Kapfenberger SV vs Sturm Graz II: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match between two teams from the bottom of the table. Kapfenberger SV shows better home form with a 38% win rate at home and a goal difference of 0, while Sturm Graz II has won only 14% of their away matches. The hosts are in poor form in their last five matches (0 wins), but the visitors also do not impress with their away efficiency, scoring an average of just 0.86 goals per match. Sturm Graz II has better overall form in the last 5 matches (1.2 points per match vs 0.2), which supports their chances of a favorable result. The high draw rates of both teams (25% for the hosts, 43% for the visitors) along with similar possession stats and xG suggest a draw is the most likely scenario. Nevertheless, the hosts have a slight advantage due to playing in front of their home crowd and a slightly better goal-scoring efficiency in home matches.
Kapfenberger SV vs Sturm Graz II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kapfenberger SV played against Sturm Graz II in 2. Liga (Austria). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Kapfenberger SV has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Sturm Graz II has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Kapfenberger SV scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 1.94. Sturm Graz II scores 1.19 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 61% of Kapfenberger SV's games and 63% of Sturm Graz II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 63%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sturm Graz II has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.19 per game. Kapfenberger SV takes 9.5 shots per game, while Sturm Graz II takes 9.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Kapfenberger SV leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.94 goals per game after halftime. Sturm Graz II leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kapfenberger SV's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Sturm Graz II, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
2. Liga games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match between two teams from the bottom of the table. Kapfenberger SV shows better home form with a 38% win rate at home and a goal difference of 0, while Sturm Graz II has won only 14% of their away matches. The hosts are in poor form in their last five matches (0 wins), but the visitors also do not impress with their away efficiency, scoring an average of just 0.86 goals per match. Sturm Graz II has better overall form in the last 5 matches (1.2 points per match vs 0.2), which supports their chances of a favorable result. The high draw rates of both teams (25% for the hosts, 43% for the visitors) along with similar possession stats and xG suggest a draw is the most likely scenario. Nevertheless, the hosts have a slight advantage due to playing in front of their home crowd and a slightly better goal-scoring efficiency in home matches.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kapfenberger SV | Sturm Graz II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sturm Graz II is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Kapfenberger SV · 1.2 pts / game - Sturm Graz II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kapfenberger SV scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while Sturm Graz II keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 meczów).
Sturm Graz II scores in 63% of games (10 of 16 meczów), while Kapfenberger SV keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kapfenberger SV
Over / Under - Sturm Graz II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kapfenberger SV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Sturm Graz II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kapfenberger SV
Sturm Graz II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Kapfenberger SV | Liga | Sturm Graz II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.11 | 2.72 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 51% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Kapfenberger SV's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Sturm Graz II. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kapfenberger SV vs Sturm Graz II?
The 2. Liga match finished Kapfenberger SV 2:1 Sturm Graz II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kapfenberger SV vs Sturm Graz II?
Kapfenberger SV score 1.17 goals per game on average and Sturm Graz II 1.19. The 2. Liga average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Kapfenberger SV's matches and 63% of Sturm Graz II's.
What form are Kapfenberger SV and Sturm Graz II in?
Over the last 5 games Kapfenberger SV have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Sturm Graz II 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kapfenberger SV vs Sturm Graz II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.