What form are Inter Miami and Austin in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Miami have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Austin 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Miami vs Austin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.