Italy - Serie AStadio Giuseppe MeazzaData current as of October 21, 2026

Inter Milan vs Fiorentina: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Inter Milan vs Fiorentina: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Inter Milan plays Fiorentina in Serie A (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

Recent form

Inter Milan has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Fiorentina has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Inter Milan scores 3.00 goals per game and allows 1.29. Fiorentina scores 1.14 and allows 2.43. Games in this league average 2.96 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 71% of Inter Milan's games and 71% of Fiorentina's. The Over 2.5 rates are 86% and 86%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Inter Milan has the higher season xG average, 2.30 to 1.81 per game. Inter Milan takes 21.7 shots per game, while Fiorentina takes 16.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Inter Milan leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 1.86 goals per game after halftime. Fiorentina leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.71 after halftime.

When the teams score

Inter Milan's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Fiorentina, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.96 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.41)
(5.56)
(7.90)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Inter MilanFiorentina
3Goals scored / game1.14
Inter MilanFiorentina
1.29Goals allowed / game2.43
Inter MilanFiorentina
63%Average possession47%
Inter MilanFiorentina
7.29Shots on target / game5.43
Inter MilanFiorentina

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

21.71Shots per game16.57
Inter MilanFiorentina
7.29Shots on target5.43
Inter MilanFiorentina
13.8%Shot conversion6.9%
Inter MilanFiorentina
63%Possession47%
Inter MilanFiorentina
2.3xG for1.81
Inter MilanFiorentina
1.18xG against1.5
Inter MilanFiorentina

Shooting quality

Inter Milan: DominantFiorentina: Attacking
Inter MilanFiorentina
Accuracy (shots on target)34%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Inter Milan is 225% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Inter Milan · 0.8 pts / game - Fiorentina

Inter Milan
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
86% W14% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-0
2.71 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Last 5 at home
4-0-0
WWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.37Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Fiorentina
LWDLL
Season result split
14% W14% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-5
0.57 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inter Milan is 163% better for: goals scored per game.

3 goals / game - Inter Milan · 1.14 goals / game - Fiorentina

Inter Milan is 88% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.29 goals / game - Inter Milan · 2.43 goals / game - Fiorentina

Inter Milan scoring profile: very strong

Inter Milan scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).

Fiorentina scoring profile: strong

Fiorentina scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).

21Goals scored (season)8
Inter MilanFiorentina
9Goals conceded (season)17
Inter MilanFiorentina
4.29Average goals per game3.57
Inter MilanFiorentina
16Goals scored (last 5)8
Inter MilanFiorentina
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
Inter MilanFiorentina

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal71%
Inter MilanFiorentina
86%2 goals14%
Inter MilanFiorentina
71%3 goals14%
Inter MilanFiorentina
29%4 goals14%
Inter MilanFiorentina

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal100%
Inter MilanFiorentina
43%2 goals86%
Inter MilanFiorentina
14%3 goals43%
Inter MilanFiorentina
0%4 goals14%
Inter MilanFiorentina

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

43%BTTS at half-time29%
Inter MilanFiorentina
14%BTTS in both halves14%
Inter MilanFiorentina
43%Scored in both halves14%
Inter MilanFiorentina

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
Inter MilanFiorentina
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS29%
Inter MilanFiorentina
80%BTTS - last 5100%
Inter MilanFiorentina

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Inter MilanFiorentina
71%Min. 2 goals before half-time57%
Inter MilanFiorentina
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
Inter MilanFiorentina

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Inter MilanFiorentina
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Inter MilanFiorentina
43%Min. 3 goals after half-time43%
Inter MilanFiorentina

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inter Milan is 151% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / game - Inter Milan · 0.57 pts / game - Fiorentina

Inter Milan - half-time state
29% leading57% draw14% trailing
Fiorentina - half-time state
14% leading14% draw71% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per game (1st half)0.57
Inter MilanFiorentina
1.14Goals scored (1st half)0.43
Inter MilanFiorentina
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)1.29
Inter MilanFiorentina
2Average goals (1st half)1.71
Inter MilanFiorentina
43%Clean sheet before half-time14%
Inter MilanFiorentina
29%No goal before half-time71%
Inter MilanFiorentina

After half-time (2nd half)

2.43Points per game (2nd half)1.29
Inter MilanFiorentina
1.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
Inter MilanFiorentina
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)1.14
Inter MilanFiorentina
2.29Average goals (2nd half)1.86
Inter MilanFiorentina
71%Clean sheet after half-time29%
Inter MilanFiorentina
29%No goal after half-time43%
Inter MilanFiorentina

Inter Milan - second-half results

71% W29% D0% L
10
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding297%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 86%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Fiorentina - second-half results

43% W0% D57% L
4
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.57
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Inter Milan - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.60
Goals scored / game1.22.0
Goals allowed / game1.00.6
Average goals per game2.22.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+7
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Fiorentina - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.80
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game1.20.8
Average goals per game1.81.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Inter Milan
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
5
2
46-60
3
0
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Fiorentina
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
1
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.93
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.7 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
133%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Inter Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.70
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
192%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Fiorentina

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.67
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.93
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
156%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

Inter MilanLigaFiorentina
Average goals per game▲ 4.292.96▲ 3.57
Both teams scored▲ 71%57%▲ 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 86%60%▲ 86%
Clean sheets▲ 29%22%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 86%69%▲ 86%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%87%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / game
1.40
Away goals / game
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
9%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Inter Milan's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Fiorentina. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

ACF Fiorentina
1 : 1
FC Internazionale Milano
FC Internazionale Milano
3 : 0
ACF Fiorentina

FAQ

When do Inter Milan and Fiorentina play?

Inter Milan face Fiorentina on October 25, 2026 in Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Inter Milan and Fiorentina?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Inter Milan won 1, Fiorentina won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Inter Milan vs Fiorentina?

Inter Milan score 3.00 goals per game on average and Fiorentina 1.14. The Serie A average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Inter Milan's matches and 71% of Fiorentina's.

What form are Inter Milan and Fiorentina in?

Over the last 5 games Inter Milan have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Fiorentina 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Milan vs Fiorentina?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.