Karcag SE vs Szentlőrinc SE: match statistics
Karcag SE vs Szentlőrinc SE: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Karcag SE played against Szentlőrinc SE in NB II (Hungary). The game was played on May 3, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Karcag SE has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Szentlőrinc SE has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Karcag SE scores 1.04 goals per game and allows 1.37. Szentlőrinc SE scores 1.11 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.51 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Karcag SE's games and 56% of Szentlőrinc SE's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 48%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Karcag SE has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.30 per game. Karcag SE takes 11.4 shots per game, while Szentlőrinc SE takes 10.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Karcag SE leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Szentlőrinc SE leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
Karcag SE's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Szentlőrinc SE, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB II games average 2.51 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Karcag SE has a clear home advantage: they score an average of 1.31 goals per home match with xG 1.66, while Szentlőrinc score only 0.77 on the road with xG 1.24. The hosts average 13.92 shots and 5.15 on target per home game versus the visitors’ 9.69 shots and 3.69 on target away; additionally, the proportion of matches without a goal is 23% for Karcag and 46% for Szentlőrinc, meaning the hosts score at least once in about 77% of matches while the visitors fail to score in 46% of their away games. Defensively Szentlőrinc look worse in the short term — they conceded 9 goals in the last 5 matches versus 5 conceded by Karcag, and their average xG against is 1.65 for the visitors versus 1.46 for the hosts. Both teams have similarly poor form (last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses and an average 0.8 points per game), so Karcag’s edge stems mainly from better quality of chances and finishing. Based on this I tip 1; I estimate a 62% probability for a home win, 20% for a draw and 18% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data gives mixed signals: Karcag has a seasonal BTTS of 64% and averages 1.43 goals per match, while Szentlőrinc has BTTS 46% and 0.77 goals per match. xG indicates both sides create chances (home xG 1.37 vs away xG 1.24), while defenses concede a lot (xG against home 1.45, against away 1.65), which in theory allows for Goal/Goal. In practice, recent signals favor No Goal: Szentlőrinc in the last 5 matches has 0% BTTS, scored a total of 2 goals (0.4 per match) and conceded 9 (1.8 per match), and their shot conversion rate is only 8%. Additionally the league features a high share of clean sheets (59%), and Szentlőrinc keeps a clean sheet in 31% of games versus 21% for Karcag, increasing the likelihood of a match without both teams scoring. Considering the seasonal home advantage in BTTS but the very weak offensive trend of the visitors in the last 5 matches, I assess the "No" scenario as more likely (60% vs 40%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Strong signal for Over 1.5: Karcag have 86% of matches this season with over 1.5 goals, Szentlőrinc 69%, which in a simple average gives about a 78% chance of Over 1.5 in this fixture. Considering xG, the home side have xG 1.37, the visitors 1.24, and the opponents of these teams concede on average xG 1.45 against Karcag and 1.65 against Szentlőrinc; averaging these pairs yields a forecast of 1.48 goals for Karcag and 1.32 for Szentlőrinc. The total expected goals of 2.80 is above the 2.5 line, so I assign a slight edge to Over 2.5 (52% vs 48%), while Over 3.5 remains unlikely at 24% (home 36% Over 3.5 this season, away 8%). Additionally, Karcag have a higher shot conversion rate (13% vs 8%) and average 11.0 shots per match versus 9.69 for the visitors, which supports expecting more goals from the home team. In summary, I pick Over 1.5 as the strongest signal, with a small alternative bet on Over 2.5 given the total xG of 2.80.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonally Karcag led at the break in 7 matches (50%) while Szentlőrinc did so in only 3 (23%). However, in the last 5 fixtures the home side had 0% leads at the break and were level at half-time in 80% of cases, increasing the probability of a draw at Half-Time. The hosts score on average 0.79 goals by the break versus 0.46 for the visitors and have an xG of 1.37, while Szentlőrinc concedes on average 1.65 xG per match; additionally the hosts’ shot conversion is 13% compared to 8% for the visitors, giving Karcag an advantage in converting chances. Although seasonally Karcag concedes on average 1.21 goals after the break, in the last 5 matches they have averaged 1.4 points in the second half and won the second half in 40% of games, meaning they are able to overturn deficits or decide the result after Half-Time. Considering the higher average points per game for the hosts (1.14 versus 0.62 for the visitors) and the recent Half-Time draws, the most likely scenario is a Half-Time draw and a Home win Full-Time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Karcag SE | Szentlőrinc SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Szentlőrinc SE is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.04 goals / game - Karcag SE · 1.11 goals / game - Szentlőrinc SE
Karcag SE is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.37 goals / game - Karcag SE · 1.48 goals / game - Szentlőrinc SE
Karcag SE scores in 67% of games (18 of 27 meczów), while Szentlőrinc SE keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 meczów).
Szentlőrinc SE scores in 67% of games (18 of 27 meczów), while Karcag SE keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Karcag SE
Over / Under - Szentlőrinc SE
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Szentlőrinc SE is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / game - Karcag SE · 1.56 pts / game - Szentlőrinc SE
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karcag SE - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Szentlőrinc SE - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 15%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Karcag SE
Szentlőrinc SE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB II).
Teams vs league
| Karcag SE | Liga | Szentlőrinc SE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.41 | 2.51 | • 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 47% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 44% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Karcag SE's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Szentlőrinc SE. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Karcag SE vs Szentlőrinc SE?
The NB II match finished Karcag SE 0:1 Szentlőrinc SE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Karcag SE vs Szentlőrinc SE?
Karcag SE score 1.04 goals per game on average and Szentlőrinc SE 1.11. The NB II average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Karcag SE's matches and 56% of Szentlőrinc SE's.
What form are Karcag SE and Szentlőrinc SE in?
Over the last 5 games Karcag SE have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Szentlőrinc SE 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karcag SE vs Szentlőrinc SE?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Karcag SE vs Szentlőrinc SE: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.