KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly contested. KAA Gent have home advantage and a better goal difference at home (+6), however, their recent form is concerning - only 1 win in the last 5 matches and just 0.8 points per game. KV Mechelen are in much better form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and 2 points per game, giving them a psychological edge. Both teams have an identical win percentage at home (46%) and the same clean sheet rate (31%). xG statistics show a slight advantage for the hosts (1.63 vs 1.24), but the visitors' higher shooting accuracy (14% vs 11%) and their solid defense in away matches (averaging 1.08 goals conceded) suggest they are capable of competing for points. Taking all factors into account, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this evenly matched encounter.
KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
KAA Gent played against KV Mechelen in Pro League (Belgium). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
KAA Gent has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. KV Mechelen has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
KAA Gent scores 1.52 goals per game and allows 1.52. KV Mechelen scores 1.33 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of KAA Gent's games and 63% of KV Mechelen's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 37%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
KAA Gent has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.25 per game. KAA Gent takes 13.4 shots per game, while KV Mechelen takes 10.2.
First-half and second-half trends
KAA Gent leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. KV Mechelen leads at halftime in 52% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
KAA Gent's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For KV Mechelen, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Pro League games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly contested. KAA Gent have home advantage and a better goal difference at home (+6), however, their recent form is concerning - only 1 win in the last 5 matches and just 0.8 points per game. KV Mechelen are in much better form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and 2 points per game, giving them a psychological edge. Both teams have an identical win percentage at home (46%) and the same clean sheet rate (31%). xG statistics show a slight advantage for the hosts (1.63 vs 1.24), but the visitors' higher shooting accuracy (14% vs 11%) and their solid defense in away matches (averaging 1.08 goals conceded) suggest they are capable of competing for points. Taking all factors into account, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this evenly matched encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| KAA Gent | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
KV Mechelen is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - KAA Gent · 2 pts / game - KV Mechelen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KAA Gent is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.52 goals / game - KAA Gent · 1.33 goals / game - KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen is 37% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.52 goals / game - KAA Gent · 1.11 goals / game - KV Mechelen
KAA Gent scores in 78% of games (21 of 27 meczów), while KV Mechelen keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 meczów).
KV Mechelen scores in 85% of games (23 of 27 meczów), while KAA Gent keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KAA Gent
Over / Under - KV Mechelen
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KV Mechelen is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / game - KAA Gent · 1.85 pts / game - KV Mechelen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KAA Gent - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
KV Mechelen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 41%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
KAA Gent
KV Mechelen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| KAA Gent | Liga | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.04 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 47% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 72% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from KAA Gent's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against KV Mechelen. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen?
The Pro League match finished KAA Gent 3:1 KV Mechelen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen?
KAA Gent score 1.52 goals per game on average and KV Mechelen 1.33. The Pro League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 59% of KAA Gent's matches and 63% of KV Mechelen's.
What form are KAA Gent and KV Mechelen in?
Over the last 5 games KAA Gent have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and KV Mechelen 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.