Finland - YkkösliigaMustapekka AreenaData current as of 21 July 2026

KäPa vs JäPS: match statistics

KäPa crest
KäPa
3 : 1half-time 1:1
JäPS crest
JäPS

KäPa vs JäPS: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

KäPa play JäPS in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match date is 28 June 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Mustapekka Areena. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

KäPa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. JäPS: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

KäPa scores 1.21 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. JäPS scores 0.93 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.47 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: KäPa 64%, JäPS 27%. Over 2.5: KäPa 71%, JäPS 47%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

KäPa has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.21. KäPa: 10.7 shots per match, JäPS: 9.5.

Match halves

KäPa: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.57. JäPS: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.40.

Goals by minute

KäPa: 46-60 (4 goals). JäPS: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ykkösliiga: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

4 H2H matches: 1-1-2. Average goals 3.75, BTTS 75%.

Match description

I give a slight edge to KäPa: the hosts generate on average 1.44 xG at home versus 1.23 xG that JäPS produces away, with 4.0 shots on target per match vs 3.8 and average shots 11.6 vs 10.8. KäPa also controls the game better in terms of possession (52% vs 41%), which translates into more chances, although both teams average 1.0 goal per match and share the same shot conversion (9%). In the short term JäPS look weaker defensively — the visitors conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches compared to 7 conceded by KäPa, and JäPS’s away concession rate is 1.6 goals per match vs 1.4 for the hosts. Even though JäPS have more wins this season (5 vs 3) and a higher league position (5 vs 8), recent points statistics favor KäPa: the hosts average 0.8 points per match over the last 5, JäPS 0.6. Considering the superior xG (1.44 vs 1.23), higher possession (52% vs 41%) and fewer goals conceded in the last 5 matches (7 vs 11), I predict a home win and assign probabilities of 50% for KäPa, 25% for a draw and 25% for the away win.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
KäPaJäPS
11Shots9
KäPaJäPS
4Shots on target2
KäPaJäPS
1.38xG1.14
KäPaJäPS
7Corners5
KäPaJäPS
55Dangerous attacks58
KäPaJäPS
0Fouls3
KäPaJäPS
4Cards1
KäPaJäPS

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.21Goals scored / match0.93
KäPaJäPS
1.57Goals conceded / match1.53
KäPaJäPS
49%Average possession44%
KäPaJäPS
3.64Shots on target / match3.47
KäPaJäPS

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.71Shots per match9.53
KäPaJäPS
3.64Shots on target3.47
KäPaJäPS
11.3%Shot conversion9.8%
KäPaJäPS
49%Possession44%
KäPaJäPS
1.35xG for1.21
KäPaJäPS
1.56xG against1.61
KäPaJäPS

Shooting quality

KäPa: BalancedJäPS: Balanced
KäPaJäPS
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

JäPS is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - KäPa · 1.2 pts / match - JäPS

KäPa
LLWLD
Season result split
29% W29% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-6
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
JäPS
LLWLW
Season result split
47% W7% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-1-7
1.47 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-4
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

KäPa is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.21 goals / match - KäPa · 0.93 goals / match - JäPS

KäPa scoring profile: mixed

KäPa scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while JäPS keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).

JäPS scoring profile: very strong

JäPS scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while KäPa keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).

17Goals scored (season)14
KäPaJäPS
22Goals conceded (season)23
KäPaJäPS
2.79Average goals in match2.47
KäPaJäPS
7Goals scored (last 5)4
KäPaJäPS
11Goals conceded (last 5)12
KäPaJäPS

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal67%
KäPaJäPS
43%2 goals20%
KäPaJäPS
7%3 goals7%
KäPaJäPS
0%4 goals0%
KäPaJäPS

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal53%
KäPaJäPS
57%2 goals40%
KäPaJäPS
14%3 goals27%
KäPaJäPS
0%4 goals20%
KäPaJäPS

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time13%
KäPaJäPS
0%BTTS in both halves0%
KäPaJäPS
21%Scored in both halves7%
KäPaJäPS

BTTS and goal count

64%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
KäPaJäPS
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
KäPaJäPS
80%BTTS - last 540%
KäPaJäPS

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
KäPaJäPS
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
KäPaJäPS
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
KäPaJäPS

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
KäPaJäPS
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
KäPaJäPS
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
KäPaJäPS

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

KäPa - half-time state
36% leading43% draw21% trailing
JäPS - half-time state
33% leading47% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.47
KäPaJäPS
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.53
KäPaJäPS
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
KäPaJäPS
1.21Average goals (1st half)0.87
KäPaJäPS
64%Clean sheet before half-time67%
KäPaJäPS
50%No goal before half-time60%
KäPaJäPS

After half-time (2nd half)

0.64Points per match (2nd half)1.13
KäPaJäPS
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
KäPaJäPS
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
KäPaJäPS
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1.6
KäPaJäPS
29%Clean sheet after half-time53%
KäPaJäPS
57%No goal after half-time67%
KäPaJäPS

KäPa - second-half results

7% W43% R50% P
21
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding81%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

JäPS - second-half results

27% W33% R40% P
22
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.9

Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

KäPa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.00
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
JäPS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.42.0
Average goals in match0.82.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-8
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

KäPa
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
3
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
1
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

JäPS
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
0
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
5
46-60
4
7
61-75
0
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.62
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+43%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

KäPa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

JäPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).

Teams vs league

KäPaLigaJäPS
Average goals in match 2.792.47 2.47
Both teams scored 64%45% 27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 71%45% 47%
Clean sheets 14%31% 47%
Goal before half-time 71%59% 60%
Goal after half-time 79%74% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / match
1.12
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): KäPa 1 - 1 - 2 JäPS. Average goals 3.75, both teams scored in 75% matches.

Käpylän Pallo
2 : 1
Järvenpään Palloseura
Käpylän Pallo
2 : 3
Järvenpään Palloseura
Käpylän Pallo
0 : 3
Järvenpään Palloseura
Järvenpään Palloseura
2 : 2
Käpylän Pallo

FAQ

What was the result of KäPa vs JäPS?

The Ykkösliiga match finished KäPa 3:1 JäPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between KäPa and JäPS?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches KäPa won 1, JäPS won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before KäPa vs JäPS?

KäPa score 1.21 goals per game on average and JäPS 0.93. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 64% of KäPa's matches and 27% of JäPS's.

What form are KäPa and JäPS in?

Over the last 5 games KäPa have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and JäPS 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KäPa vs JäPS?

The statistical background for KäPa vs JäPS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.