Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe: match statistics
Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kayserispor played against Fenerbahçe in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The game was played on April 11, 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Recent form
Kayserispor has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Fenerbahçe has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Kayserispor scores 0.75 goals per game and allows 1.79. Fenerbahçe scores 2.21 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Kayserispor's games and 64% of Fenerbahçe's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 57%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fenerbahçe has the higher season xG average, 1.91 to 1.27 per game. Kayserispor takes 11.5 shots per game, while Fenerbahçe takes 17.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Kayserispor leads at halftime in 4% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Fenerbahçe leads at halftime in 39% and scores 1.18 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kayserispor's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Fenerbahçe, it is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Süper Lig games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fenerbahçe is the clear favorite: the visitors sit 2nd in the table versus Kayserispor’s 16th and have 62 goals this season compared to the hosts’ 21. Recent form supports this — in the last 5 matches Fenerbahçe scored 12 goals and won 4/5, while Kayserispor has 3 goals and a 1-1-3 record, averaging 0.8 points per game in that period (visitors 2.4). The efficiency gap is significant: at home Kayserispor averages 0.77 goals per game with a 6% conversion rate, whereas Fenerbahçe away averages 2.14 goals per game with a 15% conversion. Defensively the hosts concede 2.0 goals per home game with average xG against 1.35, while the visitors concede 1.07 away and have xG for 1.63, indicating superiority in chance quality. Additionally Fenerbahçe averages 5.36 shots on target per game versus the hosts’ 3.69 and has a lower share of goalless matches (21% vs 38%), so I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The primary signal for BTTS - Yes is the high seasonal rate: Kayserispor have 71% home matches with both teams scoring, and Fenerbahçe 57%, averaging 64% which exceeds the league BTTS average of 54%. The visitors are in strong scoring form — Fenerbahçe have 62 goals this season and 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 avg), with a recent xG of 1.93 per game, so they are likely to find the net. The hosts generate a lot of chances at home: xG 2.19, 19.86 shots and 7.0 shots on target per match, indicating goal potential despite only 3 goals in the last 5 matches (0.6 avg). The low clean sheet rate for the home side (29%) and the high share of matches over 2.5 goals for both teams (57% for hosts and 57% for visitors) further support a both-teams-to-score scenario, hence the selection of "Yes" with a probability of 70%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I expect around 1.70 goals for Kayserispor (attacking xG 2.19 vs xG conceded to Fenerbahçe 1.20 → average 1.70) and 1.33 for Fenerbahçe (attacking xG 1.63 vs xG conceded to Kayserispor 1.02 → 1.33), totaling ~3.03 goals. Both teams have 86% of matches over 1.5 goals this season (86% home, 86% away), which is a very strong signal for Over 1.5. The share of matches over 2.5 is 57% for each team, and additionally Fenerbahçe has averaged 2.4 goals in the last 5 matches versus 0.6 for Kayserispor, which boosts the probability of at least 3 goals (I estimate ~62% for Over 2.5). Kayserispor averages 19.86 shots and 7.0 on target with a 12% conversion, Fenerbahçe 14.64 shots and 5.36 on target with a 15% conversion, and the percentage of matches in which both teams scored is 71%/57% (home/away) — this supports a both-teams-to-score scenario. Therefore I recommend the Over side at the 1.5 line as the strongest signal (highest probability), while acknowledging that Over 2.5 also makes sense as a value bet (~62%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Fenerbahçe is clearly in better form recently — they have won 80% of their last 5 matches and average 2.4 goals in those games, while Kayserispor have only 0.6 goals across their last five outings. The visitors have led at the break in 40% of their last five matches and have scored 5 goals in the 0–15 minute window this season versus 2 such goals for the hosts, which increases the likelihood of Fenerbahçe holding a lead at half-time. In Kayserispor’s favor is a solid home-season profile: home xG 2.19 and an average of 2.29 goals scored at home (versus the visitors’ xG 1.63) and no home defeats this season; however, their half-time form is weak — in the last 5 matches they have not been leading at the break and average only 0.4 points at HT. Considering the visitors’ strong recent run and their ability to open matches quickly, I assess the most likely scenario as the visitors leading at half-time and winning at full-time (2/2) at roughly a 34% probability; additionally I allow for a half-time draw with a visitors’ win (X/2 about 18%) and a moderate chance of the hosts winning both halves (1/1 about 12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kayserispor | Fenerbahçe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fenerbahçe is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Kayserispor · 2 pts / game - Fenerbahçe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fenerbahçe is 195% better for: goals scored per game.
0.75 goals / game - Kayserispor · 2.21 goals / game - Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe is 79% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.79 goals / game - Kayserispor · 1 goals / game - Fenerbahçe
Kayserispor scores in 61% of games (17 of 28 meczów), while Fenerbahçe keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 meczów).
Fenerbahçe scores in 89% of games (25 of 28 meczów), while Kayserispor keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kayserispor
Over / Under - Fenerbahçe
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fenerbahçe is 170% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.57 pts / game - Kayserispor · 1.54 pts / game - Fenerbahçe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kayserispor - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 4% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Fenerbahçe - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kayserispor
Fenerbahçe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Kayserispor | Liga | Fenerbahçe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.54 | 2.60 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 51% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 66% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Kayserispor's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Fenerbahçe. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe?
The Süper Lig match finished Kayserispor 0:4 Fenerbahçe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe?
Kayserispor score 0.75 goals per game on average and Fenerbahçe 2.21. The Süper Lig average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kayserispor's matches and 64% of Fenerbahçe's.
What form are Kayserispor and Fenerbahçe in?
Over the last 5 games Kayserispor have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Fenerbahçe 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.