Inter Milan vs Napoli: match statistics
Inter Milan displays impressive home form with a 78% win rate and only 22% losses at their own stadium, averaging 2.67 goals per match while conceding just 0.67. The hosts dominate offensive statistics in home matches, achieving an average of 6.89 shots on target and 60% ball possession, translating to a very high xG of 2.04. Napoli, despite good overall form (2.6 points per match in the last 5 games), shows clear weaknesses in away matches, winning 60% of fixtures but scoring an average of only 1.2 goals with an xG of 1.54, which is significantly lower than the hosts' metrics. Additionally, Napoli fails to score in 30% of away matches, constituting a significant weakness. The difference in offensive power on home turf (Inter: +18 goal difference vs Napoli: +5 away) and the advantage in expected goals favor an Inter victory, although Napoli's quality and solid defense (50% clean sheets away) do not allow ruling out a draw or a surprise.
Inter Milan vs Napoli: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Inter Milan played against Napoli in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on January 11, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Inter Milan has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Napoli has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Inter Milan scores 2.22 goals per game and allows 0.83. Napoli scores 1.56 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 2.34 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Inter Milan's games and 44% of Napoli's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 44%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Inter Milan has the higher season xG average, 1.96 to 1.55 per game. Inter Milan takes 17.9 shots per game, while Napoli takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Inter Milan leads at halftime in 56% of its games and scores 1.33 goals per game after halftime. Napoli leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.78 after halftime.
When the teams score
Inter Milan's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). For Napoli, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.34 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter Milan displays impressive home form with a 78% win rate and only 22% losses at their own stadium, averaging 2.67 goals per match while conceding just 0.67. The hosts dominate offensive statistics in home matches, achieving an average of 6.89 shots on target and 60% ball possession, translating to a very high xG of 2.04. Napoli, despite good overall form (2.6 points per match in the last 5 games), shows clear weaknesses in away matches, winning 60% of fixtures but scoring an average of only 1.2 goals with an xG of 1.54, which is significantly lower than the hosts' metrics. Additionally, Napoli fails to score in 30% of away matches, constituting a significant weakness. The difference in offensive power on home turf (Inter: +18 goal difference vs Napoli: +5 away) and the advantage in expected goals favor an Inter victory, although Napoli's quality and solid defense (50% clean sheets away) do not allow ruling out a draw or a surprise.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Milan | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Inter Milan is 50% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Inter Milan · 2 pts / game - Napoli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Milan is 42% better for: goals scored per game.
2.22 goals / game - Inter Milan · 1.56 goals / game - Napoli
Inter Milan scores in 94% of games (17 of 18 meczów), while Napoli keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 meczów).
Napoli scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 50% (9 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter Milan
Over / Under - Napoli
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Milan is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.94 pts / game - Inter Milan · 1.78 pts / game - Napoli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Milan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 78%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Napoli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Inter Milan
Napoli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Inter Milan | Liga | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.06 | 2.34 | • 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 43% | • 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 64% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 76% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Inter Milan's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Napoli. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Milan vs Napoli?
The Serie A match finished Inter Milan 2:2 Napoli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Milan vs Napoli?
Inter Milan score 2.22 goals per game on average and Napoli 1.56. The Serie A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Inter Milan's matches and 44% of Napoli's.
What form are Inter Milan and Napoli in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Milan have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Napoli 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Milan vs Napoli?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.