Inter Milan vs Cagliari: match statistics
Inter Milan vs Cagliari: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inter Milan play Cagliari in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 17 April 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Inter Milan: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Cagliari: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inter Milan scores 2.34 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Cagliari scores 1.05 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inter Milan 47%, Cagliari 50%. Over 2.5: Inter Milan 55%, Cagliari 50%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Milan has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.16. Inter Milan: 17.1 shots per match, Cagliari: 10.9.
Match halves
Inter Milan: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 1.37. Cagliari: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Inter Milan: 76-90+ (21 goals). Cagliari: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Inter Milan sit 1st in the table with a season record of 24 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, while Cagliari are 16th with 8 wins, 9 draws and 15 losses. At home Inter average 2.75 goals per game with xG 2.12 and register 7.13 shots on target, whereas Cagliari away average 1.00 goals per game, xG 1.12 and 3.38 shots on target. Inter concede 0.94 goals on average at home and keep clean sheets in 38% of matches, while Cagliari concede 1.63 away, have only 6% clean sheets and failed to score in 31% of their away fixtures. In the last 5 matches Inter scored 11 goals and have a 2-2-1 record, averaging 1.6 points per game, while Cagliari have scored 4 goals and sit on a 1-0-4 record, averaging 0.6 points per game. Given Inter’s clear advantage in xG (2.12 vs 1.12), shot conversion (15% vs 10%), shots on target (7.13 vs 3.38) and a 75% home win rate versus Cagliari’s 19% away win rate, I tip the home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Milan | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cagliari is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Inter Milan · 2 pts / match - Cagliari
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Milan is 123% better for: goals scored per match.
2.34 goals / match - Inter Milan · 1.05 goals / match - Cagliari
Inter Milan is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Inter Milan · 1.39 goals / match - Cagliari
Inter Milan scores in 95% of matches (36 of 38 matches), while Cagliari keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
Cagliari scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Inter Milan
Over / Under — Cagliari
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Milan is 95% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.95 pts / match - Inter Milan · 1 pts / match - Cagliari
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cagliari - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inter Milan
Cagliari
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Inter Milan | Liga | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.26 | 2.43 | • 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 32% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 66% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Inter Milan 1 - 0 - 0 Cagliari. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Milan vs Cagliari?
The Serie A match finished Inter Milan 3:0 Cagliari. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Milan vs Cagliari?
Inter Milan score 2.34 goals per game on average and Cagliari 1.05. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Inter Milan's matches and 50% of Cagliari's.
What form are Inter Milan and Cagliari in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Milan have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Cagliari 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Milan vs Cagliari?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Inter Milan vs Cagliari: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.