Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes: match statistics
Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Katsina United play Niger Tornadoes in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 5 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Katsina United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Niger Tornadoes: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Katsina United scores 0.86 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Niger Tornadoes scores 0.97 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Katsina United 30%, Niger Tornadoes 26%. Over 2.5: Katsina United 22%, Niger Tornadoes 32%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Niger Tornadoes has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.08. Katsina United: 2.6 shots per match, Niger Tornadoes: 8.9.
Match halves
Katsina United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.41. Niger Tornadoes: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Katsina United: 31-45+ (8 goals). Niger Tornadoes: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Katsina United are the clear favorites: at home they average 1.13 goals scored and concede only 0.56 per match, with 56% of home games ending in clean sheets. Niger Tornadoes struggle on the road: just 0.44 goals scored, 1.44 conceded, only 13% clean sheets and as many as 63% of away matches without scoring, with an 81% loss rate at opponents’ grounds. Chance quality and efficiency also favor Katsina — their home xG is 1.27 versus 0.98 xG for Niger away, 3.33 shots on target per game versus 2.18 and a conversion rate of 15% compared to Niger’s 5%. Although Niger have a better overall points rate in the last 5 matches (1.4 pts/game vs 1.0 for Katsina), the accumulation of the visitors’ poor away efficiency and the hosts’ defensive advantage gives Katsina a clear edge. Based on this, I predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Katsina United | Niger Tornadoes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 20% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.42 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.69 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Niger Tornadoes is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Katsina United · 0.97 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes
Katsina United scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 45% (17 of 38 matches).
Niger Tornadoes scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Katsina United keeps a clean sheet in 35% (13 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Katsina United
Over / Under — Niger Tornadoes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Katsina United is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Katsina United · 1.21 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Katsina United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Niger Tornadoes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Katsina United
Niger Tornadoes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Katsina United | Liga | Niger Tornadoes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.81 | 2.02 | ▼ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 37% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 49% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 64% | ▲ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Katsina United 0 - 0 - 1 Niger Tornadoes. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes?
The NPFL match finished Katsina United 1:0 Niger Tornadoes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes?
Katsina United score 0.86 goals per game on average and Niger Tornadoes 0.97. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Katsina United's matches and 26% of Niger Tornadoes's.
What form are Katsina United and Niger Tornadoes in?
Over the last 5 games Katsina United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Niger Tornadoes 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes?
The statistical background for Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.