Irapuato vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics
Irapuato displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and only 10% losses at their stadium, achieving a positive goal difference of +7. The hosts dominate in possession (58%) and show high efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 1.7 goals with an xG of 1.79. Leones Negros, despite a better recent overall form (2.4 PTS/match), present poor away statistics - 50% losses, a negative goal difference of -4, and only a 38% win rate on the road. The visitors score an average of just 1 goal away from home with an xG of 1.12, indicating offensive issues. Considering Irapuato's advantage in home matches and the weaknesses of Leones Negros in away fixtures, the hosts have a realistic chance of securing three points, though Irapuato's series of draws in recent matches (3 out of 5) suggests that a points split is also likely.
Irapuato vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Irapuato played against Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 18, 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Irapuato has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Irapuato scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.33. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.47 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.98 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Irapuato's games and 53% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 41%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.51 per game. Irapuato takes 12.1 shots per game, while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Irapuato leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.88 after halftime.
When the teams score
Irapuato's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.98 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Irapuato displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and only 10% losses at their stadium, achieving a positive goal difference of +7. The hosts dominate in possession (58%) and show high efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 1.7 goals with an xG of 1.79. Leones Negros, despite a better recent overall form (2.4 PTS/match), present poor away statistics - 50% losses, a negative goal difference of -4, and only a 38% win rate on the road. The visitors score an average of just 1 goal away from home with an xG of 1.12, indicating offensive issues. Considering Irapuato's advantage in home matches and the weaknesses of Leones Negros in away fixtures, the hosts have a realistic chance of securing three points, though Irapuato's series of draws in recent matches (3 out of 5) suggests that a points split is also likely.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Irapuato | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Irapuato · 2.4 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Irapuato · 1.47 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Irapuato scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while Irapuato keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Irapuato
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / game - Irapuato · 1.29 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Irapuato - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Irapuato
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Irapuato | Liga | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.67 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 81% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraYellow cardMiguel Alejandro Nuño Medina
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Édson Ulises Rivera VargasOff: Denilson Saaid Muñoz Bustamante
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Juan de Dios Aguayo MorenoOff: Jonathan Alejandro Sánchez Hernández
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Irapuato's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Irapuato vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
The Ascenso MX match finished Irapuato 4:1 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Irapuato vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Irapuato score 1.33 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1.47. The Ascenso MX average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Irapuato's matches and 53% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.
What form are Irapuato and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Irapuato have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Irapuato vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.