KCB vs Ulinzi Stars: match statistics
KCB vs Ulinzi Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KCB play Ulinzi Stars in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 13 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
KCB: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ulinzi Stars: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
KCB scores 1.04 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Ulinzi Stars scores 0.97 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KCB 50%, Ulinzi Stars 55%. Over 2.5: KCB 36%, Ulinzi Stars 41%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
KCB has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.41. KCB: 9.8 shots per match, Ulinzi Stars: 10.1.
Match halves
KCB: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.14. Ulinzi Stars: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.10.
Goals by minute
KCB: 0-15 (22 goals). Ulinzi Stars: 0-15 (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). KCB in their last five matches has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (dwlww) and averages 2.0 points per match, while Ulinzi in their last 5 has 3 wins and 2 losses (wlwwl) with an average of 1.8 points per match. This season KCB scored 27 and conceded 27, and Ulinzi scored 25 and conceded 31; at home KCB concedes 1.00 goals and scores 0.85, while Ulinzi away concedes 1.08 and also scores 0.85. Ulinzi attempts more shots (10.23) and more shots on target (3.77) per match than KCB at home (8.83 and 3.08), but has a lower shot conversion rate 8% versus the home side’s 10%, which results in an identical goals-per-game average. Average xG shows a home advantage for KCB (xG for 1.39 vs xG against 1.18, difference +0.21), while Ulinzi registers xG for 1.45 and xG against 1.48 (difference -0.03); KCB also has a better defensive record in the last 5 matches (3 goals conceded vs Ulinzi’s 5) and a higher clean sheet rate at home (38% vs 23%), hence the tip for a narrow home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KCB | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ulinzi Stars is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - KCB · 1.8 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KCB is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - KCB · 0.97 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars
KCB is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - KCB · 1.21 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars
KCB scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Ulinzi Stars scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while KCB keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — KCB
Over / Under — Ulinzi Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KCB is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - KCB · 0.86 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KCB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (22 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (23 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (26). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KCB
Ulinzi Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| KCB | Liga | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.11 | 2.01 | ▲ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 33% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | • 36% | 36% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 18% | 21% | • 21% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 18% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: KCB 1 - 0 - 0 Ulinzi Stars. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KCB vs Ulinzi Stars?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished KCB 2:3 Ulinzi Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KCB vs Ulinzi Stars?
KCB score 1.04 goals per game on average and Ulinzi Stars 0.97. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 50% of KCB's matches and 55% of Ulinzi Stars's.
What form are KCB and Ulinzi Stars in?
Over the last 5 games KCB have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ulinzi Stars 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KCB vs Ulinzi Stars?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for KCB vs Ulinzi Stars: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.