Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor: match statistics

Trabzonspor are showing clearly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 1.6 goals per game during that run. Over the same period, Kasımpaşa have won just once, recording 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 goals while conceding as many as 9. The visitors are also more solid defensively, having conceded 5 goals in their last five matches compared with the hosts’ 9. Trabzonspor’s average of 2.4 points from their last five league games is more than twice Kasımpaşa’s 1.0, further strengthening the case for an away win. The hosts’ home advantage reduces the extent of the visitors’ edge, but the current trends point to a higher probability of a Trabzonspor victory.

The signal for both teams to score is moderately positive: Kasımpaşa recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches, while Trabzonspor did so in 40%, giving an average of 50%. The hosts conceded as many as 1.8 goals per match during this period, while the visitors scored an average of 1.6, making a Trabzonspor goal highly likely. Kasımpaşa averaged only 1.0 goal per match, but the visitors’ defense allowed an average of 1.17 xG, compared with the hosts’ xG of 1.00. Trabzonspor conceded 5 goals in 5 appearances, so a scenario involving a single goal from the hosts remains more likely than a scoreless performance. However, the BTTS - Yes pick is not decisive, as the visitors’ good form includes conceding only 1.0 goal per match on average.

Kasımpaşa averaged 1.0 goals scored in their last five matches but conceded as many as 1.8, while Trabzonspor scored 1.6 goals and allowed opponents an average of 1.0. The xG model also points to the visitors having an edge in chance creation: Trabzonspor recorded 1.32 xG compared with Kasımpaşa’s 1.00, while the respective xG conceded figures were 1.17 and 1.35. Results featuring at least three goals occurred in 80% of Trabzonspor’s last five matches, but in only 40% of Kasımpaşa’s games, which limits the basis for predicting a very high-scoring game. The projected total of 2.50 goals suggests a match in the two- or three-goal range, making Under 3.5 more appealing than betting on higher Over lines.

Trabzonspor are showing clearly superior current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.4 points per game, while Kasımpaşa have won only once and averaged 1.0 point. The visitors were leading at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while the hosts conceded an average of 1.0 goal before half-time and scored just 0.8. Trabzonspor’s defense has looked particularly strong in the first halves, conceding only 0.2 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet at half-time in 80% of cases. After the break, Kasımpaşa average just 0.2 goals and failed to score in the second half in 80% of their recent matches, increasing the likelihood that the visitors’ advantage will be maintained until full-time.