Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco: match statistics
Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Isidro Metapán played against Fuerte San Francisco in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Isidro Metapán has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Fuerte San Francisco has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Isidro Metapán scores 1.23 goals per game and allows 1.23. Fuerte San Francisco scores 0.83 and allows 1.69. Games in this league average 2.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Isidro Metapán's games and 50% of Fuerte San Francisco's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 45%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fuerte San Francisco has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.31 per game. Isidro Metapán takes 9.2 shots per game, while Fuerte San Francisco takes 9.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Isidro Metapán leads at halftime in 34% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Fuerte San Francisco leads at halftime in 10% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Isidro Metapán's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (15 goals). For Fuerte San Francisco, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Salvadoran Primera División games average 2.69 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Isidro Metapán is the favorite for this match: in the season they have 16 wins, 15 draws and 13 losses with a goal record of 54-54, and at home they average 1.14 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per match. Fuerte San Francisco has only 5 wins and 21 losses this season; away they score 0.9 goals and concede 1.52 on average, and in their last 5 matches they scored 2 goals while conceding 7. The hosts' advantage in quality of chances is also visible in xG: Isidro at home has 1.46 xG versus 1.26 xG for the visitors on the road, they register 5.05 shots on target per match against Fuerte's 3.65 on target and maintain higher possession (53% vs 43%). Additionally, Isidro has a lower share of matches without scoring (36% vs 48%), a higher clean sheet percentage (36% vs 24%) and better recent points form (1 point on average in the last 5 matches versus 0.4 for the visitors), all indicating a more stable home defense. On this basis I tip a home win ('1') with estimated probabilities: 65% for Isidro, 20% for a draw and 15% for Fuerte.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict BTTS - Yes as more likely (58% vs 42%) because seasonal data shows a moderate tendency for both teams to score: Isidro Metapán has BTTS in 57% of matches, Fuerte San Francisco in 43%, and the league average is 53%. Both teams keep a clean sheet in only 24% of fixtures (meaning in 76% they concede at least once), so assuming approximate independence the probability that both concede is about 0.76*0.76 ≈ 58%. Supporting this are xG and goals stats: Isidro has xG 1.40 and concedes on average 1.86 goals this season, Fuerte has xG 1.26 and concedes 1.52 on average — a combined 3.38 conceded goals per pairing, which suggests an open game conducive to Goal/Goal. The counterargument is recent form: in the last 5 matches both teams have BTTS at 40% and Fuerte scores only 0.4 goals on average in their last five, which lowers confidence; nonetheless the prevailing seasonal signals and clean sheet indicators favor the "yes" option.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Isidro Metapán’s season goals average is 0.76, Fuerte San Francisco 0.90, but xG indicates 1.40 for the home side and 1.26 for the away side, giving a combined xG = 2.66. Defensively Isidro concedes 1.86 goals per match on average, Fuerte 1.52, and both teams have 71% of matches with over 1.5 goals this season (71%/71%), which strongly supports Over 1.5. Additionally, 81% of Isidro’s matches and 86% of Fuerte’s matches finish above 0.5 goals, and the average shots are 10.62 (home) vs 9.0 (away) with conversion rates of 7% and 11%, increasing the probability of at least two goals. Season Over 2.5 rates are 43% for the home side and 48% for the away side (average ≈46%), so the 2.5 line is balanced and I assess the chance of Over 2.5 at about 48%, whereas Over 3.5 has weak support: 33%/19% (average ≈26%). Consequently the strongest statistical signal is Over 1.5 (pick: Over at 1.5) with an estimated probability ~72% and expected xG 1.40 (home) and 1.26 (away), total 2.66.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most likely outcome is a draw: the home team were level at the break in 48% of matches and the visitors in 52% (about 50% on average), so a draw after 45 minutes carries the greatest weight. For the final result the season-long indicators favor the visitors — the away side win 19% of matches versus only 5% for the hosts, and shot conversion is 11% for the visitors compared to 7% for the hosts, which benefits the visitors in the decisive phase. The home team concedes on average 1.86 goals per match versus 1.52 conceded by the visitors, and the home xG is 1.40 against the visitors’ 1.26 — this shows the hosts create slightly more chances but finish them worse. Considering the high share of draws at half-time (~50%) and the seasonal advantage in finishing for the visitors, I indicate the most likely scenario as a draw at half-time and an away win (X/2). In my distribution I assigned this scenario the single highest weight (20%), while alternatives such as draw/draw (X/X) and visitors leading from half-time to full-time (2/2) also hold significant shares (~20% each), reflecting considerable instability in both teams.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Isidro Metapán | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Isidro Metapán is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Isidro Metapán · 0.4 pts / game - Fuerte San Francisco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Isidro Metapán is 48% better for: goals scored per game.
1.23 goals / game - Isidro Metapán · 0.83 goals / game - Fuerte San Francisco
Isidro Metapán is 37% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.23 goals / game - Isidro Metapán · 1.69 goals / game - Fuerte San Francisco
Isidro Metapán scores in 73% of games (32 of 44 games), while Fuerte San Francisco keeps a clean sheet in 24% (10 of 42 games).
Fuerte San Francisco scores in 57% of games (24 of 42 games), while Isidro Metapán keeps a clean sheet in 27% (12 of 44 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Isidro Metapán
Over / Under - Fuerte San Francisco
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Isidro Metapán is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / game - Isidro Metapán · 0.79 pts / game - Fuerte San Francisco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Isidro Metapán - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 34% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Fuerte San Francisco - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 12%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Isidro Metapán
Fuerte San Francisco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Isidro Metapán | Liga | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.45 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 67% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Fuerte San FranciscoGoalJoshua Gallardo
- Fuerte San FranciscoGoalMichael Yosimar Rodríguez Quiñónez
- Isidro MetapánGoalMelvin Alberto Cartagena Portillo
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Isidro Metapán's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Fuerte San Francisco. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Isidro Metapán 1:3 Fuerte San Francisco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Isidro Metapán and Fuerte San Francisco?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Isidro Metapán won 1, Fuerte San Francisco won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Isidro Metapán score 1.23 goals per game on average and Fuerte San Francisco 0.83. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Isidro Metapán's matches and 50% of Fuerte San Francisco's.
What form are Isidro Metapán and Fuerte San Francisco in?
Over the last 5 games Isidro Metapán have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Fuerte San Francisco 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?
The statistical background for Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.