Kagera Sugar vs Polisi Morogoro: match statistics
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Kagera Sugar vs Polisi Morogoro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kagera Sugar plays Polisi Morogoro in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Kaitaba Stadium.
Recent form
Kagera Sugar has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Polisi Morogoro has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Kagera Sugar scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 2.14. Polisi Morogoro scores 1.43 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Kagera Sugar's games and 57% of Polisi Morogoro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 43%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Polisi Morogoro has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.41 per game. Kagera Sugar takes 7.7 shots per game, while Polisi Morogoro takes 8.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Kagera Sugar leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Polisi Morogoro leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kagera Sugar's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Polisi Morogoro, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligi kuu Bara games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kagera Sugar | Polisi Morogoro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Polisi Morogoro is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Kagera Sugar · 1.2 pts / game - Polisi Morogoro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polisi Morogoro is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
1.14 goals / game - Kagera Sugar · 1.43 goals / game - Polisi Morogoro
Polisi Morogoro is 66% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.14 goals / game - Kagera Sugar · 1.29 goals / game - Polisi Morogoro
Kagera Sugar scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Polisi Morogoro keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).
Polisi Morogoro scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Kagera Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kagera Sugar
Over / Under - Polisi Morogoro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Polisi Morogoro is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / game - Kagera Sugar · 1.43 pts / game - Polisi Morogoro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kagera Sugar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Polisi Morogoro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kagera Sugar
Polisi Morogoro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Kagera Sugar | Liga | Polisi Morogoro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.29 | 2.56 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 43% | 44% | • 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 71% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Kagera Sugar and Polisi Morogoro play?
Kagera Sugar face Polisi Morogoro on October 17, 2026 in Ligi kuu Bara at Kaitaba Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kagera Sugar vs Polisi Morogoro?
Kagera Sugar score 1.14 goals per game on average and Polisi Morogoro 1.43. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Kagera Sugar's matches and 57% of Polisi Morogoro's.
What form are Kagera Sugar and Polisi Morogoro in?
Over the last 5 games Kagera Sugar have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Polisi Morogoro 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kagera Sugar vs Polisi Morogoro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kagera Sugar vs Polisi Morogoro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.