Inter Milan vs Lecce: match statistics
Inter Milan, as the table leader, presents dominant form, particularly in home matches where they achieve a 70% win rate and an impressive 26:8 goal record. The hosts average 2.6 goals per match at home, with only 10% of games ending without them scoring. Lecce sits in 17th place and struggles significantly in away fixtures – recording only 25% wins, averaging 0.75 goals scored, and conceding 1.5 goals per match. The disparity in quality (xG 1.98 vs 0.99) and current form (2.2 points per match for Inter vs 0.8 for Lecce in the last 5 games) clearly indicates the hosts' advantage. Considering all statistics, a victory for Inter is highly probable, with a slim chance for a draw and minimal probability of a surprise from the visitors.
Inter Milan vs Lecce: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Inter Milan played against Lecce in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on January 14, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Inter Milan has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Lecce has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Inter Milan scores 2.21 goals per game and allows 0.89. Lecce scores 0.68 and allows 1.42. Games in this league average 2.36 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Inter Milan's games and 37% of Lecce's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 37%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Inter Milan has the higher season xG average, 1.93 to 1.10 per game. Inter Milan takes 17.6 shots per game, while Lecce takes 9.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Inter Milan leads at halftime in 53% of its games and scores 1.32 goals per game after halftime. Lecce leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.26 after halftime.
When the teams score
Inter Milan's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). For Lecce, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.36 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter Milan, as the table leader, presents dominant form, particularly in home matches where they achieve a 70% win rate and an impressive 26:8 goal record. The hosts average 2.6 goals per match at home, with only 10% of games ending without them scoring. Lecce sits in 17th place and struggles significantly in away fixtures – recording only 25% wins, averaging 0.75 goals scored, and conceding 1.5 goals per match. The disparity in quality (xG 1.98 vs 0.99) and current form (2.2 points per match for Inter vs 0.8 for Lecce in the last 5 games) clearly indicates the hosts' advantage. Considering all statistics, a victory for Inter is highly probable, with a slim chance for a draw and minimal probability of a surprise from the visitors.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Milan | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Inter Milan is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Inter Milan · 0.8 pts / game - Lecce
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Milan is 225% better for: goals scored per game.
2.21 goals / game - Inter Milan · 0.68 goals / game - Lecce
Inter Milan is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.89 goals / game - Inter Milan · 1.42 goals / game - Lecce
Inter Milan scores in 95% of games (18 of 19 meczów), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 meczów).
Lecce scores in 53% of games (10 of 19 meczów), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter Milan
Over / Under - Lecce
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Milan is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / game - Inter Milan · 1.26 pts / game - Lecce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Milan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 74%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Lecce - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 21%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Inter Milan
Lecce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Inter Milan | Liga | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.11 | 2.36 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 47% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 44% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 31% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 64% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 76% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Milan vs Lecce?
The Serie A match finished Inter Milan 1:0 Lecce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Milan vs Lecce?
Inter Milan score 2.21 goals per game on average and Lecce 0.68. The Serie A average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Inter Milan's matches and 37% of Lecce's.
What form are Inter Milan and Lecce in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Milan have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Lecce 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Milan vs Lecce?
The statistical background for Inter Milan vs Lecce — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.