Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava: match statistics
Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jablonec play Baník Ostrava in First League (Czechia). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Jablonec: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Baník Ostrava: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jablonec scores 1.29 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. Baník Ostrava scores 0.91 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jablonec 43%, Baník Ostrava 37%. Over 2.5: Jablonec 40%, Baník Ostrava 31%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Baník Ostrava has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.36. Jablonec: 11.6 shots per match, Baník Ostrava: 13.8.
Match halves
Jablonec: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.60. Baník Ostrava: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.51.
Goals by minute
Jablonec: 16-30 (10 goals). Baník Ostrava: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Jablonec has a clear advantage in home metrics: at home they average 1.31 goals scored and concede 0.92 per match, with 54% clean sheets and 46% home wins, while Baník away records only 0.57 goals per game and concedes 1.36, with just 14% clean sheets and 7% away wins. Baník produces similar xG (1.55 away vs 1.42 xG for Jablonec at home) and slightly higher possession (53% vs 50%), but poor efficiency (4% shot conversion) and 57% of matches without scoring mean those chances rarely translate into goals. In the last 5 matches both teams average 0.8 points per game and have one win each, but Jablonec scored 6 and conceded 9 in their last five, while Baník scored 8 and conceded 10, indicating greater defensive stability from the home side. Considering Jablonec’s higher home efficiency (11% shot conversion vs Baník’s 4%), lower risk of failing to score (15% vs 57%) and advantage in clean sheets, I predict a home win with approximate probabilities: 60% Jablonec, 25% draw, 15% Baník.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jablonec | Baník Ostrava | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Baník Ostrava is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Jablonec · 1.4 pts / match - Baník Ostrava
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Jablonec is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Jablonec · 0.91 goals / match - Baník Ostrava
Jablonec scores in 77% of matches (27 of 35 matches), while Baník Ostrava keeps a clean sheet in 23% (8 of 35 matches).
Baník Ostrava scores in 51% of matches (18 of 35 matches), while Jablonec keeps a clean sheet in 40% (14 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Jablonec
Over / Under — Baník Ostrava
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jablonec is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.54 pts / match - Jablonec · 0.97 pts / match - Baník Ostrava
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jablonec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Baník Ostrava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jablonec
Baník Ostrava
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Jablonec | Liga | Baník Ostrava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 50% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 49% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 75% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Jablonec 1 - 0 - 0 Baník Ostrava. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
The First League match finished Jablonec 4:1 Baník Ostrava. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
Jablonec score 1.29 goals per game on average and Baník Ostrava 0.91. The First League average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Jablonec's matches and 37% of Baník Ostrava's.
What form are Jablonec and Baník Ostrava in?
Over the last 5 games Jablonec have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Baník Ostrava 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.