Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc: match statistics
Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Karviná played against Sigma Olomouc in First League (Czechia). The game was played on May 16, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Karviná has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Sigma Olomouc has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Karviná scores 1.47 goals per game and allows 1.69. Sigma Olomouc scores 1.19 and allows 1.16. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 66% of Karviná's games and 47% of Sigma Olomouc's. The Over 2.5 rates are 72% and 47%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Karviná has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.41 per game. Karviná takes 14.5 shots per game, while Sigma Olomouc takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Karviná leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Sigma Olomouc leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.56 after halftime.
When the teams score
Karviná's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Sigma Olomouc, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First League games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win. Karviná creates more chances at home: on average 14.44 shots per match, 4.69 on target and xG 1.62, versus 10.81 shots, 3.19 on target and xG 1.27 that Sigma produces away. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 8 goals each, but Karviná averages 1.8 points in that run while Sigma only 1.2 points, which translates into better points conversion for the hosts. On the other hand Sigma has a better defensive season record (37 goals conceded vs 54 for Karviná) and a higher finishing efficiency (12% vs 9%), so the match carries the risk of an away goal. Considering the possession advantage (57% vs 49%), the lower share of matches without scoring for Karviná (31% vs 38%) and the higher share of clean sheets for the hosts (13% vs 6%), I give Karviná the greater chances of victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS comes from form: in the last 5 matches Karviná has BTTS at 80% (4/5) and Sigma Olomouc 100% (5/5), with average goals of 1.6 per game for both teams. Seasonal data is mixed — Karviná has season-long BTTS 38% and keeps a clean sheet in 56% of matches, while Sigma has season BTTS 56% and only 6% clean sheets, suggesting Sigma concedes frequently while Karviná can occasionally shut down a game. xG and shooting stats show both teams create chances: Karviná xG_for 1.56, 4.13 shots on target and 13.38 shots overall; Sigma xG_for 1.27, 3.19 shots on target and 10.81 shots. Specifically Karviná xG_for 1.56 vs Sigma xG_against 1.62 and Sigma xG_for 1.27 vs Karviná xG_against 1.14 indicate both sides have realistic scoring opportunities. Considering the high BTTS in the last 5 matches (80% and 100%), solid xG for both teams and the league average BTTS of 52%, I recommend ‘BTTS - Yes’ as the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
An xG-based model predicts 1.59 goals for Karviná (xG_for 1.56 vs xG_against Olomouc 1.62, average 1.59) and 1.21 for Sigma Olomouc (xG_for 1.27 vs xG_against Karviná 1.14, average 1.21), totaling 2.80 expected goals. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 8 and conceded 8 (averaging 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded per match), and the percentage of matches over 2.5 goals in this sample is 100% for both sides. Seasonal indicators are mixed: Karviná has 38% of matches over 2.5 and as many as 56% clean sheets, while Sigma has 56% of matches over 2.5 and only 6% clean sheets, indicating an offensive edge for the visitors. Since the expected 2.80 goals exceed the 2.5 line and each team’s last 5 games finished over 2.5, the strongest and most reliable signal is to back Over 2.5 (I estimate its probability at around 68%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Sigma Olomouc performs better in the first half: the visitors score on average 0.81 goals by the break versus Karviná’s 0.44, and in the last 5 matches they led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5). After halftime the initiative often shifts to Karviná — the hosts score on average 0.69 goals in second halves and accumulate 1.5 points in second halves versus 0.88 points for the away side, while Sigma concedes on average 1.0 goal after the break. Additionally, Karviná has higher xG (1.56 vs. 1.27), wins 50% of home matches this season and keeps a clean sheet in 56% of home games, whereas the visitors have only 6% clean sheets away, which favors a final victory for the hosts. Based on these figures the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1) — I assign this scenario approximately 22%, while a guest lead at the break (HT 2) I estimate at around 30% in total.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Karviná | Sigma Olomouc | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Karviná is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Karviná · 1.2 pts / game - Sigma Olomouc
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karviná is 24% better for: goals scored per game.
1.47 goals / game - Karviná · 1.19 goals / game - Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc is 46% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.69 goals / game - Karviná · 1.16 goals / game - Sigma Olomouc
Karviná scores in 72% of games (23 of 32 meczów), while Sigma Olomouc keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 meczów).
Sigma Olomouc scores in 69% of games (22 of 32 meczów), while Karviná keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Karviná
Over / Under - Sigma Olomouc
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sigma Olomouc is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / game - Karviná · 1.41 pts / game - Sigma Olomouc
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karviná - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sigma Olomouc - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Karviná
Sigma Olomouc
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Karviná | Liga | Sigma Olomouc | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.16 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.34 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 48% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 29% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 74% | ▼ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Sigma OlomoucYellow cardRadek Palán
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Karviná's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Sigma Olomouc. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc?
The First League match finished Karviná 1:3 Sigma Olomouc. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Karviná and Sigma Olomouc?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Karviná won 0, Sigma Olomouc won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc?
Karviná score 1.47 goals per game on average and Sigma Olomouc 1.19. The First League average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Karviná's matches and 47% of Sigma Olomouc's.
What form are Karviná and Sigma Olomouc in?
Over the last 5 games Karviná have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Sigma Olomouc 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.