Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: match statistics
Istra 1961 displays solid home form with a 44% win rate and a neutral goal difference on home turf. The hosts have averaged 2 points per match in their last five outings, winning three of them. Conversely, Lokomotiva Zagreb has very poor away form – just 11% wins on the road, zero clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of minus eight. The visitors have lost four of their last five matches, conceding 11 goals. Although Lokomotiva has slightly better possession stats (54%), their defensive efficiency away is drastic, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Given the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' crisis in form, Istra 1961 is the clear favorite for this encounter.
Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Istra 1961 played against Lokomotiva Zagreb in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game was played on January 30, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Istra 1961 has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Lokomotiva Zagreb has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Istra 1961 scores 1.37 goals per game and allows 1.26. Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.16 and allows 1.63. Games in this league average 2.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of Istra 1961's games and 79% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 47%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lokomotiva Zagreb has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.32 per game. Istra 1961 takes 10.4 shots per game, while Lokomotiva Zagreb takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Istra 1961 leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Lokomotiva Zagreb leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Istra 1961's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Lokomotiva Zagreb, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prva HNL games average 2.74 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Istra 1961 displays solid home form with a 44% win rate and a neutral goal difference on home turf. The hosts have averaged 2 points per match in their last five outings, winning three of them. Conversely, Lokomotiva Zagreb has very poor away form – just 11% wins on the road, zero clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of minus eight. The visitors have lost four of their last five matches, conceding 11 goals. Although Lokomotiva has slightly better possession stats (54%), their defensive efficiency away is drastic, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Given the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' crisis in form, Istra 1961 is the clear favorite for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Istra 1961 | Lokomotiva Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Istra 1961 is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Istra 1961 · 0.8 pts / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Istra 1961 is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
1.37 goals / game - Istra 1961 · 1.16 goals / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961 is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.26 goals / game - Istra 1961 · 1.63 goals / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961 scores in 79% of games (15 of 19 meczów), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 meczów).
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 89% of games (17 of 19 meczów), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Istra 1961
Over / Under - Lokomotiva Zagreb
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiva Zagreb is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / game - Istra 1961 · 1.32 pts / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Istra 1961 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 26%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Istra 1961
Lokomotiva Zagreb
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Istra 1961 | Liga | Lokomotiva Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.63 | 2.74 | • 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▲ 79% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 22% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 84% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Istra 1961's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Lokomotiva Zagreb. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
The Prva HNL match finished Istra 1961 1:1 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Istra 1961 and Lokomotiva Zagreb?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 1, Lokomotiva Zagreb won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Istra 1961 score 1.37 goals per game on average and Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.16. The Prva HNL average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Istra 1961's matches and 79% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's.
What form are Istra 1961 and Lokomotiva Zagreb in?
Over the last 5 games Istra 1961 have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.