KCCA vs UPDF: match statistics
KCCA displays significantly higher form and quality, sitting in 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 8 wins this season. The hosts are undefeated at home (83% wins, 0% losses) and have recorded a streak of 5 consecutive wins in their last 5 home matches. UPDF is in 15th position with only 3 wins this season and poor away form (57% losses, merely 29% wins). The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.95 vs 1.62), and KCCA scores an average of 1.83 goals per home match, while UPDF concedes an average of 1.86 goals away. The difference in class between the two teams is clear, and the hosts' advantage in every statistical aspect points to a certain victory for KCCA.
KCCA vs UPDF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KCCA play UPDF in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 27 January 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
KCCA: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. UPDF: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
KCCA scores 1.53 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. UPDF scores 0.80 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KCCA 43%, UPDF 40%. Over 2.5: KCCA 50%, UPDF 40%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
KCCA has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.53. KCCA: 11.8 shots per match, UPDF: 10.8.
Match halves
KCCA: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.77. UPDF: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
KCCA: 76-90+ (12 goals). UPDF: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
KCCA displays significantly higher form and quality, sitting in 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 8 wins this season. The hosts are undefeated at home (83% wins, 0% losses) and have recorded a streak of 5 consecutive wins in their last 5 home matches. UPDF is in 15th position with only 3 wins this season and poor away form (57% losses, merely 29% wins). The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.95 vs 1.62), and KCCA scores an average of 1.83 goals per home match, while UPDF concedes an average of 1.86 goals away. The difference in class between the two teams is clear, and the hosts' advantage in every statistical aspect points to a certain victory for KCCA.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KCCA | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KCCA is 1000% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - KCCA · 0.2 pts / match - UPDF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KCCA is 91% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - KCCA · 0.8 goals / match - UPDF
KCCA is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - KCCA · 1.37 goals / match - UPDF
KCCA scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
UPDF scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while KCCA keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — KCCA
Over / Under — UPDF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KCCA is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - KCCA · 0.87 pts / match - UPDF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KCCA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KCCA
UPDF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| KCCA | Liga | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.27 | 2.09 | • 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | • 40% | 39% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 59% | • 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: KCCA 1 - 0 - 0 UPDF. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KCCA vs UPDF?
The Uganda Premier League match finished KCCA 4:0 UPDF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KCCA vs UPDF?
KCCA score 1.53 goals per game on average and UPDF 0.80. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 43% of KCCA's matches and 40% of UPDF's.
What form are KCCA and UPDF in?
Over the last 5 games KCCA have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and UPDF 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KCCA vs UPDF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.