Kapaz vs Neftçi: match statistics
Neftçi are the clear favorite for this match. The hosts, Kapaz, are in disastrous home form, having lost 88% of their home matches and won only 13%, conceding an average of 2.13 goals per game while scoring only 0.5. Their home goal difference of -13 and a streak of five consecutive defeats at their own stadium indicate serious problems. Neftçi, on the other hand, impress with their away performance, boasting a 44% win rate and 56% clean sheets, while conceding an average of just 0.78 goals. Furthermore, the visitors are in excellent form, with 2.2 points per match in their last five games and are on an unbeaten run. The advantage in xG (1.52 vs 1.28) and higher shooting accuracy (12% vs 5%) further support a Neftçi victory.
Kapaz vs Neftçi: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kapaz played against Neftçi in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Kapaz has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Neftçi has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Kapaz scores 0.68 goals per game and allows 2.16. Neftçi scores 1.32 and allows 0.89. Games in this league average 2.53 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 26% of Kapaz's games and 37% of Neftçi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 37%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Neftçi has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.19 per game. Kapaz takes 10.1 shots per game, while Neftçi takes 12.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Kapaz leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.42 goals per game after halftime. Neftçi leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.84 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kapaz's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Neftçi, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.53 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftçi are the clear favorite for this match. The hosts, Kapaz, are in disastrous home form, having lost 88% of their home matches and won only 13%, conceding an average of 2.13 goals per game while scoring only 0.5. Their home goal difference of -13 and a streak of five consecutive defeats at their own stadium indicate serious problems. Neftçi, on the other hand, impress with their away performance, boasting a 44% win rate and 56% clean sheets, while conceding an average of just 0.78 goals. Furthermore, the visitors are in excellent form, with 2.2 points per match in their last five games and are on an unbeaten run. The advantage in xG (1.52 vs 1.28) and higher shooting accuracy (12% vs 5%) further support a Neftçi victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kapaz | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Neftçi is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Kapaz · 2.2 pts / game - Neftçi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 94% better for: goals scored per game.
0.68 goals / game - Kapaz · 1.32 goals / game - Neftçi
Neftçi is 143% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.16 goals / game - Kapaz · 0.89 goals / game - Neftçi
Kapaz scores in 37% of games (7 of 19 meczów), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 meczów).
Neftçi scores in 58% of games (11 of 19 meczów), while Kapaz keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kapaz
Over / Under - Neftçi
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftçi is 117% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.58 pts / game - Kapaz · 1.26 pts / game - Neftçi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kapaz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kapaz
Neftçi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Kapaz | Liga | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.84 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 45% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 48% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 32% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 68% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Kapaz's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Neftçi. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kapaz vs Neftçi?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Kapaz 1:3 Neftçi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kapaz vs Neftçi?
Kapaz score 0.68 goals per game on average and Neftçi 1.32. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Kapaz's matches and 37% of Neftçi's.
What form are Kapaz and Neftçi in?
Over the last 5 games Kapaz have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Neftçi 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kapaz vs Neftçi?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.