Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers: match statistics
Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Inter Miami played against Portland Timbers in MLS (United States). The game was played on May 17, 2026. Venue: Chase Stadium. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Inter Miami has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Portland Timbers has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Inter Miami scores 2.38 goals per game and allows 1.85. Portland Timbers scores 1.75 and allows 1.92. Games in this league average 3.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 77% of Inter Miami's games and 67% of Portland Timbers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 77% and 67%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Inter Miami has the higher season xG average, 1.78 to 1.32 per game. Inter Miami takes 15.8 shots per game, while Portland Timbers takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Inter Miami leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 1.46 goals per game after halftime. Portland Timbers leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Inter Miami's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Portland Timbers, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.25 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter Miami has a clear offensive edge: at home they average 22 shots and 8.75 shots on target per match with xG 2.48 and 2.0 goals scored on average, while Portland away records 12.29 shots and 3.86 shots on target with xG 1.33 and 1.14 goals on average. In the last 5 fixtures the hosts scored 15 goals (record 3-1-1 and 2.0 points per game), and the visitors 10 goals (record 2-1-2 and 1.4 points per game), which favors Inter. Inter Miami have not had a home match without scoring (0% of games without a goal), whereas Portland failed to score in 43% of away matches, increasing the likelihood of the hosts finding the net. Both teams, however, concede a lot (Inter conceding 2.25 goals at home on average, Portland 2.14 away), so an open game is expected, but the clear quality advantage in chance creation for Inter (xG 2.48 vs 1.33 and 8.75 vs 3.86 shots on target) should decide the result. Therefore I project an Inter Miami win probability of 68%, draw 18% and Portland win 14%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The scenario of both teams scoring appears more likely: Inter Miami average 2.6 goals per home match and have a season BTTS 80%, while Portland concede 2.14 goals away on average and have a season BTTS 57%. In the last 5 matches Inter averages 3.0 goals per game with xG 2.11, whereas Portland in that period have xG 1.36 and average 2.0 goals, showing a clear Inter advantage in chance creation (2.11 vs 1.36). Inter’s finishing rate is 25% versus Portland’s 9%, which increases the likelihood of Inter goals, but Inter also concede 1.6 goals at home on average (2.0 in the last 5), so the opponent has a realistic chance to score. Additionally, the league BTTS level is 60%, and both teams have high Over 2.5 rates (Inter 80%, Portland 57%) with Over2.5+BTTS combinations at 60% and 56%, therefore I recommend 70% on BTTS - Yes and 30% on No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project Inter Miami to score about 1.95 goals and Portland about 1.42 goals, for a combined ~3.37 goals, which clearly positions the match above the 1.5 line and also over 2.5. Inter Miami averages 2.6 goals per season with an xG of 1.32 and a high conversion rate of 25%, while Portland concedes an average of 2.14 goals with an xG against of 2.26 — this increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. Both teams have 100% of their season matches over 1.5 goals; Over 2.5 occurred in 80% of Miami’s matches and 57% of Portland’s, and the league averages 3.28 goals per game, supporting an open, high-scoring game scenario. In the last 5 matches Miami has 2.11 xG and on average 3.0 goals scored, while Portland has 1.36 xG and 2.0 goals scored, so Miami is generating significantly more quality chances. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommended); Over 2.5 also has value (~76% probability), whereas Over 3.5 is riskier (~48% probability), therefore I choose the over at 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Inter Miami has a clear advantage in the first half: they led at the break in 40% of home matches and average 1.6 goals by halftime, whereas Portland averages only 0.71 first-half goals and were trailing at the break in 57% of their games. Over 90 minutes the hosts score an average of 2.6 goals at home, while Portland concedes an average of 2.14 goals away, which strongly supports an Inter win. Additionally, Inter have a 60% home win rate versus Portland’s 14% away win rate and collect an average of 2.0 points per home match compared to Portland’s 0.57 points. Inter’s finishing is markedly better (conversion rate 25% versus 9%) with similar xG (1.32 versus 1.33), meaning the hosts convert chances into goals more often. Therefore the most likely scenario is Inter leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes, so I select HT/FT 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Miami | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Inter Miami is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Inter Miami · 1.4 pts / game - Portland Timbers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Miami is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
2.38 goals / game - Inter Miami · 1.75 goals / game - Portland Timbers
Inter Miami scores in 85% of games (11 of 13 meczów), while Portland Timbers keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 meczów).
Portland Timbers scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 meczów), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter Miami
Over / Under - Portland Timbers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Miami is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / game - Inter Miami · 1.25 pts / game - Portland Timbers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Miami - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Portland Timbers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Inter Miami | Liga | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.23 | 3.25 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 22% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers?
The MLS match finished Inter Miami 2:0 Portland Timbers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers?
Inter Miami score 2.38 goals per game on average and Portland Timbers 1.75. The MLS average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Inter Miami's matches and 67% of Portland Timbers's.
What form are Inter Miami and Portland Timbers in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Miami have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Portland Timbers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers?
The statistical background for Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.