Scotland - League OneData current as of September 13, 2026

Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers: match statistics

Inverness CT crest
Inverness CT
1 : 1half-time 1:0
Cove Rangers crest
Cove Rangers
175%(1.35)
X15%(4.40)
210%(6.70)

Inverness CT is the clear favorite in this clash, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 17 wins this season. The hosts display dominant home form with a 77% win rate, scoring an average of 2.31 goals per game while conceding just 0.62. A positive goal difference (+22) in home matches and a 54% clean sheet rate highlight their defensive solidity. Cove Rangers, on the other hand, struggle with poor away form (21% wins, 57% losses) and have failed to score in 43% of their away matches. The difference in overall quality, confirmed by xG metrics (2.04 vs 1.17) and ball possession (57% vs 51%), clearly points to a confident victory for the hosts. Both teams' recent form (Inverness: WDWDW, Cove Rangers: LWWLW) further validates the league leader's superiority.

Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Inverness CT played against Cove Rangers in League One (Scotland). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Inverness CT has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Cove Rangers has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Inverness CT scores 1.74 goals per game and allows 0.63. Cove Rangers scores 1.11 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 37% of Inverness CT's games and 43% of Cove Rangers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 46%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Inverness CT has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.22 per game. Inverness CT takes 13.7 shots per game, while Cove Rangers takes 9.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Inverness CT leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.96 goals per game after halftime. Cove Rangers leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.61 after halftime.

When the teams score

Inverness CT's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). For Cove Rangers, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Inverness CT is the clear favorite in this clash, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 17 wins this season. The hosts display dominant home form with a 77% win rate, scoring an average of 2.31 goals per game while conceding just 0.62. A positive goal difference (+22) in home matches and a 54% clean sheet rate highlight their defensive solidity. Cove Rangers, on the other hand, struggle with poor away form (21% wins, 57% losses) and have failed to score in 43% of their away matches. The difference in overall quality, confirmed by xG metrics (2.04 vs 1.17) and ball possession (57% vs 51%), clearly points to a confident victory for the hosts. Both teams' recent form (Inverness: WDWDW, Cove Rangers: LWWLW) further validates the league leader's superiority.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

64Possession (%)36
Inverness CTCove Rangers
13Shots5
Inverness CTCove Rangers
5Shots on target2
Inverness CTCove Rangers
1.62xG0.72
Inverness CTCove Rangers
5Corners1
Inverness CTCove Rangers
62Dangerous attacks37
Inverness CTCove Rangers
5Fouls9
Inverness CTCove Rangers
1Cards2
Inverness CTCove Rangers

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Inverness CTCove Rangers
1.74Goals scored / game1.11
Inverness CTCove Rangers
0.63Goals allowed / game1.29
Inverness CTCove Rangers
55%Average possession49%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
5.93Shots on target / game4.21
Inverness CTCove Rangers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.74Shots per game9.07
Inverness CTCove Rangers
5.93Shots on target4.21
Inverness CTCove Rangers
12.7%Shot conversion12.2%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
55%Possession49%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
1.72xG for1.22
Inverness CTCove Rangers
0.77xG against1.31
Inverness CTCove Rangers

Shooting quality

Inverness CT: BalancedCove Rangers: Balanced
Inverness CTCove Rangers
Accuracy (shots on target)43%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Inverness CT is 22% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Inverness CT · 1.8 pts / game - Cove Rangers

Inverness CT
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
63% W22% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-6-4
2.11 pts / game · goal difference +30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-2-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 0.65BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Cove Rangers
LWWLW
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-14
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-8
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 57% better for: goals scored per game.

1.74 goals / game - Inverness CT · 1.11 goals / game - Cove Rangers

Inverness CT is 105% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.63 goals / game - Inverness CT · 1.29 goals / game - Cove Rangers

Inverness CT scoring profile: very strong

Inverness CT scores in 89% of games (24 of 27 meczów), while Cove Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 meczów).

Cove Rangers scoring profile: more difficult

Cove Rangers scores in 54% of games (15 of 28 meczów), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 59% (16 of 27 meczów).

47Goals scored (season)31
Inverness CTCove Rangers
17Goals conceded (season)36
Inverness CTCove Rangers
2.37Average goals per game2.39
Inverness CTCove Rangers
8Goals scored (last 5)7
Inverness CTCove Rangers
2Goals conceded (last 5)5
Inverness CTCove Rangers

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal54%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
48%2 goals29%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
26%3 goals18%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
11%4 goals7%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

How often they concede at least...

41%1 goal79%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
19%2 goals39%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
4%3 goals11%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
0%4 goals0%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time18%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
4%BTTS in both halves4%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
37%Scored in both halves21%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
40%BTTS - last 560%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.78 pts / game - Inverness CT · 1.14 pts / game - Cove Rangers

Inverness CT - half-time state
44% leading44% draw11% trailing
Cove Rangers - half-time state
25% leading39% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.78Points per game (1st half)1.14
Inverness CTCove Rangers
0.78Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Inverness CTCove Rangers
0.3Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
Inverness CTCove Rangers
1.07Average goals (1st half)1.11
Inverness CTCove Rangers
74%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
37%No goal before half-time64%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.93Points per game (2nd half)1.21
Inverness CTCove Rangers
0.96Goals scored (2nd half)0.61
Inverness CTCove Rangers
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Inverness CTCove Rangers
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.18
Inverness CTCove Rangers
74%Clean sheet after half-time54%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
37%No goal after half-time61%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

Inverness CT - second-half results

56% W26% D19% L
48
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding143%

Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Cove Rangers - second-half results

29% W36% D36% L
32
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Inverness CT - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.80
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game1.01.0
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Cove Rangers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.60
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
5
4
16-30
8
2
31-45
8
2
46-60
11
4
61-75
7
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Cove Rangers
ScoredConceded
5
11
0-15
4
6
16-30
5
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
7
6
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-72%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.95
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Cove Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Inverness CTLigaCove Rangers
Average goals per game 2.372.62 2.39
Both teams scored 37%47% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%52% 46%
Clean sheets 59%29% 21%
Goal before half-time 70%75% 68%
Goal after half-time 78%81% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / game
1.20
Away goals / game
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Inverness CTGoalAlfie StewartAssist: Paul Allan
  2. Cove RangersYellow cardChris Maguire
  3. Cove RangersSubstitutionOn: Reuben McAllisterOff: Lewis O'Donnell
  4. Inverness CTYellow cardRemmi Savage
  5. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Calum MacleodOff: Jordan Alonge
  6. Cove RangersSubstitutionOn: David Didi EguaiborOff: Chris Maguire
  7. Cove RangersYellow cardArron Darge
  8. Cove RangersGoalBalint DemusAssist: Reuben McAllister

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Inverness CT's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Cove Rangers. Games average 0.67 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Cove Rangers FC
0 : 0
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
1 : 0
Cove Rangers FC
Cove Rangers FC
0 : 1
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC

FAQ

What was the result of Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers?

The League One match finished Inverness CT 1:1 Cove Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Inverness CT and Cove Rangers?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Inverness CT won 2, Cove Rangers won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers?

Inverness CT score 1.74 goals per game on average and Cove Rangers 1.11. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Inverness CT's matches and 43% of Cove Rangers's.

What form are Inverness CT and Cove Rangers in?

Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Cove Rangers 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.