Katsina United vs Ikorodu City: match statistics
Katsina United vs Ikorodu City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Katsina United play Ikorodu City in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Katsina United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Ikorodu City: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Katsina United scores 0.86 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Ikorodu City scores 1.13 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Katsina United 30%, Ikorodu City 39%. Over 2.5: Katsina United 22%, Ikorodu City 34%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Ikorodu City has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.08. Katsina United: 2.6 shots per match, Ikorodu City: 7.0.
Match halves
Katsina United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.41. Ikorodu City: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Katsina United: 31-45+ (8 goals). Ikorodu City: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Katsina United possess clear home advantages: on average 1.22 goals scored and only 0.61 conceded per home match, with 56% clean sheets, 61% home wins and a +11 goal difference. Ikorodu City, despite sitting 3rd with 41 goals this season versus Katsina’s 28, performs poorly away — averaging 0.72 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per away match, 44% of away games without scoring and only 11% away wins. The quality of chances differs: the hosts produce 7.67 shots (3.33 on target) with xG 1.27 at home, while visitors average 6.38 shots (1.88 on target) with xG 0.95 away, indicating Katsina creates more clear-cut opportunities. In the last 5 matches Katsina scored 4 goals and average 1.6 points per game, whereas Ikorodu have 12 goals and 1.8 points per game, but much of their output does not translate into effective away performances. Considering the hosts’ stable defense and the visitors’ issues on the road (0.72 scored, 44% FTS and -13 away goal difference), the higher probability favors a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Katsina United | Ikorodu City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 20% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.42 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.69 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ikorodu City is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Katsina United · 1.13 goals / match - Ikorodu City
Katsina United is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Katsina United · 1.03 goals / match - Ikorodu City
Katsina United scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Ikorodu City keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
Ikorodu City scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Katsina United keeps a clean sheet in 35% (13 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Katsina United
Over / Under — Ikorodu City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Katsina United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ikorodu City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Katsina United
Ikorodu City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Katsina United | Liga | Ikorodu City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.81 | 2.02 | ▲ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 38% | • 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 34% | • 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 37% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 49% | 61% | ▲ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 64% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Katsina United 0 - 1 - 0 Ikorodu City. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Katsina United vs Ikorodu City?
The NPFL match finished Katsina United 4:1 Ikorodu City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Katsina United vs Ikorodu City?
Katsina United score 0.86 goals per game on average and Ikorodu City 1.13. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Katsina United's matches and 39% of Ikorodu City's.
What form are Katsina United and Ikorodu City in?
Over the last 5 games Katsina United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ikorodu City 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Katsina United vs Ikorodu City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.