Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 23 July 2026

Irapuato vs Atlante: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Irapuato vs Atlante: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Irapuato play Atlante in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 1 February 2026 at 02:00.

Current form

Irapuato: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atlante: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Irapuato scores 1.59 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Atlante scores 1.84 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Irapuato 56%, Atlante 50%. Over 2.5: Irapuato 62%, Atlante 47%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Atlante has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.59. Irapuato: 12.8 shots per match, Atlante: 17.3.

Match halves

Irapuato: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.06. Atlante: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.06.

Goals by minute

Irapuato: 46-60 (16 goals). Atlante: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.07)
(3.00)
(2.42)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.59Goals scored / match1.84
IrapuatoAtlante
1.41Goals conceded / match0.97
IrapuatoAtlante
56%Average possession62%
IrapuatoAtlante
4.82Shots on target / match6.47
IrapuatoAtlante

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.85Shots per match17.25
IrapuatoAtlante
4.82Shots on target6.47
IrapuatoAtlante
12.4%Shot conversion10.7%
IrapuatoAtlante
56%Possession62%
IrapuatoAtlante
1.59xG for1.93
IrapuatoAtlante
1.35xG against0.95
IrapuatoAtlante

Shooting quality

Irapuato: BalancedAtlante: Dominant
IrapuatoAtlante
Accuracy (shots on target)38%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Irapuato is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Irapuato · 1.4 pts / match - Atlante

Irapuato
DLWWD
Season result split
35% W35% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-12-10
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-7-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LWDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Atlante
WLDWL
Season result split
47% W28% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-9-8
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-6
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlante is 16% better for: goals scored per match.

1.59 goals / match - Irapuato · 1.84 goals / match - Atlante

Atlante is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.41 goals / match - Irapuato · 0.97 goals / match - Atlante

Irapuato scoring profile: strong

Irapuato scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).

Atlante scoring profile: very strong

Atlante scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Irapuato keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).

54Goals scored (season)59
IrapuatoAtlante
48Goals conceded (season)31
IrapuatoAtlante
3Average goals in match2.81
IrapuatoAtlante
7Goals scored (last 5)7
IrapuatoAtlante
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
IrapuatoAtlante

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal84%
IrapuatoAtlante
44%2 goals44%
IrapuatoAtlante
21%3 goals28%
IrapuatoAtlante
15%4 goals16%
IrapuatoAtlante

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal63%
IrapuatoAtlante
41%2 goals19%
IrapuatoAtlante
15%3 goals13%
IrapuatoAtlante
12%4 goals3%
IrapuatoAtlante

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time22%
IrapuatoAtlante
3%BTTS in both halves0%
IrapuatoAtlante
29%Scored in both halves22%
IrapuatoAtlante

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
IrapuatoAtlante
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
IrapuatoAtlante
60%BTTS - last 560%
IrapuatoAtlante

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
IrapuatoAtlante
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
IrapuatoAtlante
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
IrapuatoAtlante

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
IrapuatoAtlante
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
IrapuatoAtlante
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
IrapuatoAtlante

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlante is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.09 pts / match - Irapuato · 1.38 pts / match - Atlante

Irapuato - half-time state
24% leading38% draw38% trailing
Atlante - half-time state
31% leading44% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.09Points per match (1st half)1.38
IrapuatoAtlante
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.78
IrapuatoAtlante
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
IrapuatoAtlante
1.18Average goals (1st half)1.31
IrapuatoAtlante
50%Clean sheet before half-time59%
IrapuatoAtlante
59%No goal before half-time53%
IrapuatoAtlante

After half-time (2nd half)

1.59Points per match (2nd half)1.81
IrapuatoAtlante
1.06Goals scored (2nd half)1.06
IrapuatoAtlante
0.76Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
IrapuatoAtlante
1.82Average goals (2nd half)1.5
IrapuatoAtlante
53%Clean sheet after half-time66%
IrapuatoAtlante
41%No goal after half-time41%
IrapuatoAtlante

Irapuato - second-half results

41% W35% R24% P
37
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlante - second-half results

50% W31% R19% P
44
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Irapuato - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Atlante - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Irapuato
ScoredConceded
7
7
0-15
5
8
16-30
6
7
31-45
16
6
46-60
7
7
61-75
13
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Atlante
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
3
7
16-30
14
6
31-45
9
7
46-60
10
3
61-75
15
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.91
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+38%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Irapuato

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Atlante

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.98
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-21.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
163%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

IrapuatoLigaAtlante
Average goals in match 3.002.85 2.81
Both teams scored 56%57% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 62%53% 47%
Clean sheets 29%25% 38%
Goal before half-time 74%74% 66%
Goal after half-time 76%80% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Irapuato 0 - 0 - 1 Atlante. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Club Atlante
4 : 0
Deportivo Irapuato

FAQ

When do Irapuato and Atlante play?

Irapuato face Atlante on 1 February 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Irapuato vs Atlante?

Irapuato score 1.59 goals per game on average and Atlante 1.84. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Irapuato's matches and 50% of Atlante's.

What form are Irapuato and Atlante in?

Over the last 5 games Irapuato have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlante 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Irapuato vs Atlante?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Irapuato vs Atlante: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.