Jahn Regensburg vs Ulm: match statistics
Jahn Regensburg presents decidedly better home form with 50% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium. The hosts have won 6 of the last 12 home matches, which demonstrates their solidity before their own crowd. Ulm, on the other hand, performs very poorly away with only 25% wins and a high percentage of losses amounting to 67%, conceding an average of 2.17 goals per away match and holding a negative goal difference of -10. Regensburg's advantage in shot efficiency (14% vs 11%) and higher average of shots on target per match at home (5.58 vs 3.5 for the visitors) additionally speaks for the hosts. Although both teams have identical form in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG), Regensburg's decidedly better home statistics in confrontation with Ulm's disastrous away results give the hosts a real advantage.
Jahn Regensburg vs Ulm: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jahn Regensburg play Ulm in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Jahn Regensburg: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Ulm: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jahn Regensburg scores 1.42 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Ulm scores 1.29 and concedes 2.05. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jahn Regensburg 50%, Ulm 74%. Over 2.5: Jahn Regensburg 55%, Ulm 66%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Jahn Regensburg has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.43. Jahn Regensburg: 13.1 shots per match, Ulm: 11.8.
Match halves
Jahn Regensburg: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.79. Ulm: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Jahn Regensburg: 76-90+ (12 goals). Ulm: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Jahn Regensburg presents decidedly better home form with 50% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium. The hosts have won 6 of the last 12 home matches, which demonstrates their solidity before their own crowd. Ulm, on the other hand, performs very poorly away with only 25% wins and a high percentage of losses amounting to 67%, conceding an average of 2.17 goals per away match and holding a negative goal difference of -10. Regensburg's advantage in shot efficiency (14% vs 11%) and higher average of shots on target per match at home (5.58 vs 3.5 for the visitors) additionally speaks for the hosts. Although both teams have identical form in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG), Regensburg's decidedly better home statistics in confrontation with Ulm's disastrous away results give the hosts a real advantage.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jahn Regensburg | Ulm | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Jahn Regensburg is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Jahn Regensburg · 0.8 pts / match - Ulm
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Jahn Regensburg is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Jahn Regensburg · 1.29 goals / match - Ulm
Jahn Regensburg is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Jahn Regensburg · 2.05 goals / match - Ulm
Jahn Regensburg scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 13% (5 of 38 matches).
Ulm scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Jahn Regensburg keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Jahn Regensburg
Over / Under — Ulm
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jahn Regensburg is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Jahn Regensburg · 0.92 pts / match - Ulm
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jahn Regensburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 37%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ulm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jahn Regensburg
Ulm
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Jahn Regensburg | Liga | Ulm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.95 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.34 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 64% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 83% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Jahn Regensburg 0 - 0 - 1 Ulm. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jahn Regensburg vs Ulm?
The 3. Liga match finished Jahn Regensburg 1:1 Ulm. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jahn Regensburg vs Ulm?
Jahn Regensburg score 1.42 goals per game on average and Ulm 1.29. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Jahn Regensburg's matches and 74% of Ulm's.
What form are Jahn Regensburg and Ulm in?
Over the last 5 games Jahn Regensburg have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ulm 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jahn Regensburg vs Ulm?
The statistical background for Jahn Regensburg vs Ulm — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.