Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük: match statistics
Kasımpaşa, despite poor form and no home wins this season, appears to be the favorite in this match. Fatih Karagümrük displays a disastrous away form with 80% losses and a goal difference of -12, without keeping a single clean sheet. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per away match, which, given the opponent's xG of 1.73, indicates serious defensive issues. Kasımpaşa boasts a better xG in home matches (1.34 vs 1.19 for the visitors) and higher ball possession, which should translate into control of the match. Although the hosts have not won their last five matches, facing the league's weakest away team provides a real opportunity to break that streak. A draw is also likely due to Kasımpaşa's high percentage of points shared at home (50%), but Fatih Karagümrük's weakness points to a home win.
Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kasımpaşa played against Fatih Karagümrük in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The game was played on February 16, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Kasımpaşa has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Fatih Karagümrük has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Kasımpaşa scores 0.76 goals per game and allows 1.38. Fatih Karagümrük scores 0.86 and allows 1.86. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Kasımpaşa's games and 48% of Fatih Karagümrük's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 48%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fatih Karagümrük has the higher season xG average, 1.15 to 1.13 per game. Kasımpaşa takes 10.4 shots per game, while Fatih Karagümrük takes 10.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Kasımpaşa leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.48 goals per game after halftime. Fatih Karagümrük leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kasımpaşa's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For Fatih Karagümrük, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Süper Lig games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kasımpaşa, despite poor form and no home wins this season, appears to be the favorite in this match. Fatih Karagümrük displays a disastrous away form with 80% losses and a goal difference of -12, without keeping a single clean sheet. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per away match, which, given the opponent's xG of 1.73, indicates serious defensive issues. Kasımpaşa boasts a better xG in home matches (1.34 vs 1.19 for the visitors) and higher ball possession, which should translate into control of the match. Although the hosts have not won their last five matches, facing the league's weakest away team provides a real opportunity to break that streak. A draw is also likely due to Kasımpaşa's high percentage of points shared at home (50%), but Fatih Karagümrük's weakness points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kasımpaşa | Fatih Karagümrük | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fatih Karagümrük is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Kasımpaşa · 0.6 pts / game - Fatih Karagümrük
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fatih Karagümrük is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
0.76 goals / game - Kasımpaşa · 0.86 goals / game - Fatih Karagümrük
Kasımpaşa is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.38 goals / game - Kasımpaşa · 1.86 goals / game - Fatih Karagümrük
Kasımpaşa scores in 57% of games (12 of 21 meczów), while Fatih Karagümrük keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 meczów).
Fatih Karagümrük scores in 57% of games (12 of 21 meczów), while Kasımpaşa keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kasımpaşa
Over / Under - Fatih Karagümrük
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fatih Karagümrük is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / game - Kasımpaşa · 0.9 pts / game - Fatih Karagümrük
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kasımpaşa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Fatih Karagümrük - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kasımpaşa
Fatih Karagümrük
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Kasımpaşa | Liga | Fatih Karagümrük | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.14 | 2.65 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 57% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 69% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Kasımpaşa's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Fatih Karagümrük. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük?
The Süper Lig match finished Kasımpaşa 3:2 Fatih Karagümrük. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Kasımpaşa score 0.76 goals per game on average and Fatih Karagümrük 0.86. The Süper Lig average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Kasımpaşa's matches and 48% of Fatih Karagümrük's.
What form are Kasımpaşa and Fatih Karagümrük in?
Over the last 5 games Kasımpaşa have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Fatih Karagümrük 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.