Ivory Coast vs Ecuador: match statistics
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ivory Coast play Ecuador in World Cup (International). The match date is 15 June 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Ivory Coast: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match. Ecuador: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ivory Coast scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Ecuador scores 0.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ivory Coast 50%, Ecuador 25%. Over 2.5: Ivory Coast 50%, Ecuador 25%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Ecuador has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.38. Ivory Coast: 11.3 shots per match, Ecuador: 13.3.
Match halves
Ivory Coast: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.75. Ecuador: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Ivory Coast: 61-75 (2 goals). Ecuador: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
World Cup: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Ecuador is stronger in the rankings, but Ivory Coast has a very powerful physical profile and can shift the game’s momentum through duels. The pick on Ivory Coast stems from the market underestimating their chances, not from a large sporting advantage. Our probability distribution is Ivory Coast 35%, draw 28% and Ecuador 37%. At odds of 3.80 the model shows EV of about +33.0%, so the price provides a real edge compared to our valuation. The risk is Ecuador’s organization without the ball and their ability to close spaces between the lines. Status: BET.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ivory Coast | Ecuador | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.10 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ivory Coast is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Ivory Coast · 1 pts / match - Ecuador
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ivory Coast is 150% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Ivory Coast · 0.5 goals / match - Ecuador
Ivory Coast scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Ecuador keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Ecuador scores in 25% of matches (1 of 4 matches), while Ivory Coast keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ivory Coast
Over / Under — Ecuador
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ivory Coast is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Ivory Coast · 0.75 pts / match - Ecuador
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ivory Coast - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ecuador - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ivory Coast
Ecuador
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).
Teams vs league
| Ivory Coast | Liga | Ecuador | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.98 | ▼ 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
The World Cup match finished Ivory Coast 1:0 Ecuador. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
Ivory Coast score 1.25 goals per game on average and Ecuador 0.50. The World Cup average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ivory Coast's matches and 25% of Ecuador's.
What form are Ivory Coast and Ecuador in?
Over the last 5 games Ivory Coast have a 2-0-2 record (1.50 points per game) and Ecuador 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.