Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes: match statistics
Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Katsina United played against Niger Tornadoes in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on April 5, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Katsina United has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Niger Tornadoes has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Katsina United scores 0.77 goals per game and allows 0.81. Niger Tornadoes scores 1.06 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 1.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Katsina United's games and 28% of Niger Tornadoes's. The Over 2.5 rates are 13% and 31%, compared with league averages of 38% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Niger Tornadoes has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.08 per game. Katsina United takes 2.9 shots per game, while Niger Tornadoes takes 8.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Katsina United leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.39 goals per game after halftime. Niger Tornadoes leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Katsina United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Niger Tornadoes, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 1.94 goals. Both teams score in 38% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Katsina United are the clear favorites: at home they average 1.13 goals scored and concede only 0.56 per match, with 56% of home games ending in clean sheets. Niger Tornadoes struggle on the road: just 0.44 goals scored, 1.44 conceded, only 13% clean sheets and as many as 63% of away matches without scoring, with an 81% loss rate at opponents’ grounds. Chance quality and efficiency also favor Katsina — their home xG is 1.27 versus 0.98 xG for Niger away, 3.33 shots on target per game versus 2.18 and a conversion rate of 15% compared to Niger’s 5%. Although Niger have a better overall points rate in the last 5 matches (1.4 pts/game vs 1.0 for Katsina), the accumulation of the visitors’ poor away efficiency and the hosts’ defensive advantage gives Katsina a clear edge. Based on this, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - No. Katsina United possess a very solid defense: clean sheet in 75% of matches this season and conceding only 0.44 goals per game on average. Niger Tornadoes show poor offensive efficiency — just 0.44 goals per game, 2.18 shots on target and a shot conversion rate of 5%, which significantly limits their scoring chances. Katsina generate 1.93 xG, score 1.69 goals per game on average with 5.36 shots on target, so the hosts should dominate, while the opponents’ expected finishing efficiency is low. Additionally, seasonal BTTS rates are 25% for Katsina and 31% for Niger, with the league at 38% BTTS, which together favor a no-goal-for-both scenario. Based on this I estimate BTTS 'Yes' at ~30% and 'No' at ~70%, therefore I recommend 'no' as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics indicate a low-goal game: Katsina United averages 1.69 goals and has xG 1.93 with 75% clean sheets, while Niger Tornadoes score only 0.44 goals and have xG 0.98, with just 13% clean sheets. I applied a 60/40 weight between actual goal averages (1.69 and 0.44) and xG (1.93 and 0.98), yielding expected ~1.79 goals for the home side and ~0.66 for the visitors, total 2.45. Seasonal percentages show only 31% of each team’s matches finish Over 2.5 goals (league average Over 2.5 is 28%), and BTTS occurs in 25–31% of games, which favors Under 2.5. Although Over 1.5 occurs in 63% of both teams’ matches, poorer form in the last 5 matches (home 0.6 goals, away 0.8) and Katsina’s high clean sheet rate (75%) strengthen Under 2.5 as the best bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Katsina United are clear favorites: the home side win 69% of matches and average 2.31 points per game, with an average of 1.69 goals versus 0.44 for Niger Tornadoes. At Half-Time Katsina led in 9 matches (56%) and average 0.69 goals by the break compared to 0.06 for the visitors, while the hosts keep a clean sheet at the break in 88% of games. In the second half the hosts add an average of 1.00 goal (visitors 0.38) and register xG of 1.93 versus 0.98, with 15.29 shots and 5.36 on target compared to 7.18 and 2.18 for Tornadoes, converting at 12% versus 5%. Additionally, Katsina score particularly after the 60th minute (5 goals in 61–75 and 8 goals in 76–90), which favors maintaining or increasing a lead at Half-Time, so the most likely scenario is HT/FT 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Katsina United | Niger Tornadoes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.37 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.04 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Niger Tornadoes is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Katsina United · 1.4 pts / game - Niger Tornadoes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Niger Tornadoes is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
0.77 goals / game - Katsina United · 1.06 goals / game - Niger Tornadoes
Katsina United is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.81 goals / game - Katsina United · 0.94 goals / game - Niger Tornadoes
Katsina United scores in 55% of games (17 of 31 meczów), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 44% (14 of 32 meczów).
Niger Tornadoes scores in 63% of games (20 of 32 meczów), while Katsina United keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Katsina United
Over / Under - Niger Tornadoes
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Katsina United is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / game - Katsina United · 1.22 pts / game - Niger Tornadoes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Katsina United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Niger Tornadoes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Katsina United
Niger Tornadoes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Katsina United | Liga | Niger Tornadoes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.58 | 1.94 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 38% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 29% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 37% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 60% | ▲ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 68% | 62% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Katsina United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Niger Tornadoes. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes?
The NPFL match finished Katsina United 1:0 Niger Tornadoes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes?
Katsina United score 0.77 goals per game on average and Niger Tornadoes 1.06. The NPFL average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Katsina United's matches and 28% of Niger Tornadoes's.
What form are Katsina United and Niger Tornadoes in?
Over the last 5 games Katsina United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Niger Tornadoes 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes?
The statistical background for Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.