Jaguares de Córdoba vs Independiente Medellín: match statistics
The match shapes up to be very evenly matched, which suggests a draw. Jaguares de Córdoba present a solid home form with a 60% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+1), however, their last five overall fixtures show a clear crisis (4 losses). Independiente Medellín has a weaker away record (only a 20% win rate) but shows greater stability in recent matches (1.2 PPG) and draws more frequently on the road (40%). The xG statistics for both teams are very close (1.03 vs 1.14 for the visitors), which suggests an even quality of play. Considering the hosts' crisis in form and the visitors' tendency to draw, the most likely outcome seems to be a sharing of the points, although the hosts are given a slight edge due to their better disposition at their own stadium.
Jaguares de Córdoba vs Independiente Medellín: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Jaguares de Córdoba played against Independiente Medellín in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Jaguares de Córdoba has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Independiente Medellín has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Jaguares de Córdoba scores 0.90 goals per game and allows 1.90. Independiente Medellín scores 1.22 and allows 1.56. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Jaguares de Córdoba's games and 78% of Independiente Medellín's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 67%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Independiente Medellín has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 0.93 per game. Jaguares de Córdoba takes 9.0 shots per game, while Independiente Medellín takes 15.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Jaguares de Córdoba leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Independiente Medellín leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Jaguares de Córdoba's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Independiente Medellín, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be very evenly matched, which suggests a draw. Jaguares de Córdoba present a solid home form with a 60% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+1), however, their last five overall fixtures show a clear crisis (4 losses). Independiente Medellín has a weaker away record (only a 20% win rate) but shows greater stability in recent matches (1.2 PPG) and draws more frequently on the road (40%). The xG statistics for both teams are very close (1.03 vs 1.14 for the visitors), which suggests an even quality of play. Considering the hosts' crisis in form and the visitors' tendency to draw, the most likely outcome seems to be a sharing of the points, although the hosts are given a slight edge due to their better disposition at their own stadium.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Jaguares de Córdoba | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Independiente Medellín is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Jaguares de Córdoba · 1 pts / game - Independiente Medellín
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Medellín is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
0.9 goals / game - Jaguares de Córdoba · 1.22 goals / game - Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.9 goals / game - Jaguares de Córdoba · 1.56 goals / game - Independiente Medellín
Jaguares de Córdoba scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 meczów), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 meczów).
Independiente Medellín scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 meczów), while Jaguares de Córdoba keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jaguares de Córdoba
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jaguares de Córdoba is 105% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / game - Jaguares de Córdoba · 0.44 pts / game - Independiente Medellín
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jaguares de Córdoba - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Jaguares de Córdoba
Independiente Medellín
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Jaguares de Córdoba | Liga | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.80 | 2.56 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 56% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 26% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 67% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Independiente MedellínSubstitutionOn: Leonardo Javier Escorcia BarrazaOff: Kevin Andrés Mantilla Camargo
- Jaguares de CórdobaSubstitutionOn: Darwin Guillermo López TobíasOff: Jhons Bayro Altamiranda Arrieta
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Jaguares de Córdoba vs Independiente Medellín?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Jaguares de Córdoba 1:2 Independiente Medellín. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jaguares de Córdoba vs Independiente Medellín?
Jaguares de Córdoba score 0.90 goals per game on average and Independiente Medellín 1.22. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Jaguares de Córdoba's matches and 78% of Independiente Medellín's.
What form are Jaguares de Córdoba and Independiente Medellín in?
Over the last 5 games Jaguares de Córdoba have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Independiente Medellín 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Independiente Medellín?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Independiente Medellín: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.