Jaguares de Córdoba vs Independiente Medellín: match statistics
The match shapes up to be very evenly matched, which suggests a draw. Jaguares de Córdoba present a solid home form with a 60% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+1), however, their last five overall fixtures show a clear crisis (4 losses). Independiente Medellín has a weaker away record (only a 20% win rate) but shows greater stability in recent matches (1.2 PPG) and draws more frequently on the road (40%). The xG statistics for both teams are very close (1.03 vs 1.14 for the visitors), which suggests an even quality of play. Considering the hosts' crisis in form and the visitors' tendency to draw, the most likely outcome seems to be a sharing of the points, although the hosts are given a slight edge due to their better disposition at their own stadium.
Jaguares de Córdoba vs Independiente Medellín: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jaguares de Córdoba play Independiente Medellín in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 16 March 2026 at 00:20. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Jaguares de Córdoba: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Independiente Medellín: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jaguares de Córdoba scores 1.05 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Independiente Medellín scores 1.37 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jaguares de Córdoba 53%, Independiente Medellín 68%. Over 2.5: Jaguares de Córdoba 53%, Independiente Medellín 58%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Medellín has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.11. Jaguares de Córdoba: 11.1 shots per match, Independiente Medellín: 14.6.
Match halves
Jaguares de Córdoba: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68. Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Jaguares de Córdoba: 76-90+ (6 goals). Independiente Medellín: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
The match shapes up to be very evenly matched, which suggests a draw. Jaguares de Córdoba present a solid home form with a 60% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+1), however, their last five overall fixtures show a clear crisis (4 losses). Independiente Medellín has a weaker away record (only a 20% win rate) but shows greater stability in recent matches (1.2 PPG) and draws more frequently on the road (40%). The xG statistics for both teams are very close (1.03 vs 1.14 for the visitors), which suggests an even quality of play. Considering the hosts' crisis in form and the visitors' tendency to draw, the most likely outcome seems to be a sharing of the points, although the hosts are given a slight edge due to their better disposition at their own stadium.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jaguares de Córdoba | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente Medellín is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Jaguares de Córdoba · 1.8 pts / match - Independiente Medellín
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Medellín is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Jaguares de Córdoba · 1.37 goals / match - Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Jaguares de Córdoba · 1.26 goals / match - Independiente Medellín
Jaguares de Córdoba scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Independiente Medellín scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Jaguares de Córdoba keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Jaguares de Córdoba
Over / Under — Independiente Medellín
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jaguares de Córdoba is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Jaguares de Córdoba · 0.84 pts / match - Independiente Medellín
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jaguares de Córdoba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jaguares de Córdoba
Independiente Medellín
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Jaguares de Córdoba | Liga | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.79 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 53% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 48% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Jaguares de Córdoba vs Independiente Medellín?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Jaguares de Córdoba 1:2 Independiente Medellín. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jaguares de Córdoba vs Independiente Medellín?
Jaguares de Córdoba score 1.05 goals per game on average and Independiente Medellín 1.37. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Jaguares de Córdoba's matches and 68% of Independiente Medellín's.
What form are Jaguares de Córdoba and Independiente Medellín in?
Over the last 5 games Jaguares de Córdoba have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Independiente Medellín 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Independiente Medellín?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Independiente Medellín: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.