Kaisar vs Kairat: match statistics
Kaisar vs Kairat: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kaisar played against Kairat in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The game was played on May 6, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Kaisar has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Kairat has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Kaisar scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 1.00. Kairat scores 1.50 and allows 0.38. Games in this league average 2.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Kaisar's games and 25% of Kairat's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 25%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Kairat has the higher season xG average, 1.69 to 1.26 per game. Kaisar takes 12.3 shots per game, while Kairat takes 15.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Kaisar leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. Kairat leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kaisar's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Kairat, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kazakhstan Premier League games average 2.06 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kairat is the clear favorite: they have scored 12 goals away this season, while Kaisar have only 4 goals at home. The visitors generate higher-quality chances — Kairat’s average away xG is 1.69 versus the hosts’ 1.29 xG; they average 5 shots on target per game compared to Kaisar’s 3.8 and display a superior conversion rate (approx. 5% vs 4%). Defensively Kairat concede an average of 0.25 goals away and register 75% clean sheets, whereas Kaisar concede 0.6 goals at home and have 40% clean sheets. Kaisar have 0% home wins and 100% draws at home, with 40% of matches without scoring versus 25% for Kairat, and over the last 5 matches Kaisar have averaged 1.2 points per game compared to Kairat’s 1.6, which further favors the visitors. Considering the xG advantage, higher number of shots on target and superior defensive metrics, a Kairat win is most likely, with a moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season metrics strongly argue against BTTS: Kaisar and Kairat have a season rate of matches with both teams scoring of only 25%, while each side records clean sheets in 75% of matches. Average goals conceded are very low — Kaisar concedes 0.5 goals at home, Kairat concedes just 0.25 goals away, which reduces the probability of Goal/Goal. The last 5 matches partially contradict this, with BTTS in the last 5 at 80% for Kaisar and 60% for Kairat, with average goals 1.0 (home) vs 1.4 (away). Season xG is identical (1.69 vs 1.69), but home conversion is 14% versus 5% for the away side on equal 5.0 shots on target, meaning Kaisar converts chances more often than Kairat. Weighing the season-long low BTTS signal (25%) and high clean sheet rates (75%) above the short-term last-5 run, I consider the 'No' scenario more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate expected goals at approximately 1.45 for Kaisar and 1.15 for Kairat, total 2.60. Base xG estimate: both teams have xG_for 1.69, with opposing xG of 0.75 (Kaisar’s opponent) and 1.10 (Kairat’s opponent), yielding xG‑base of roughly 1.22 for Kaisar and 1.40 for Kairat before adjustments. I adjusted these values for shot efficiency: Kaisar averages 16 shots with a 14% conversion (seasonal home average 2.25 goals), while Kairat averages 15 shots with 5% conversion (0.75 goals away), hence the uplift for Kaisar in the final model. With a combined expected total of 2.60 the Poisson distribution gives probability of Over 1.5 around 73%, Over 2.5 around 48% and Over 3.5 around 26%, so the strongest and most confident signal is Over 1.5. Additionally, Kaisar’s season frequency of matches over 1.5 is 75%, and the league average is 2.06 goals per game, which further supports the Over 1.5 selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Kaisar has a clear shooting advantage: on average 2.25 goals per match versus 0.75 for Kairat, and scores on average 1.0 goal by half-time compared to 0.5 for their opponents. In the last 5 matches Kaisar led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5), while Kairat did so in only 20% (1 of 5), indicating the home side more frequently holds a lead after 45 minutes. Despite identical xG (1.69 vs 1.69), the hosts are markedly more efficient — shot conversion 14% versus 5% for the visitors and an average of 16 shots taken versus 15 translate into more Kaisar goals. Additionally Kaisar is more dangerous after the break: they score on average 1.25 goals in the second half and in 75% of matches they find the net at least once after half-time, so maintaining and extending a lead to full-time is very likely. On this basis the most probable scenario is Kaisar leading at half-time and ultimately winning the match (1/1), hence the recommended HT/FT selection is '1/1'.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kaisar | Kairat | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.13 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Kairat is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Kaisar · 2.2 pts / game - Kairat
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kairat is 200% better for: goals scored per game.
0.5 goals / game - Kaisar · 1.5 goals / game - Kairat
Kairat is 163% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Kaisar · 0.38 goals / game - Kairat
Kaisar scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 meczów), while Kairat keeps a clean sheet in 75% (6 of 8 meczów).
Kairat scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 meczów), while Kaisar keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kaisar
Over / Under - Kairat
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kaisar is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / game - Kaisar · 1.38 pts / game - Kairat
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kaisar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kairat - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kaisar
Kairat
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kaisar | Liga | Kairat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.50 | 2.06 | ▼ 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 31% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Kaisar's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Kairat. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kaisar vs Kairat?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Kaisar 1:2 Kairat. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kaisar and Kairat?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kaisar won 0, Kairat won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kaisar vs Kairat?
Kaisar score 0.50 goals per game on average and Kairat 1.50. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kaisar's matches and 25% of Kairat's.
What form are Kaisar and Kairat in?
Over the last 5 games Kaisar have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Kairat 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kaisar vs Kairat?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.