Poland - 3 Liga Group 3Data current as of October 22, 2026

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Carina Gubin: match statistics

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Carina Gubin: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra played against Carina Gubin in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The game was played on April 14, 2026. Final score: 3:2.

Recent form

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Carina Gubin has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra scores 1.56 goals per game and allows 1.64. Carina Gubin scores 1.36 and allows 1.60. Games in this league average 3.25 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 72% of Karkonosze Jelenia Góra's games and 76% of Carina Gubin's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 60%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.16 per game. Karkonosze Jelenia Góra takes 6.8 shots per game, while Carina Gubin takes 2.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Carina Gubin leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.28 after halftime.

When the teams score

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (14 goals). For Carina Gubin, it is minutes 0-15 (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

3 Liga Group 3 games average 3.25 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

I predict a home win (1). Karkonosze average 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded at home, with home xG 1.43 versus Carina’s away xG 1.16, indicating higher quality chances created by the hosts. The hosts register more shots and shots on target — on average 11 shots and 3.67 on target per match with a conversion rate of 11%, compared to the visitors’ 8.5 shots and 2.5 on target (conversion 16%), meaning Karkonosze create more opportunities despite a lower conversion. Defensively the hosts also have the edge: Carina concedes 1.83 goals away while Karkonosze concede only 1.33 at home; additionally the hosts have a home goal difference of +4 versus Carina’s -4 on the road. Although in the last 5 matches the hosts are 1–2–2 (7 scored, 9 conceded) and the visitors 1–3–1 (4 scored, 5 conceded) and 58% of Carina’s away games end in draws, considering the advantage in xG, shot volume and the fact that the hosts have not been shut out at home (0% such matches), I estimate probabilities at roughly 50% for the home win, 30% for a draw and 20% for the away win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Both teams have very high seasonal BTTS rates: Karkonosze 77% and Carina 75% (average 76%) versus the league average 61%, which strongly supports a Goal/Goal scenario. In the last 5 matches the home side had BTTS 80% (scored 7 and conceded 9 goals), and the visitors 60% (scored 4 and conceded 5), so a form average of 70% still favors BTTS, especially for the home team. Low clean sheet rates of 23% and 17% combined with high season-long goals conceded totals of 41 and 40 indicate a clean sheet expected is unlikely, and the league average of 3.22 goals per game further increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Despite incomplete seasonal xG data for the hosts (0.0 in xg_for_avg_home), the last 5 matches show hosts' xG 1.70 versus Carina's 0.38, therefore I assess BTTS probability at approximately 78% vs 22% and recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' bet.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Season averages show Karkonosze score 1.23 and concede 1.38 per match, while Carina score 1.50 and concede 1.83; the mean of these values suggests roughly 1.53 goals for the home side and 1.44 for the visitors, totalling 2.97. Both teams have high BTTS rates: 77% for Karkonosze and 75% for Carina, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides and of exceeding 1.5 goals. Seasonal over 1.5 percentages are 77% for the home team and 92% for the visitors, therefore I forecast Over 1.5 at ~88%; additionally the league averages 3.22 goals per game. Over 2.5 has moderate backing (54% home vs 67% away), so I estimate about 62% for Over 2.5, while Over 3.5 looks less likely at 23% for the home side and 50% for the visitors, giving ~34% for Over 3.5. Considering the higher xG for the home team in the last 5 matches (1.7 vs 0.38) and Karkonosze’s 7 goals scored and 9 conceded in that period, the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5.

View Over/Under statistics

Stats by half

1 : 2
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

47Possession (%)53
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
8Shots16
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
3Shots on target6
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
1.24xG2.08
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
2Corners5
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
71Dangerous attacks89
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
-1Fouls-1
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
-1Cards-1
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
1.56Goals scored / game1.36
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
1.64Goals allowed / game1.6
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
33%Average possession17%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
2.28Shots on target / game0.12
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.84Shots per game2.04
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
2.28Shots on target0.12
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
22.8%Shot conversion66.7%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
33%Possession17%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
1.51xG for1.16
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
1.47xG against1.5
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin

Shooting quality

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: Counter-attackingCarina Gubin: Counter-attacking
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
Accuracy (shots on target)33%6%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.220.57
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.6811.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Carina Gubin is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra · 1.2 pts / game - Carina Gubin

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
LWLDD
Season result split
32% W28% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-7-10
1.24 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-4-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Carina Gubin
DLWDD
Season result split
32% W40% D28% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-10-7
1.36 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-7-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WDLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.88Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is 15% better for: goals scored per game.

1.56 goals / game - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra · 1.36 goals / game - Carina Gubin

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra scoring profile: very strong

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra scores in 88% of games (22 of 25 games), while Carina Gubin keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 games).

Carina Gubin scoring profile: very strong

Carina Gubin scores in 92% of games (23 of 25 games), while Karkonosze Jelenia Góra keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 games).

39Goals scored (season)34
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
41Goals conceded (season)40
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
3.2Average goals per game2.96
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
7Goals scored (last 5)4
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
9Goals conceded (last 5)5
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal92%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
44%2 goals36%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
16%3 goals8%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
8%4 goals0%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal80%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
44%2 goals48%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
20%3 goals20%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
8%4 goals4%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

72%
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 25 games
62%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time28%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
8%BTTS in both halves4%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
24%Scored in both halves16%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
80%BTTS - last 560%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
16%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carina Gubin is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.28 pts / game - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra · 1.52 pts / game - Carina Gubin

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - half-time state
24% leading56% draw20% trailing
Carina Gubin - half-time state
28% leading68% draw4% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.28Points per game (1st half)1.52
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
0.88Average goals (1st half)1
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
68%Clean sheet before half-time68%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
64%No goal before half-time48%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.28
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
0.76Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
1.36Average goals (2nd half)0.92
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
52%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin
52%No goal after half-time72%
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraCarina Gubin

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - second-half results

16% W52% D32% L
32
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Carina Gubin - second-half results

16% W52% D32% L
38
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.00
Goals scored / game0.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.81.0
Average goals per game0.81.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Carina Gubin - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.80
Goals scored / game0.20.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.40.8
1 goal20%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
ScoredConceded
14
12
0-15
6
2
16-30
4
8
31-45
1
6
46-60
5
3
61-75
9
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Carina Gubin
ScoredConceded
13
17
0-15
6
2
16-30
8
5
31-45
1
4
46-60
3
6
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.08
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
74%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
81%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 36% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Carina Gubin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 38% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).

Teams vs league

Karkonosze Jelenia GóraLigaCarina Gubin
Average goals per game• 3.203.25▼ 2.96
Both teams scored▲ 72%62%▲ 76%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 64%66%▼ 60%
Clean sheets▼ 16%21%• 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 56%34%▲ 56%
Goal after half-time▲ 60%36%▲ 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.25
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.75
Home goals / game
1.49
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
34%
1 goal
20%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
36%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Other recorded players

—Dawid Kasprzyk⚽ 3

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Karkonosze Jelenia GóraGoalDawid Kasprzyk
  2. Karkonosze Jelenia GóraGoalDawid Kasprzyk
  3. Karkonosze Jelenia GóraGoalDawid Kasprzyk

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Karkonosze Jelenia Góra's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Carina Gubin. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Carina Gubin
1 : 2
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

FAQ

What was the result of Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Carina Gubin?

The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 3:2 Carina Gubin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Carina Gubin?

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.56 goals per game on average and Carina Gubin 1.36. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Karkonosze Jelenia Góra's matches and 76% of Carina Gubin's.

What form are Karkonosze Jelenia Góra and Carina Gubin in?

Over the last 5 games Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Carina Gubin 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Carina Gubin?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.