Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan: match statistics
Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Jamshedpur played against ATK Mohun Bagan in Indian Super League (India). The game was played on April 4, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Jamshedpur has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. ATK Mohun Bagan has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Jamshedpur scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 0.67. ATK Mohun Bagan scores 2.33 and allows 0.50. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Jamshedpur's games and 33% of ATK Mohun Bagan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 33%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
ATK Mohun Bagan has the higher season xG average, 2.60 to 1.38 per game. Jamshedpur takes 10.2 shots per game, while ATK Mohun Bagan takes 21.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Jamshedpur leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. ATK Mohun Bagan leads at halftime in 67% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Jamshedpur's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For ATK Mohun Bagan, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Indian Super League games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Jamshedpur shows very strong home metrics: 100% home wins, 100% clean sheets, averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded per home match with xG 1.22. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 6 goals and won 3 of 5, averaging 2 points per match in that span. ATK Mohun Bagan has a significantly better season goal tally (14 vs 7) and has scored 12 goals in the last 5 matches; their away xG is 1.93 with 16 shots and 4 on target, compared to the hosts’ 9.33 shots and 2 on target. However, the visitors have a 100% draw rate away and a 100% rate of matches without scoring on the road, which limits their chances despite higher chance creation; both teams also display excellent defensive records (Jamshedpur 0.00 conceded at home, ATK 0.00 conceded away). Considering this, I expect a low-scoring game and give the hosts a slight edge, while a draw remains very likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Jamshedpur has a seasonal xG of 2.73 and scores 2.8 goals per home match on average, with xG against of 0.73 and conceding 0.6 on average, indicating a strong home attack and relatively tight defense. ATK Mohun Bagan has an xG of 2.5 in the last 5 matches and has scored 12 goals (2.4 per match), while conceding 0.6 on average, so the away side are creating plenty of chances and converting. In the last 5 matches BTTS is 60% for the hosts and 40% for the visitors, and the league average BTTS is 54%, meaning both teams score in over half of league games. Although the visitors’ seasonal stats show 0% BTTS and 100% clean sheets away, other metrics — 12 goals in 5, xG 2.5 for the visitors and 4.0 shots on target average for the visitors versus 8.2 SOT for the hosts — suggest the away side can still find the net. Considering the xG comparison (hosts 2.73 vs visitors season 1.93, and visitors’ last 5 matches 2.5), the chance creation and recent form, I tip BTTS - Yes with a 60% probability vs 40% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG assessment shows Jamshedpur with xG 2.73 and ATK Mohun Bagan with 1.93, totaling 4.66 expected goals. The home side averages 8.2 shots on target and 22.2 total shots per game versus the visitors' 4.0 shots on target and 16.0 total, while the season scoring average for hosts is 2.8 goals for and 0.6 conceded, indicating a substantial attacking edge. A Poisson model with lambda = 4.66 yields probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈95%, Over 2.5 ≈84% and Over 3.5 ≈69%. The strongest and most certain market is Over 1.5 (95% probability), therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5; Over 2.5 remains a strong but less certain option (84%). Note the divergence in team indicators: the season share of matches with both teams scoring is 40% for the hosts and 0% for the visitors, while in the last 5 matches it was 60% and 40% respectively, which supports a higher-goal forecast but does not change the conservative recommendation of Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Jamshedpur have a clear lead at the break: they led at half-time in 4 of 5 matches (80%), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded in the first half. Seasonal metrics confirm the home side’s dominance — averaging 2.8 goals per match at home versus 0.0 away for opponents, 2.4 points per home match and an 80% home win rate (seasonScoredAVG_home 2.8; seasonScoredAVG_away 0.0; seasonPPG_home 2.4; winPercentage_home 80.0). Expected goals and shooting efficiency also favor Jamshedpur: home xG 2.73 versus 1.93 for the visitors, and 8.2 shots on target compared to 4.0, with hosts most often scoring between minutes 16–45 (3 goals in 16–30 and 5 goals in 31–45). Based on this, the most likely scenario is Jamshedpur leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1) — I assign this a 50% probability, while alternatives like 1/X (15%) or X/X (6%) receive smaller shares.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Jamshedpur | ATK Mohun Bagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
ATK Mohun Bagan is 99% better for: goals scored per game.
1.17 goals / game - Jamshedpur · 2.33 goals / game - ATK Mohun Bagan
ATK Mohun Bagan is 34% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - Jamshedpur · 0.5 goals / game - ATK Mohun Bagan
Jamshedpur scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while ATK Mohun Bagan keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 meczów).
ATK Mohun Bagan scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 meczów), while Jamshedpur keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jamshedpur
Over / Under - ATK Mohun Bagan
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ATK Mohun Bagan is 117% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Jamshedpur · 2.17 pts / game - ATK Mohun Bagan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jamshedpur - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
ATK Mohun Bagan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Jamshedpur
ATK Mohun Bagan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Indian Super League).
Teams vs league
| Jamshedpur | Liga | ATK Mohun Bagan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.83 | 2.45 | ▲ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 38% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Jamshedpur's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses against ATK Mohun Bagan. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
The Indian Super League match finished Jamshedpur 1:1 ATK Mohun Bagan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Jamshedpur and ATK Mohun Bagan?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Jamshedpur won 1, ATK Mohun Bagan won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
Jamshedpur score 1.17 goals per game on average and ATK Mohun Bagan 2.33. The Indian Super League average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Jamshedpur's matches and 33% of ATK Mohun Bagan's.
What form are Jamshedpur and ATK Mohun Bagan in?
Over the last 5 games Jamshedpur have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and ATK Mohun Bagan 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


