Junior vs Deportivo Pasto: match statistics
Junior vs Deportivo Pasto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Junior play Deportivo Pasto in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 4 May 2026 at 00:45. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
Junior: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Deportivo Pasto: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Junior scores 1.52 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Deportivo Pasto scores 1.38 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Junior 48%, Deportivo Pasto 52%. Over 2.5: Junior 52%, Deportivo Pasto 52%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Junior has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.30. Junior: 12.6 shots per match, Deportivo Pasto: 12.0.
Match halves
Junior: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.68. Deportivo Pasto: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Junior: 31-45+ (13 goals). Deportivo Pasto: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Junior has a small but meaningful home-field advantage: home xG is 1.51 versus Deportivo Pasto’s 1.35, and the hosts average 14 shots per match compared to 12.75 for the visitors. Defensively Junior concedes 1.22 goals per home game, while Pasto concedes 1.63 on the road; Junior’s home goal difference is +2 versus Pasto’s -1 away. Both teams are similar in form: 6 goals scored in the last 5 matches, 1.4 points per game and identical records of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so the result will largely depend on the home advantage. Junior also posts 58% possession versus Pasto’s 51%, more shots on target (4.56 vs 4.5) and a lower share of matches without a goal (22% vs 25%), translating into better control and more high-quality chances. Considering the higher xG (1.51 vs 1.35), superior possession (58% vs 51%) and a higher share of home wins (56% vs Pasto’s 50% away results), I give marginal preference to Junior and predict their victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Junior | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Junior is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Junior · 0.6 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Junior is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Junior · 1.38 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto
Junior is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Junior · 1.33 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto
Junior scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Deportivo Pasto keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Deportivo Pasto scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Junior
Over / Under — Deportivo Pasto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Junior is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.72 pts / match - Junior · 1.52 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Junior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportivo Pasto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Junior
Deportivo Pasto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Junior | Liga | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.64 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 53% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Junior 1 - 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Junior vs Deportivo Pasto?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Junior 4:3 Deportivo Pasto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Junior and Deportivo Pasto?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Junior won 1, Deportivo Pasto won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Junior vs Deportivo Pasto?
Junior score 1.52 goals per game on average and Deportivo Pasto 1.38. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Junior's matches and 52% of Deportivo Pasto's.
What form are Junior and Deportivo Pasto in?
Over the last 5 games Junior have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Deportivo Pasto 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Junior vs Deportivo Pasto?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.