Jagiellonia Białystok vs Legia Warszawa: match statistics
Jagiellonia Białystok displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference of +10. The hosts score an average of 2.56 goals per home match with only 11% of matches failing to score. Legia Warszawa, on the other hand, performs significantly worse away from home, winning only 9% of their matches and conceding an average of 1.55 goals with a negative goal difference of -6. Both teams' form in their last five matches is similar (1.6 PPG), yet Jagiellonia's home advantage and Legia's away weakness point towards the hosts. xG statistics also favor Białystok (2.0 vs 1.69), confirming their offensive edge. I expect a Jagiellonia victory, although Legia's solid form in recent matches could lead to a closely contested encounter.
Jagiellonia Białystok vs Legia Warszawa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Jagiellonia Białystok played against Legia Warszawa in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Jagiellonia Białystok has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Legia Warszawa has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Jagiellonia Białystok scores 1.76 goals per game and allows 1.14. Legia Warszawa scores 1.14 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Jagiellonia Białystok's games and 64% of Legia Warszawa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 45%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Legia Warszawa has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.79 per game. Jagiellonia Białystok takes 15.3 shots per game, while Legia Warszawa takes 15.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Jagiellonia Białystok leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 1.10 goals per game after halftime. Legia Warszawa leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.77 after halftime.
When the teams score
Jagiellonia Białystok's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Legia Warszawa, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ekstraklasa games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Jagiellonia Białystok displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference of +10. The hosts score an average of 2.56 goals per home match with only 11% of matches failing to score. Legia Warszawa, on the other hand, performs significantly worse away from home, winning only 9% of their matches and conceding an average of 1.55 goals with a negative goal difference of -6. Both teams' form in their last five matches is similar (1.6 PPG), yet Jagiellonia's home advantage and Legia's away weakness point towards the hosts. xG statistics also favor Białystok (2.0 vs 1.69), confirming their offensive edge. I expect a Jagiellonia victory, although Legia's solid form in recent matches could lead to a closely contested encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Jagiellonia Białystok | Legia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Jagiellonia Białystok · 1 pts / game - Legia Warszawa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 54% better for: goals scored per game.
1.76 goals / game - Jagiellonia Białystok · 1.14 goals / game - Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia Białystok is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.14 goals / game - Jagiellonia Białystok · 1.23 goals / game - Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia Białystok scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 meczów), while Legia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 meczów).
Legia Warszawa scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while Jagiellonia Białystok keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jagiellonia Białystok
Over / Under - Legia Warszawa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Jagiellonia Białystok · 1.09 pts / game - Legia Warszawa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jagiellonia Białystok - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Legia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Jagiellonia Białystok
Legia Warszawa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Jagiellonia Białystok | Liga | Legia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.90 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 25% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Jagiellonia Białystok's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Legia Warszawa. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Jagiellonia Białystok vs Legia Warszawa?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2 Legia Warszawa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jagiellonia Białystok vs Legia Warszawa?
Jagiellonia Białystok score 1.76 goals per game on average and Legia Warszawa 1.14. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Jagiellonia Białystok's matches and 64% of Legia Warszawa's.
What form are Jagiellonia Białystok and Legia Warszawa in?
Over the last 5 games Jagiellonia Białystok have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Legia Warszawa 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Legia Warszawa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.