Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Metropolitano Roberto MeléndezData current as of September 23, 2026

Junior vs Independiente Medellín: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Junior vs Independiente Medellín: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Junior plays Independiente Medellín in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game is scheduled for September 27, 2026. Venue: Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez.

Recent form

Junior has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Independiente Medellín has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Junior scores 1.52 goals per game and allows 1.27. Independiente Medellín scores 1.54 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 55% of Junior's games and 68% of Independiente Medellín's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 64%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Independiente Medellín has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.42 per game. Junior takes 13.0 shots per game, while Independiente Medellín takes 15.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Junior leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. Independiente Medellín leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.89 after halftime.

When the teams score

Junior's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (13 goals). For Independiente Medellín, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Categoria Primera A games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. Those games averaged 1.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.13)
(3.28)
(3.28)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

JuniorIndependiente Medellín
1.52Goals scored / game1.54
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
1.27Goals allowed / game1.25
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
54%Average possession54%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
4.52Shots on target / game5.11
JuniorIndependiente Medellín

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13Shots per game14.96
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
4.52Shots on target5.11
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
11.7%Shot conversion10.3%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
54%Possession54%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
1.42xG for1.59
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
1.42xG against1.1
JuniorIndependiente Medellín

Shooting quality

Junior: BalancedIndependiente Medellín: Attacking
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Independiente Medellín is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Junior · 2 pts / game - Independiente Medellín

Junior
LDDLW
Season result split
42% W24% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-8-11
1.52 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-6-4
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
WLDDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Independiente Medellín
WWLDW
Season result split
46% W21% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-6-9
1.61 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Junior scoring profile: very strong

Junior scores in 79% of games (26 of 33 games), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 games).

Independiente Medellín scoring profile: very strong

Independiente Medellín scores in 89% of games (25 of 28 games), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 games).

50Goals scored (season)43
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
42Goals conceded (season)35
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
2.79Average goals per game2.79
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
10Goals scored (last 5)10
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
JuniorIndependiente Medellín

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal89%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
45%2 goals50%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
21%3 goals14%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
6%4 goals0%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal75%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
36%2 goals43%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
12%3 goals7%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
6%4 goals0%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

68%
Independiente Medellín - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 28 games
55%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time29%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
9%BTTS in both halves0%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
36%Scored in both halves21%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS61%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
80%BTTS - last 580%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time46%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Junior is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.55 pts / game - Junior · 0.96 pts / game - Independiente Medellín

Junior - half-time state
39% leading36% draw24% trailing
Independiente Medellín - half-time state
18% leading43% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.55Points per game (1st half)0.96
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.64
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.82
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.46
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
55%Clean sheet before half-time39%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
39%No goal before half-time57%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per game (2nd half)1.75
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.89
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
0.7Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.32
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
52%Clean sheet after half-time68%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín
45%No goal after half-time32%
JuniorIndependiente Medellín

Junior - second-half results

30% W48% D21% L
51
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding108%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Independiente Medellín - second-half results

46% W36% D18% L
27
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.96
PPG before half-time
Lead holding256%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Junior - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.81.2
Goals allowed / game0.61.4
Average goals per game1.42.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Independiente Medellín - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.00
Goals scored / game1.01.0
Goals allowed / game1.00.2
Average goals per game2.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Junior
ScoredConceded
7
6
0-15
5
5
16-30
13
8
31-45
6
5
46-60
6
6
61-75
13
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Independiente Medellín
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
9
8
16-30
5
11
31-45
9
3
46-60
6
2
61-75
10
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Junior

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Independiente Medellín

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
147%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

JuniorLigaIndependiente Medellín
Average goals per game 2.792.57 2.79
Both teams scored 55%55% 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%48% 64%
Clean sheets 27%26% 25%
Goal before half-time 82%68% 75%
Goal after half-time 73%79% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / game
1.05
Away goals / game
+46%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defensive advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Junior's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses against Independiente Medellín. Games average 1.86 goals, and both teams scored in 29% of them.

Independiente Medellín
2 : 0
Junior
Deportivo Independiente Medellín
2 : 1
CD Popular Junior FC SA
CD Popular Junior FC SA
1 : 0
Deportivo Independiente Medellín
Deportivo Independiente Medellín
2 : 2
CD Popular Junior FC SA
Deportivo Independiente Medellín
1 : 0
CD Popular Junior FC SA
CD Popular Junior FC SA
0 : 1
Deportivo Independiente Medellín
CD Popular Junior FC SA
1 : 0
Deportivo Independiente Medellín

FAQ

When do Junior and Independiente Medellín play?

Junior face Independiente Medellín on September 27, 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Junior and Independiente Medellín?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Junior won 2, Independiente Medellín won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Junior vs Independiente Medellín?

Junior score 1.52 goals per game on average and Independiente Medellín 1.54. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Junior's matches and 68% of Independiente Medellín's.

What form are Junior and Independiente Medellín in?

Over the last 5 games Junior have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Independiente Medellín 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Junior vs Independiente Medellín?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.