Nigeria - NPFLData current as of September 13, 2026

Katsina United vs Shooting Stars: match statistics

155%(0.00)
X30%(0.00)
215%(0.00)

Katsina United show a decided advantage in home matches with a 53% win rate and an impressive +8 goal difference at home. The hosts average 1.13 goals scored per match at home, with just 0.6 goals conceded, which translates to a 53% clean sheet rate. Shooting Stars display very poor away form with only a 13% win rate, 67% losses, and a negative -16 goal difference in away matches. The visitors average just 0.4 goals scored in away matches and fail to keep a clean sheet in 87% of games, making them highly vulnerable to losses. The recent form of both teams (1 PPG for the hosts vs 1.8 PPG for the visitors) does not change the fact that Katsina United at their home ground are decidedly stronger than Shooting Stars away. xG analysis also supports the hosts, who generate better expected goals values in home matches than the visitors in away fixtures.

Katsina United vs Shooting Stars: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Katsina United played against Shooting Stars in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Katsina United has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Shooting Stars has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Katsina United scores 0.79 goals per game and allows 0.86. Shooting Stars scores 1.07 and allows 1.10. Games in this league average 1.87 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 31% of Katsina United's games and 40% of Shooting Stars's. The Over 2.5 rates are 14% and 33%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Shooting Stars has the higher season xG average, 1.28 to 1.08 per game. Katsina United takes 3.2 shots per game, while Shooting Stars takes 6.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Katsina United leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. Shooting Stars leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.47 after halftime.

When the teams score

Katsina United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Shooting Stars, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NPFL games average 1.87 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Katsina United show a decided advantage in home matches with a 53% win rate and an impressive +8 goal difference at home. The hosts average 1.13 goals scored per match at home, with just 0.6 goals conceded, which translates to a 53% clean sheet rate. Shooting Stars display very poor away form with only a 13% win rate, 67% losses, and a negative -16 goal difference in away matches. The visitors average just 0.4 goals scored in away matches and fail to keep a clean sheet in 87% of games, making them highly vulnerable to losses. The recent form of both teams (1 PPG for the hosts vs 1.8 PPG for the visitors) does not change the fact that Katsina United at their home ground are decidedly stronger than Shooting Stars away. xG analysis also supports the hosts, who generate better expected goals values in home matches than the visitors in away fixtures.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

-1Possession (%)-1
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
-1Shots-1
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
-1Shots on target-1
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0xG0
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
-1Corners-1
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0Dangerous attacks0
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
-1Fouls-1
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0Cards1
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0.79Goals scored / game1.07
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0.86Goals allowed / game1.1
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
21%Average possession35%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0.86Shots on target / game1.97
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

3.21Shots per game6.6
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0.86Shots on target1.97
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
24.7%Shot conversion16.2%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
21%Possession35%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
1.08xG for1.28
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
1.63xG against1.26
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars

Shooting quality

Katsina United: Counter-attackingShooting Stars: Counter-attacking
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
Accuracy (shots on target)27%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.340.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.920.54

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Shooting Stars is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Katsina United · 1.8 pts / game - Shooting Stars

Katsina United
WDLLD
Season result split
34% W28% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-8-11
1.31 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-4-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.60Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Shooting Stars
LWLWW
Season result split
47% W17% D37% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-5-11
1.57 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-10
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.92Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Shooting Stars is 35% better for: goals scored per game.

0.79 goals / game - Katsina United · 1.07 goals / game - Shooting Stars

Katsina United is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.86 goals / game - Katsina United · 1.1 goals / game - Shooting Stars

Katsina United scoring profile: strong

Katsina United scores in 55% of games (16 of 29 meczów), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 meczów).

Shooting Stars scoring profile: strong

Shooting Stars scores in 63% of games (19 of 30 meczów), while Katsina United keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 meczów).

23Goals scored (season)32
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
25Goals conceded (season)33
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
1.66Average goals per game2.17
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
3Goals scored (last 5)8
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal63%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
17%2 goals30%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
7%3 goals10%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0%4 goals3%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal73%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
21%2 goals27%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0%3 goals7%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0%4 goals3%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

36%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time20%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0%BTTS in both halves7%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
10%Scored in both halves27%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
40%BTTS - last 580%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

48%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Katsina United - half-time state
24% leading69% draw7% trailing
Shooting Stars - half-time state
37% leading30% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.41Points per game (1st half)1.4
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.6
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0.24Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0.66Average goals (1st half)1.17
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
76%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
59%No goal before half-time50%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars

After half-time (2nd half)

0.9Points per game (2nd half)1.17
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.47
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
1Average goals (2nd half)1
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
48%Clean sheet after half-time53%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars
76%No goal after half-time60%
Katsina UnitedShooting Stars

Katsina United - second-half results

17% W38% D45% L
41
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Shooting Stars - second-half results

20% W57% D23% L
42
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Katsina United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game0.80.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Shooting Stars - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.60
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.81.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Katsina United
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
3
1
16-30
6
3
31-45
6
4
46-60
1
11
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Shooting Stars
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
6
7
16-30
5
5
31-45
1
4
46-60
4
6
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.91
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+4%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Katsina United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.77
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
156%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Shooting Stars

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
195%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Katsina UnitedLigaShooting Stars
Average goals per game 1.661.87 2.17
Both teams scored 31%36% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 14%28% 33%
Clean sheets 34%38% 27%
Goal before half-time 48%60% 80%
Goal after half-time 69%60% 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.87
Average goals per game
36%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / game
0.55
Away goals / game
+140%
Home attack advantage
+58%
Home defensive advantage
+49%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Shooting StarsSubstitutionOn: Qamar AdegokeOff: Sadiq Ibrahim
  2. Shooting StarsYellow cardIsmail Ayodele
  3. Shooting StarsSubstitutionOn: Adam Agba'a MustaphaOff: Ismail Ayodele

Head-to-head

Record from Katsina United's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Shooting Stars. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Shooting Stars
1 : 1
Katsina United

FAQ

What was the result of Katsina United vs Shooting Stars?

The NPFL match finished Katsina United 1:0 Shooting Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Katsina United vs Shooting Stars?

Katsina United score 0.79 goals per game on average and Shooting Stars 1.07. The NPFL average is 1.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Katsina United's matches and 40% of Shooting Stars's.

What form are Katsina United and Shooting Stars in?

Over the last 5 games Katsina United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Shooting Stars 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Katsina United vs Shooting Stars?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Katsina United vs Shooting Stars: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.