KAA Gent II vs RFC Liege: match statistics
KAA Gent II vs RFC Liege: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
KAA Gent II played against RFC Liege in First Division B (Belgium). The game was played on April 12, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
KAA Gent II has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. RFC Liege has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
KAA Gent II scores 1.37 goals per game and allows 1.60. RFC Liege scores 1.33 and allows 1.27. Games in this league average 2.81 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of KAA Gent II's games and 40% of RFC Liege's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 43%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
KAA Gent II has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.31 per game. KAA Gent II takes 12.6 shots per game, while RFC Liege takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
KAA Gent II leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. RFC Liege leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
KAA Gent II's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). For RFC Liege, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division B games average 2.81 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1), despite RFC Liège being higher in the table (7 vs 9 for KAA Gent II). KAA Gent II creates more chances at home: on average 13.13 shots and 5.0 on target per match, with home xG 1.62 and an average of 1.33 goals scored, while RFC Liège away averages 8.8 shots, 2.6 on target, xG 1.04 and 0.93 goals. The hosts generally control possession (57% vs 43% for the visitors), and the visitors often fail to score on the road — 40% of away matches without a goal versus 27% of home matches without conceding. Gent II’s issue is recent defending: 14 goals conceded in the last 5 matches (2.8 per match), while RFC Liège conceded 10 (2.0 per match), which limits the home advantage. Considering the clear superiority in quality of chances (xG 1.62 vs 1.04 and 5.0 shots on target vs 2.6), but also the defensive risk, I estimate probabilities at 50% for the home win, 28% for a draw and 22% for the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors BTTS - Yes: in the last 5 matches both teams registered BTTS in 60% of games each. Gent II averages 1.73 goals scored this season with xG 1.58, while RFC Liège concedes 1.40 goals seasonally and has an xG against of 1.91, indicating the hosts will create scoring opportunities. RFC Liège scores 0.93 goals per season and has 0.8 goals in the last 5 matches, but Gent II concedes 2.8 goals per match across those 5 games, so Liège also has a realistic chance to score. Additionally Gent II averages 4.8 shots on target versus 2.6 for Liège and has a conversion rate of 13% vs 11%, and the league BTTS level is 54%, therefore I estimate BTTS at 66% vs 34% and I pick Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a high percentage of matches over 1.5 goals: KAA Gent II has 80% of matches over 1.5, and RFC Liège also 80%, meaning historically 80% of their games have had at least 2 goals. An xG-based model (home xG_for = 1.58 vs away xG_against = 1.91) projects 1.75 goals for the home side, while (away xG_for = 1.04 vs home xG_against = 1.52) projects 1.28 for the visitors, totaling 3.03 goals. With a mean of 3.03, a Poisson distribution indicates probability of over 1.5 at ~81%, over 2.5 at ~58% and over 3.5 at ~36%, clearly favoring over 1.5. Additionally, in the last 5 matches the home team had 80% of games over 2.5 and the visitors 60%, which strengthens the signal for a higher goal count. For these reasons I recommend betting on Over 1.5 as the strongest and most justified choice.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I choose 1/1 – home side leading at the break and winning ultimately. KAA Gent II led at the break in 9 of 15 matches (60%) and average 1.13 goals by half-time versus RFC Liege’s 0.67, which favors the home side having the lead after 45 minutes. Over the season the home team scores 1.73 goals per game versus the visitors’ 0.93, with an xG of 1.58 compared to 1.04 for the opponents; they also average 4.8 shots on target vs 2.6 for the visitors, confirming superiority in chance creation. In the second half the home side average 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded (in the last five matches 1.0 scored vs 0.4 for the visitors), so they are more likely to maintain the lead than surrender it, and the season home win rate of 60% versus the guests’ 33% away win rate reinforces the 1/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| KAA Gent II | RFC Liege | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RFC Liege is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.6 goals / game - KAA Gent II · 1.27 goals / game - RFC Liege
KAA Gent II scores in 67% of games (20 of 30 meczów), while RFC Liege keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 meczów).
RFC Liege scores in 67% of games (20 of 30 meczów), while KAA Gent II keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KAA Gent II
Over / Under - RFC Liege
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
RFC Liege is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - KAA Gent II · 1.7 pts / game - RFC Liege
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KAA Gent II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
RFC Liege - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 47%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
KAA Gent II
RFC Liege
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division B).
Teams vs league
| KAA Gent II | Liga | RFC Liege | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.97 | 2.81 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 54% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from KAA Gent II's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against RFC Liege. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of KAA Gent II vs RFC Liege?
The First Division B match finished KAA Gent II 0:2 RFC Liege. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KAA Gent II vs RFC Liege?
KAA Gent II score 1.37 goals per game on average and RFC Liege 1.33. The First Division B average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 53% of KAA Gent II's matches and 40% of RFC Liege's.
What form are KAA Gent II and RFC Liege in?
Over the last 5 games KAA Gent II have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and RFC Liege 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KAA Gent II vs RFC Liege?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.