Irapuato vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics
Irapuato displays significantly better home form with 46% wins and an impressive goal difference of +10 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per match at home, boasting high possession (58%) and better xG stats (1.79 vs 1.34). Atlético Zacatepec performs poorly on the road with only 30% wins, a negative goal difference (-3), and lower offensive efficiency (1.3 goals/match). The recent form of both teams is similar; however, Irapuato's advantage in home matches and the clear difference in quality on their own pitch favor a home win. Nevertheless, it's important to consider Irapuato's relatively high draw rate at home (38%), which increases the likelihood of a points split.
Irapuato vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Irapuato played against Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 6:2.
Recent form
Irapuato has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Atlético Zacatepec has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Irapuato scores 1.48 goals per game and allows 1.41. Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.19 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Irapuato's games and 57% of Atlético Zacatepec's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 48%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Irapuato has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.29 per game. Irapuato takes 12.2 shots per game, while Atlético Zacatepec takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Irapuato leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Zacatepec leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Irapuato's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Atlético Zacatepec, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Irapuato displays significantly better home form with 46% wins and an impressive goal difference of +10 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per match at home, boasting high possession (58%) and better xG stats (1.79 vs 1.34). Atlético Zacatepec performs poorly on the road with only 30% wins, a negative goal difference (-3), and lower offensive efficiency (1.3 goals/match). The recent form of both teams is similar; however, Irapuato's advantage in home matches and the clear difference in quality on their own pitch favor a home win. Nevertheless, it's important to consider Irapuato's relatively high draw rate at home (38%), which increases the likelihood of a points split.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Irapuato | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético Zacatepec is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Irapuato · 1.6 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Irapuato is 24% better for: goals scored per game.
1.48 goals / game - Irapuato · 1.19 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Irapuato is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.41 goals / game - Irapuato · 1.67 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Irapuato scores in 70% of games (19 of 27 meczów), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 meczów).
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Irapuato keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Irapuato
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Irapuato is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / game - Irapuato · 1.1 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Irapuato - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Irapuato
Atlético Zacatepec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Irapuato | Liga | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.89 | 2.88 | • 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Atlético ZacatepecYellow cardYohan Salwan Zetuna
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Irapuato's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Atlético Zacatepec. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Irapuato vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The Ascenso MX match finished Irapuato 6:2 Atlético Zacatepec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Irapuato vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Irapuato score 1.48 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 1.19. The Ascenso MX average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Irapuato's matches and 57% of Atlético Zacatepec's.
What form are Irapuato and Atlético Zacatepec in?
Over the last 5 games Irapuato have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Irapuato vs Atlético Zacatepec?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.