Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn: match statistics
Kaiserslautern presents impressive home form with 67% of matches won at home and a +11 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.17 goals per match in home games, which, with 15.42 shots per match, testifies to their offensive power. Paderborn, despite a solid table position and 45% wins on the road, has difficulties scoring goals away from home (averaging 1.27 goals) and finishes 27% of matches without scoring. The form of the last five matches slightly favors the visitors (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), however, Kaiserslautern's dominance on their own turf along with the advantage in xG (1.74 vs 1.52) and average goals scored gives them a real chance for victory. I expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the hosts, although a draw also remains a probable scenario due to Paderborn's defensive solidity on the road.
Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kaiserslautern play Paderborn in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Kaiserslautern: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Paderborn: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kaiserslautern scores 1.53 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Paderborn scores 1.74 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kaiserslautern 47%, Paderborn 68%. Over 2.5: Kaiserslautern 59%, Paderborn 62%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Paderborn has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.43. Kaiserslautern: 12.8 shots per match, Paderborn: 15.3.
Match halves
Kaiserslautern: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.88. Paderborn: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Kaiserslautern: 76-90+ (14 goals). Paderborn: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Kaiserslautern presents impressive home form with 67% of matches won at home and a +11 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.17 goals per match in home games, which, with 15.42 shots per match, testifies to their offensive power. Paderborn, despite a solid table position and 45% wins on the road, has difficulties scoring goals away from home (averaging 1.27 goals) and finishes 27% of matches without scoring. The form of the last five matches slightly favors the visitors (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), however, Kaiserslautern's dominance on their own turf along with the advantage in xG (1.74 vs 1.52) and average goals scored gives them a real chance for victory. I expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the hosts, although a draw also remains a probable scenario due to Paderborn's defensive solidity on the road.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kaiserslautern | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kaiserslautern is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Kaiserslautern · 1 pts / match - Paderborn
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paderborn is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Kaiserslautern · 1.74 goals / match - Paderborn
Paderborn is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Kaiserslautern · 1.32 goals / match - Paderborn
Kaiserslautern scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Paderborn scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Kaiserslautern keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kaiserslautern
Over / Under — Paderborn
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paderborn is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Kaiserslautern · 1.53 pts / match - Paderborn
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kaiserslautern - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kaiserslautern
Paderborn
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Kaiserslautern | Liga | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.91 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 59% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 23% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kaiserslautern 0 - 0 - 1 Paderborn. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Kaiserslautern 1:2 Paderborn. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn?
Kaiserslautern score 1.53 goals per game on average and Paderborn 1.74. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Kaiserslautern's matches and 68% of Paderborn's.
What form are Kaiserslautern and Paderborn in?
Over the last 5 games Kaiserslautern have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Paderborn 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.