Junior vs Fortaleza CEIF: match statistics
Junior has the home-field advantage, winning 40% of their home matches and maintaining a solid xG (1.69) that exceeds their opponents' xG (1.13). Fortaleza CEIF presents a very poor away form - they have not won a single away match this season (0% win rate), and 60% of their games end in a draw. The visitors' last five away matches feature a streak of four draws and one defeat, confirming their defensive approach and difficulties in scoring goals on the road (averaging 1 goal per match). Junior scores more (averaging 1.2 goals at home) and has a better shot conversion (7% vs 8%), which, backed by their own fans, gives them a realistic chance for three points. Considering Fortaleza's tendency to draw and the hosts' fluctuating form, I expect Junior to win, although a draw is also possible.
Junior vs Fortaleza CEIF: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Junior played against Fortaleza CEIF in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on March 16, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Junior has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Fortaleza CEIF has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Junior scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.50. Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.20 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Junior's games and 80% of Fortaleza CEIF's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 40%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Junior has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.40 per game. Junior takes 14.1 shots per game, while Fortaleza CEIF takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Junior leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Fortaleza CEIF leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Junior's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Fortaleza CEIF, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Junior has the home-field advantage, winning 40% of their home matches and maintaining a solid xG (1.69) that exceeds their opponents' xG (1.13). Fortaleza CEIF presents a very poor away form - they have not won a single away match this season (0% win rate), and 60% of their games end in a draw. The visitors' last five away matches feature a streak of four draws and one defeat, confirming their defensive approach and difficulties in scoring goals on the road (averaging 1 goal per match). Junior scores more (averaging 1.2 goals at home) and has a better shot conversion (7% vs 8%), which, backed by their own fans, gives them a realistic chance for three points. Considering Fortaleza's tendency to draw and the hosts' fluctuating form, I expect Junior to win, although a draw is also possible.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Junior | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Junior is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Junior · 1.2 goals / game - Fortaleza CEIF
Fortaleza CEIF is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Junior · 1.4 goals / game - Fortaleza CEIF
Junior scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 meczów), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 meczów).
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 meczów), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Junior
Over / Under - Fortaleza CEIF
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Junior is 183% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / game - Junior · 0.6 pts / game - Fortaleza CEIF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Junior - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Junior
Fortaleza CEIF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Junior | Liga | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.57 | • 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 50% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 67% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 80% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Junior's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Fortaleza CEIF. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Junior vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Junior 2:1 Fortaleza CEIF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Junior and Fortaleza CEIF?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Junior won 1, Fortaleza CEIF won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Junior vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Junior score 1.50 goals per game on average and Fortaleza CEIF 1.20. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Junior's matches and 80% of Fortaleza CEIF's.
What form are Junior and Fortaleza CEIF in?
Over the last 5 games Junior have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fortaleza CEIF 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Junior vs Fortaleza CEIF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.