Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc: match statistics
Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Karviná play Sigma Olomouc in First League (Czechia). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Karviná: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Sigma Olomouc: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Karviná scores 1.41 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Sigma Olomouc scores 1.32 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Karviná 65%, Sigma Olomouc 47%. Over 2.5: Karviná 74%, Sigma Olomouc 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Karviná has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.46. Karviná: 14.2 shots per match, Sigma Olomouc: 12.4.
Match halves
Karviná: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76. Sigma Olomouc: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Karviná: 31-45+ (11 goals). Sigma Olomouc: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I predict a home win. Karviná creates more chances at home: on average 14.44 shots per match, 4.69 on target and xG 1.62, versus 10.81 shots, 3.19 on target and xG 1.27 that Sigma produces away. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 8 goals each, but Karviná averages 1.8 points in that run while Sigma only 1.2 points, which translates into better points conversion for the hosts. On the other hand Sigma has a better defensive season record (37 goals conceded vs 54 for Karviná) and a higher finishing efficiency (12% vs 9%), so the match carries the risk of an away goal. Considering the possession advantage (57% vs 49%), the lower share of matches without scoring for Karviná (31% vs 38%) and the higher share of clean sheets for the hosts (13% vs 6%), I give Karviná the greater chances of victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Karviná | Sigma Olomouc | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sigma Olomouc is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Karviná · 1.8 pts / match - Sigma Olomouc
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karviná is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Karviná · 1.32 goals / match - Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.79 goals / match - Karviná · 1.12 goals / match - Sigma Olomouc
Karviná scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Sigma Olomouc keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
Sigma Olomouc scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Karviná keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Karviná
Over / Under — Sigma Olomouc
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sigma Olomouc is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Karviná · 1.44 pts / match - Sigma Olomouc
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karviná - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sigma Olomouc - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Karviná
Sigma Olomouc
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Karviná | Liga | Sigma Olomouc | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.21 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 29% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 75% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Karviná 0 - 2 - 1 Sigma Olomouc. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc?
The First League match finished Karviná 1:3 Sigma Olomouc. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Karviná and Sigma Olomouc?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Karviná won 0, Sigma Olomouc won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc?
Karviná score 1.41 goals per game on average and Sigma Olomouc 1.32. The First League average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Karviná's matches and 47% of Sigma Olomouc's.
What form are Karviná and Sigma Olomouc in?
Over the last 5 games Karviná have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Sigma Olomouc 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.