Türkiye - Süper LigRecep Tayyip Erdoğan StadyumuData current as of October 16, 2026

Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Kasımpaşa plays Samsunspor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu.

Recent form

Kasımpaşa has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Samsunspor has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Kasımpaşa scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.14. Samsunspor scores 0.86 and allows 2.14. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 71% of Kasımpaşa's games and 29% of Samsunspor's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 43%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Samsunspor has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.18 per game. Kasımpaşa takes 11.4 shots per game, while Samsunspor takes 14.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Kasımpaşa leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Samsunspor leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.29 after halftime.

When the teams score

Kasımpaşa's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Samsunspor, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Süper Lig games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.50)
(3.40)
(2.65)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

KasımpaşaSamsunspor
1.14Goals scored / game0.86
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
1.14Goals allowed / game2.14
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
41%Average possession57%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
3.29Shots on target / game3.14
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.43Shots per game14.57
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
3.29Shots on target3.14
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
10%Shot conversion5.9%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
41%Possession57%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
1.18xG for1.48
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
1.68xG against1.67
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

Shooting quality

Kasımpaşa: BalancedSamsunspor: Dominant
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
Accuracy (shots on target)29%22%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Kasımpaşa
DDWDL
Season result split
29% W57% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-1
1.43 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-0
Last 5 at home
0-3-0
DDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Samsunspor
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
14% W14% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-5
0.57 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
WLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kasımpaşa is 33% better for: goals scored per game.

1.14 goals / game - Kasımpaşa · 0.86 goals / game - Samsunspor

Kasımpaşa is 88% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.14 goals / game - Kasımpaşa · 2.14 goals / game - Samsunspor

Kasımpaşa scoring profile: very strong

Kasımpaşa scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Samsunspor keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).

Samsunspor scoring profile: mixed

Samsunspor scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 games), while Kasımpaşa keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).

8Goals scored (season)6
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
8Goals conceded (season)15
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
2.29Average goals per game3
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
6Goals scored (last 5)1
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
7Goals conceded (last 5)12
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal43%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
29%2 goals29%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0%3 goals14%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0%4 goals0%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal86%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
29%2 goals57%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
14%3 goals43%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0%4 goals14%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time29%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0%BTTS in both halves14%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
14%Scored in both halves29%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
80%BTTS - last 520%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time43%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kasımpaşa is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Kasımpaşa · 0.86 pts / game - Samsunspor

Kasımpaşa - half-time state
29% leading14% draw57% trailing
Samsunspor - half-time state
29% leading0% draw71% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)0.86
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.57
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)1.43
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0.86Average goals (1st half)2
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
43%Clean sheet before half-time14%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
71%No goal before half-time57%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

After half-time (2nd half)

1.57Points per game (2nd half)0.86
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
71%Clean sheet after half-time57%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
29%No goal after half-time71%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

Kasımpaşa - second-half results

43% W29% D29% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Samsunspor - second-half results

14% W43% D43% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding48%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.7

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Kasımpaşa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game0.21.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game0.81.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Samsunspor - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.000.60
Goals scored / game0.20.0
Goals allowed / game1.80.6
Average goals per game2.00.6
1 goal100%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet0%60%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference-8-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Kasımpaşa
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Samsunspor
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-81%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Kasımpaşa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Samsunspor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).

Teams vs league

KasımpaşaLigaSamsunspor
Average goals per game▼ 2.292.94• 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 71%44%▼ 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 43%59%▼ 43%
Clean sheets▼ 29%31%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▲ 86%76%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%81%▼ 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / game
1.29
Away goals / game
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Kasımpaşa's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Samsunspor. Games average 0.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Kasimpasa
0 : 1
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
0 : 0
Kasimpasa

FAQ

When do Kasımpaşa and Samsunspor play?

Kasımpaşa face Samsunspor on October 18, 2026 in Süper Lig at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kasımpaşa and Samsunspor?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 0, Samsunspor won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?

Kasımpaşa score 1.14 goals per game on average and Samsunspor 0.86. The Süper Lig average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Kasımpaşa's matches and 29% of Samsunspor's.

What form are Kasımpaşa and Samsunspor in?

Over the last 5 games Kasımpaşa have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Samsunspor 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.