Kasımpaşa vs Rizespor: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to even chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for a draw scenario. Kasımpaşa presents poor home form with just a 9% win rate and as many as 45% of matches ending in a draw at home, suggesting difficulties in breaking down rivals at their own stadium. Rizespor, on the other hand, is characterized by an exceptionally high percentage of draws on the road (64%), which is the strongest indicator in this analysis. Both teams have similar recent form (Kasımpaşa 0.8 PPG, Rizespor 1.2 PPG), and the visitors score more goals on average away (1.45) than the hosts do at home (0.82). Considering Rizespor's tendency to draw and Kasımpaşa's weakness in securing home victories, the most likely result is a split of points. The slight advantage of the visitors in form and offensive efficiency is balanced by the fact of playing away, hence the equal chances of victory for both teams.
Kasımpaşa vs Rizespor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kasımpaşa play Rizespor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 11:30. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Kasımpaşa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Rizespor: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kasımpaşa scores 0.97 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Rizespor scores 1.35 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kasımpaşa 53%, Rizespor 56%. Over 2.5: Kasımpaşa 44%, Rizespor 59%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Rizespor has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.06. Kasımpaşa: 9.6 shots per match, Rizespor: 13.0.
Match halves
Kasımpaşa: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.53. Rizespor: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Kasımpaşa: 61-75 (8 goals). Rizespor: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to even chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for a draw scenario. Kasımpaşa presents poor home form with just a 9% win rate and as many as 45% of matches ending in a draw at home, suggesting difficulties in breaking down rivals at their own stadium. Rizespor, on the other hand, is characterized by an exceptionally high percentage of draws on the road (64%), which is the strongest indicator in this analysis. Both teams have similar recent form (Kasımpaşa 0.8 PPG, Rizespor 1.2 PPG), and the visitors score more goals on average away (1.45) than the hosts do at home (0.82). Considering Rizespor's tendency to draw and Kasımpaşa's weakness in securing home victories, the most likely result is a split of points. The slight advantage of the visitors in form and offensive efficiency is balanced by the fact of playing away, hence the equal chances of victory for both teams.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kasımpaşa | Rizespor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kasımpaşa is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Kasımpaşa · 1 pts / match - Rizespor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rizespor is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Kasımpaşa · 1.35 goals / match - Rizespor
Kasımpaşa is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Kasımpaşa · 1.53 goals / match - Rizespor
Kasımpaşa scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Rizespor keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Rizespor scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Kasımpaşa keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kasımpaşa
Over / Under — Rizespor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rizespor is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Kasımpaşa · 1.26 pts / match - Rizespor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kasımpaşa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rizespor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kasımpaşa
Rizespor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Kasımpaşa | Liga | Rizespor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.65 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 53% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 68% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kasımpaşa 1 - 0 - 0 Rizespor. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kasımpaşa vs Rizespor?
The Süper Lig match finished Kasımpaşa 0:3 Rizespor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kasımpaşa vs Rizespor?
Kasımpaşa score 0.97 goals per game on average and Rizespor 1.35. The Süper Lig average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Kasımpaşa's matches and 56% of Rizespor's.
What form are Kasımpaşa and Rizespor in?
Over the last 5 games Kasımpaşa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Rizespor 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kasımpaşa vs Rizespor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kasımpaşa vs Rizespor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.