Karcag SE vs Ajka: match statistics
Karcag SE vs Ajka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Karcag SE play Ajka in NB II (Hungary). The match date is 5 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Karcag SE: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Ajka: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Karcag SE scores 0.97 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Ajka scores 0.77 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Karcag SE 47%, Ajka 40%. Over 2.5: Karcag SE 33%, Ajka 37%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Karcag SE has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.27. Karcag SE: 11.6 shots per match, Ajka: 8.4.
Match halves
Karcag SE: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.63. Ajka: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Karcag SE: 46-60 (8 goals). Ajka: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB II: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win (1) based on superior chance creation and finishing: Karcag at home averages 13.73 shots per match with 5 on target, xG 1.64 and 1.45 goals per match with a conversion rate around 11% and only 18% of matches without scoring. Ajka away averages 9.2 shots and 3.2 on target, has xG 1.25 but actually scores only 0.6 goals per match and fails to score in 50% of away games, which limits their efficiency. Although Ajka shows better recent form (3 wins and 1.8 points per match in the last 5), Karcag wins 64% of home matches and creates more chances, offsetting their weaker overall form (1 win in the last 5 and 0.6 PPG). Additionally, Ajka concedes xG 1.65 away versus 1.45 xG conceded against Karcag at home, so while the visitors do create some opportunities, their low conversion and high share of scoreless games increases the hosts’ chances.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Karcag SE | Ajka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ajka is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Karcag SE · 0.4 pts / match - Ajka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karcag SE is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Karcag SE · 0.77 goals / match - Ajka
Karcag SE scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while Ajka keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
Ajka scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Karcag SE keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Karcag SE
Over / Under — Ajka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajka is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Karcag SE · 1.1 pts / match - Ajka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karcag SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ajka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Karcag SE
Ajka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB II).
Teams vs league
| Karcag SE | Liga | Ajka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.51 | ▼ 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 48% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 45% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 29% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Karcag SE 1 - 0 - 0 Ajka. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Karcag SE vs Ajka?
The NB II match finished Karcag SE 0:1 Ajka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Karcag SE vs Ajka?
Karcag SE score 0.97 goals per game on average and Ajka 0.77. The NB II average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Karcag SE's matches and 40% of Ajka's.
What form are Karcag SE and Ajka in?
Over the last 5 games Karcag SE have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Ajka 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karcag SE vs Ajka?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Karcag SE vs Ajka: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.