KCCA vs UPDF: match statistics
KCCA displays significantly higher form and quality, sitting in 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 8 wins this season. The hosts are undefeated at home (83% wins, 0% losses) and have recorded a streak of 5 consecutive wins in their last 5 home matches. UPDF is in 15th position with only 3 wins this season and poor away form (57% losses, merely 29% wins). The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.95 vs 1.62), and KCCA scores an average of 1.83 goals per home match, while UPDF concedes an average of 1.86 goals away. The difference in class between the two teams is clear, and the hosts' advantage in every statistical aspect points to a certain victory for KCCA.
KCCA vs UPDF: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
KCCA played against UPDF in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on January 27, 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Recent form
KCCA has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. UPDF has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
KCCA scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 0.85. UPDF scores 0.92 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 2.30 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of KCCA's games and 46% of UPDF's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 46%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
KCCA has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.53 per game. KCCA takes 11.2 shots per game, while UPDF takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
KCCA leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. UPDF leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.54 after halftime.
When the teams score
KCCA's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For UPDF, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.30 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
KCCA displays significantly higher form and quality, sitting in 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 8 wins this season. The hosts are undefeated at home (83% wins, 0% losses) and have recorded a streak of 5 consecutive wins in their last 5 home matches. UPDF is in 15th position with only 3 wins this season and poor away form (57% losses, merely 29% wins). The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.95 vs 1.62), and KCCA scores an average of 1.83 goals per home match, while UPDF concedes an average of 1.86 goals away. The difference in class between the two teams is clear, and the hosts' advantage in every statistical aspect points to a certain victory for KCCA.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| KCCA | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 22% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
KCCA is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - KCCA · 1 pts / game - UPDF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KCCA is 42% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - KCCA · 0.92 goals / game - UPDF
KCCA is 72% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.85 goals / game - KCCA · 1.46 goals / game - UPDF
KCCA scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 games), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 games).
UPDF scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 games), while KCCA keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KCCA
Over / Under - UPDF
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KCCA is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.54 pts / game - KCCA · 0.85 pts / game - UPDF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KCCA - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
KCCA
UPDF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| KCCA | Liga | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.15 | 2.30 | • 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 45% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 41% | ▲ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 33% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 62% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- KCCAGoalJoel Sserunjogi
- KCCAGoalAlpha Thierry Ssali
FAQ
What was the result of KCCA vs UPDF?
The Uganda Premier League match finished KCCA 4:0 UPDF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KCCA vs UPDF?
KCCA score 1.31 goals per game on average and UPDF 0.92. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 54% of KCCA's matches and 46% of UPDF's.
What form are KCCA and UPDF in?
Over the last 5 games KCCA have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and UPDF 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KCCA vs UPDF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.