KäPa vs JäPS: match statistics
KäPa vs JäPS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KäPa play JäPS in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match date is 28 June 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Mustapekka Areena. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
KäPa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. JäPS: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
KäPa scores 1.21 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. JäPS scores 0.93 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KäPa 64%, JäPS 27%. Over 2.5: KäPa 71%, JäPS 47%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
KäPa has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.21. KäPa: 10.7 shots per match, JäPS: 9.5.
Match halves
KäPa: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.57. JäPS: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
KäPa: 46-60 (4 goals). JäPS: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ykkösliiga: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 1-1-2. Average goals 3.75, BTTS 75%.
Match description
I give a slight edge to KäPa: the hosts generate on average 1.44 xG at home versus 1.23 xG that JäPS produces away, with 4.0 shots on target per match vs 3.8 and average shots 11.6 vs 10.8. KäPa also controls the game better in terms of possession (52% vs 41%), which translates into more chances, although both teams average 1.0 goal per match and share the same shot conversion (9%). In the short term JäPS look weaker defensively — the visitors conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches compared to 7 conceded by KäPa, and JäPS’s away concession rate is 1.6 goals per match vs 1.4 for the hosts. Even though JäPS have more wins this season (5 vs 3) and a higher league position (5 vs 8), recent points statistics favor KäPa: the hosts average 0.8 points per match over the last 5, JäPS 0.6. Considering the superior xG (1.44 vs 1.23), higher possession (52% vs 41%) and fewer goals conceded in the last 5 matches (7 vs 11), I predict a home win and assign probabilities of 50% for KäPa, 25% for a draw and 25% for the away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KäPa | JäPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
JäPS is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - KäPa · 1.2 pts / match - JäPS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KäPa is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - KäPa · 0.93 goals / match - JäPS
KäPa scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while JäPS keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
JäPS scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while KäPa keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — KäPa
Over / Under — JäPS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KäPa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
JäPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KäPa
JäPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).
Teams vs league
| KäPa | Liga | JäPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.79 | 2.47 | • 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 45% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 31% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 59% | • 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): KäPa 1 - 1 - 2 JäPS. Average goals 3.75, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KäPa vs JäPS?
The Ykkösliiga match finished KäPa 3:1 JäPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KäPa and JäPS?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches KäPa won 1, JäPS won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KäPa vs JäPS?
KäPa score 1.21 goals per game on average and JäPS 0.93. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 64% of KäPa's matches and 27% of JäPS's.
What form are KäPa and JäPS in?
Over the last 5 games KäPa have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and JäPS 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KäPa vs JäPS?
The statistical background for KäPa vs JäPS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


