Junior vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Junior play Atlético Nacional in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 1 December 2025 at 00:30. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Junior: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Atlético Nacional: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Junior scores 1.39 and concedes 1.02 goals per match. Atlético Nacional scores 1.67 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.30 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Junior 54%, Atlético Nacional 60%. Over 2.5: Junior 46%, Atlético Nacional 60%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.30. Junior: 11.7 shots per match, Atlético Nacional: 16.0.

Match halves

Junior: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.81. Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.77.

Goals by minute

Junior: 76-90+ (18 goals). Atlético Nacional: 31-45+ (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

6 H2H matches: 3-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
JuniorAtlético Nacional
16Shots19
JuniorAtlético Nacional
4Shots on target8
JuniorAtlético Nacional
1.69xG2.04
JuniorAtlético Nacional
4Corners6
JuniorAtlético Nacional
55Dangerous attacks40
JuniorAtlético Nacional
10Fouls13
JuniorAtlético Nacional
2Cards3
JuniorAtlético Nacional

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

JuniorAtlético Nacional
1.39Goals scored / match1.67
JuniorAtlético Nacional
1.02Goals conceded / match1.1
JuniorAtlético Nacional
52%Average possession57%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
3.94Shots on target / match5.48
JuniorAtlético Nacional

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.69Shots per match16.02
JuniorAtlético Nacional
3.94Shots on target5.48
JuniorAtlético Nacional
11.9%Shot conversion10.4%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
52%Possession57%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
1.3xG for1.68
JuniorAtlético Nacional
1.49xG against1.18
JuniorAtlético Nacional

Shooting quality

Junior: BalancedAtlético Nacional: Dominant
JuniorAtlético Nacional
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Junior is 140% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Junior · 1 pts / match - Atlético Nacional

Junior
WWLWW
Season result split
46% W28% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
25-15-14
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
17-5-5
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.94BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Atlético Nacional
DDLWL
Season result split
46% W31% R23% P
Season (W-D-L)
24-16-12
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-11-8
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Nacional is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1.39 goals / match - Junior · 1.67 goals / match - Atlético Nacional

Junior is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.02 goals / match - Junior · 1.1 goals / match - Atlético Nacional

Junior scoring profile: very strong

Junior scores in 80% of matches (43 of 54 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 33% (17 of 52 matches).

Atlético Nacional scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Nacional scores in 81% of matches (42 of 52 matches), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 33% (18 of 54 matches).

75Goals scored (season)87
JuniorAtlético Nacional
55Goals conceded (season)57
JuniorAtlético Nacional
2.41Average goals in match2.77
JuniorAtlético Nacional
9Goals scored (last 5)6
JuniorAtlético Nacional
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
JuniorAtlético Nacional

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal81%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
43%2 goals50%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
13%3 goals23%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
4%4 goals10%
JuniorAtlético Nacional

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
30%2 goals31%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
6%3 goals12%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
0%4 goals0%
JuniorAtlético Nacional

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
Atlético Nacional - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.31 of 52 matches
46%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time27%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
0%BTTS in both halves6%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
24%Scored in both halves37%
JuniorAtlético Nacional

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
60%BTTS - last 580%
JuniorAtlético Nacional

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
JuniorAtlético Nacional

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
JuniorAtlético Nacional

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Nacional is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.37 pts / match - Junior · 1.69 pts / match - Atlético Nacional

Junior - half-time state
33% leading37% draw30% trailing
Atlético Nacional - half-time state
44% leading37% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per match (1st half)1.69
JuniorAtlético Nacional
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.9
JuniorAtlético Nacional
0.54Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
JuniorAtlético Nacional
1.11Average goals (1st half)1.46
JuniorAtlético Nacional
59%Clean sheet before half-time62%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
52%No goal before half-time37%
JuniorAtlético Nacional

After half-time (2nd half)

1.61Points per match (2nd half)1.58
JuniorAtlético Nacional
0.81Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
JuniorAtlético Nacional
0.48Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
JuniorAtlético Nacional
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.25
JuniorAtlético Nacional
65%Clean sheet after half-time60%
JuniorAtlético Nacional
44%No goal after half-time46%
JuniorAtlético Nacional

Junior - second-half results

39% W44% R17% P
74
Half-time points
31
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
87
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding139%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlético Nacional - second-half results

38% W42% R19% P
88
Half-time points
47
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
82
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding105%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Junior - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.20
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Atlético Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Junior
ScoredConceded
14
5
0-15
5
10
16-30
12
14
31-45
12
6
46-60
14
8
61-75
18
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Atlético Nacional
ScoredConceded
13
12
0-15
12
5
16-30
22
15
31-45
16
13
46-60
9
3
61-75
15
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (22 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.59
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Junior

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Atlético Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-21.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
172%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

JuniorLigaAtlético Nacional
Average goals in match 2.412.30 2.77
Both teams scored 54%46% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 46%43% 60%
Clean sheets 33%33% 33%
Goal before half-time 72%66% 75%
Goal after half-time 67%68% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.30
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
0.97
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Junior 3 - 1 - 2 Atlético Nacional. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Atlético Nacional
1 : 0
Junior
Junior
3 : 0
Atlético Nacional
Junior
0 : 4
Atlético Nacional
Club Atlético Nacional SA
1 : 1
CD Popular Junior FC SA
CD Popular Junior FC SA
2 : 1
Club Atlético Nacional SA
Club Atlético Nacional SA
2 : 3
CD Popular Junior FC SA

FAQ

What was the result of Junior vs Atlético Nacional?

The Categoria Primera A match finished Junior 2:1 Atlético Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Junior and Atlético Nacional?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Junior won 3, Atlético Nacional won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Junior vs Atlético Nacional?

Junior score 1.39 goals per game on average and Atlético Nacional 1.67. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Junior's matches and 60% of Atlético Nacional's.

What form are Junior and Atlético Nacional in?

Over the last 5 games Junior have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Atlético Nacional 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Junior vs Atlético Nacional?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Junior vs Atlético Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.