Jaro vs TPS: match statistics
Jaro vs TPS: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Jaro played against TPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Jaro has 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.75 points per game. TPS has 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Jaro scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 0.75. TPS scores 1.50 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.41 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Jaro's games and 75% of TPS's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 25%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
TPS has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.54 per game. Jaro takes 12.5 shots per game, while TPS takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Jaro leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. TPS leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Jaro's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For TPS, it is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.41 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win for TPS because their away offensive metrics are clearly superior: average xG for TPS on the road is 1.84 versus Jaro’s 1.20 xG in home matches, and the visitors average 17 shots per game compared to the hosts’ 8.5. The gap in real goals and finishing is evident — TPS has 6 goals this season and averages 1.0 goal away, while Jaro has only 2 goals this season and averages 0.5 goals per home match; additionally TPS has not had a single goalless away game (FTS 0%), whereas Jaro failed to score in 50% of their home fixtures. Defensively both teams concede roughly 1 goal per game (Jaro 1.0, TPS 1.0), but xG against favors the visitors — Jaro allows 1.04 xG per match while TPS only 0.78 xG, suggesting the visitors limit opponents’ high-quality chances. Form trends reinforce TPS’s edge: in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins and 2 draws with 8 goals and 2.2 points per game, while Jaro’s last 5 show 2 wins and 3 draws with 6 goals and 1.8 points per game. Considering the roughly double shot volume (17 vs 8.5), higher xG (1.84 vs 1.20) and superior PPG (2.2 vs 1.8), I assign TPS a 60% probability to win, draw 25% and Jaro success 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show strong BTTS indicators: Jaro has BTTS 67% this season, while TPS 100%, vs league average 54%, indicating a tilt toward a both-teams-to-score scenario. In the last 5 matches Jaro had BTTS in 60% of games and TPS in 80%, and last-5 goals averages are 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded for Jaro, and 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded for TPS, so both teams regularly find the net. TPS creates more chances (avg 17 shots and xG 1.84) vs Jaro (12 shots and xG 1.47); despite TPS’s lower conversion 6% vs Jaro 14%, the higher chance volume increases the likelihood TPS will score. Additionally TPS has zero clean sheets this season (0% clean sheets), whereas Jaro has 33% clean sheets, suggesting TPS frequently concedes while Jaro is involved in matches with goals at both ends. Considering the season-long 67% and 100%, recent 60% and 80%, higher TPS xG 1.84 and TPS’s lack of clean sheets, I assess BTTS probability at 78% vs 22% and tip 'yes' (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected xG is 1.12 for Jaro and 1.61 for TPS (total 2.73), calculated as the average of team attacking xG and opponent xG against: (1.47+0.78)/2 and (1.84+1.37)/2. Both teams have 100% of matches >1.5 goals this season, and the percentage of games with both teams scoring is 67% for Jaro and 100% for TPS; such historical figures strongly support the 1.5 threshold. A Poisson distribution analysis with an expected total of 2.73 yields about a 51% chance of 3+ goals, however the seasonal profiles diverge: Jaro had 33% of matches >2.5 goals, TPS 0%, so I give the Over 2.5 market a moderate edge (~52%). Exceeding 3.5 goals according to this distribution is around 29%, and seasonally both clubs have 0% of matches >3.5 goals, therefore Under 3.5 (≈71%) appears the safer choice. In summary, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (selection: over at the 1.5 line), because historically both teams had 100% of matches >1.5, the predicted total is 2.73 goals and there is a high percentage of both-teams-to-score games (67% and 100%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Numerical analysis indicates the strongest scenario is the home team leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1): the hosts led at the break in 2 of 3 matches (67%) and kept a clean sheet at half-time in 100% of cases, with an average goals at half-time of 0.67 versus 0.0 for the visitors. Over the full match the hosts average 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, with a win rate of 67% versus 0% wins for the visitors (visitors have 100% draws, 1 of 1 match), which favors a Jaro victory. At the same time TPS generates higher xG (1.84 vs 1.47) and more shots (17 vs 12) but has a low conversion rate of 6% versus the hosts’ 14%, which increases the chance of a late equalizer. Additionally, the visitors scored in minutes 76–90 (1 goal), while the hosts more often concede in 61–75 (2 goals), so I assign a significant but smaller chance to the 1/X scenario. As a result I attribute the highest probability to 1/1 (home leading at the break and winning), though 1/X is realistic due to the visitors’ tendency to draw.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Jaro | TPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.10 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
TPS is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.75 pts / game - Jaro · 2 pts / game - TPS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TPS is 200% better for: goals scored per game.
0.5 goals / game - Jaro · 1.5 goals / game - TPS
Jaro scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 meczów), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
TPS scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Jaro keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jaro
Over / Under - TPS
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jaro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
TPS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.75 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Jaro
TPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Jaro | Liga | TPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.25 | 2.41 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 41% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Jaro vs TPS?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Jaro 2:2 TPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jaro vs TPS?
Jaro score 0.50 goals per game on average and TPS 1.50. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Jaro's matches and 75% of TPS's.
What form are Jaro and TPS in?
Over the last 5 games Jaro have a 0-3-1 record (0.75 points per game) and TPS 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jaro vs TPS?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.