Kaisar vs Tobol: match statistics
Kaisar vs Tobol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kaisar play Tobol in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Kaisar: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Tobol: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kaisar scores 0.74 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Tobol scores 1.11 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kaisar 53%, Tobol 61%. Over 2.5: Kaisar 32%, Tobol 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Tobol has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.20. Kaisar: 10.8 shots per match, Tobol: 13.3.
Match halves
Kaisar: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.16. Tobol: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Kaisar: 31-45+ (6 goals). Tobol: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X): Kaisar have not won at home yet — 0% home wins and as many as 83% of home matches end in a draw, with an average of 0.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per home game. Tobol show better overall form in the last five matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss and an average of 2 points per match) and have scored 6 goals in their last 5 fixtures, but are catastrophic away — 100% away losses, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away match. Kaisar create more high-quality chances at home: 3.83 shots on target per match and xG 1.27 at home versus 2.4 shots on target and xG 1.15 for Tobol away. Tobol’s away efficiency is very low (conversion 4% and 60% of away matches go goalless for them), while Kaisar have a lower share of matches without scoring (33%) and 33% clean sheets at home, favoring the hosts defensively. Considering similar xG (1.27 vs 1.15), stronger home defence (0.83 goals conceded at home) and Kaisar’s high share of home draws, a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome; a home win is more probable than an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kaisar | Tobol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tobol is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Kaisar · 1.4 pts / match - Tobol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tobol is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Kaisar · 1.11 goals / match - Tobol
Kaisar is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Kaisar · 1.44 goals / match - Tobol
Kaisar scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Tobol keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
Tobol scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Kaisar keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kaisar
Over / Under — Tobol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kaisar is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Kaisar · 1.28 pts / match - Tobol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kaisar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tobol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kaisar
Tobol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kaisar | Liga | Tobol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.84 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | • 63% | 62% | • 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 70% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kaisar 0 - 1 - 1 Tobol. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kaisar vs Tobol?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Kaisar 2:1 Tobol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kaisar and Tobol?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kaisar won 0, Tobol won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kaisar vs Tobol?
Kaisar score 0.74 goals per game on average and Tobol 1.11. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Kaisar's matches and 61% of Tobol's.
What form are Kaisar and Tobol in?
Over the last 5 games Kaisar have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Tobol 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kaisar vs Tobol?
The statistical background for Kaisar vs Tobol — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.